Despite the public’s infatuation with Cincinnati, the numbers tell a different story. Since Joe Burrow’s injury, the Bengals have posted a bottom-tier offensive EPA and rank near the league’s basement in third-down conversion rate. Their pass protection has collapsed, and the run game hasn’t compensated. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh enters as a rare favorite—deservedly so. The Steelers’ defense ranks top-5 in pressure rate and has feasted on backup QBs all season. Market sentiment may be drifting toward Cincinnati, but that’s a mirage. The value lies with the team that’s structurally sound, defensively dominant, and not relying on nostalgia. Steelers -5 is the sharp side, not the square one. I know many of you want to try and cash in on the contrarian angle of this and the Bengals have had some pretty tough competition this season and have held their own. Unfortunately they're on a short week and I just see the fatigue setting in for them while Pitt Dominates inside and Rodger exploits their mistakes.
Despite the public’s infatuation with Cincinnati, the numbers tell a different story. Since Joe Burrow’s injury, the Bengals have posted a bottom-tier offensive EPA and rank near the league’s basement in third-down conversion rate. Their pass protection has collapsed, and the run game hasn’t compensated. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh enters as a rare favorite—deservedly so. The Steelers’ defense ranks top-5 in pressure rate and has feasted on backup QBs all season. Market sentiment may be drifting toward Cincinnati, but that’s a mirage. The value lies with the team that’s structurally sound, defensively dominant, and not relying on nostalgia. Steelers -5 is the sharp side, not the square one. I know many of you want to try and cash in on the contrarian angle of this and the Bengals have had some pretty tough competition this season and have held their own. Unfortunately they're on a short week and I just see the fatigue setting in for them while Pitt Dominates inside and Rodger exploits their mistakes.
Tomlin knows Flacco and won't lose to him. Question is by how much do they win. I happen to agree with you that the Steelers will get it done and cover the 5. I also think there will be a good amount of scoring. Should be a fun game, hope you win
Tomlin knows Flacco and won't lose to him. Question is by how much do they win. I happen to agree with you that the Steelers will get it done and cover the 5. I also think there will be a good amount of scoring. Should be a fun game, hope you win
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