Been laying low guys, was waiting for the right moment to re-emerge. and here it is:
TONIGHT'S LINE LORD'S NFL POY GOES TO:
ARIZONA CARDINALS +4 -115
ARIZONA CARDINALS ML +150
REASON:
On the surface, this game looks like an easy public play: the 2-5 Cardinals, mired in a five-game losing streak, travel to AT&T Stadium to face the Cowboys on Monday Night Football. The public perception is a decisive Dallas victory.
However, this line is short for a reason, and the value is squarely on the road underdog. This isn't a bet on Arizona's record; it's a bet against a deeply flawed Dallas unit.
The entire thesis rests on the fraudulent nature of the Cowboys' defense. While their offense is explosive at home (averaging over 41 points per game), their defense is a liability. Dallas enters this game with the 2nd-worst defense in the NFL in total yards allowed (404.6 per game). They are simply incapable of getting consistent stops.
This is the ultimate "get right" spot for the Cardinals' offense. Despite their 2-5 record, Arizona's offense has been quietly elite in one crucial metric: they rank 5th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (44.8%). This team can sustain drives. Against a porous Dallas defense, Kyler Murray, Marvin Harrison Jr., and Trey McBride will be able to move the ball and answer.
The market has set the total at a sky-high 53.5, anticipating a shootout. In a high-variance, high-scoring game script, you always want to be holding the points. The Cowboys' defense is not built to hold a lead or win by margin.
Furthermore, during this exact five-game losing streak, the Cardinals are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) as an underdog. They are losing, but they are playing tough and covering. We are fading a public favorite that fields one of the worst defensive units in football.
on your plays 
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