NFL System Plays

It’s a new season of NFL

0-0 YTD. We have 2 NFL System Plays for this week:

Giants +6

Browns +10.5

Typically these plays are more successful early in the season, compared to later in the season. We usually start out hot like 4-1 or 5-1. Let’s see how we fare this year again. Gl to all who tail!

I forgot to say, Plays aren’t locked in yet, I’m waiting to see if the lines move in our favor before placing the bet. Looks like Browns line might be going up to +11/11.5 while Giants look more steady at +6, might drop down to +5.5 tho.

Browns +10 against Ravens makes me a little nervous... 

Browns up to +11.5 already, pretty good number there

@Parlayprovolone

 These plays are always the side that nobody wants to take. It’s always an underdog, and sometimes hard to stomach betting it. Which is why it’s usually profitable 

Browns make a lot of sense. Gonna be hard for Baltimore to blow them out that bad after that emotionally devastating loss they played so hard in

Also these NFC north battles are normally low scoring, so I can see Ravens just sneaking by with a 23-16 type game where they arent necessarily challenged as far as losing but the max effort isnt there

@DegenVegasLocal

 Interesting 

@Yanasaur

 Yep after the close loss on the road, it’s a good fade spot

Giants line has dropped to +5.5/+5

Locked in Giants +5, it’s down to +4.5 some places now 

Also locked in Browns +12

Both System Plays now locked in 

Who wants to bet on the Browns vs the Ravens?

Who wants to take the Giants vs Cowboys.

Nobody does. That’s why these picks are good. You want to be on the side that nobody wants to take.

the uglier, the better 

As bettors, it’s important to not talk ourselves into a pick because “nobody wants them” while willfully remaining blind to the fact that plenty of bettors are ready and willing to place the same bet that we just did.

What I’m trying to communicate is that the Browns plus all those points is appealing to a lot of people. One team lost by the slimmest of margins while covering like a champ (the Browns) while the other team lost by the slimmest of margins while blowing a very late lead that by every measure should have been unblowable (the Ravens).

The 17-16 loss by the Browns impressed people, while the disgraceful 41-40 loss by the Ravens has lightened their bandwagon considerably. Those results have left the average bettor far more inclined to want to take the points with the Browns tomorrow rather than lay them with the Ravens.

Love this "

Are you sure? What if instead of suffering a hangover after blowing a late 40-25 lead, the Ravens have decided to take out their frustrations on the Browns? 

@MrBator

All off season it was how furious the ravens were going to be after losing last year, and how they were going to be furious in their revenge in week 1. We can move the goal posts to week 2 now.

Last 8 games between the two division rivals, Ravens are 4-4

Give me Giants +6 as well.

All I’ve heard and seen is everyone betting on Dallas. But that line isn’t going up, if anything, it’s been going down. Hard to find 5.5 anywhere now.

System Plays go 1-1. On to Week 3.