DONT fall for the Vegas bait on the Jets, MNF POD inside

NFL Season Record: 3-1 (75%)

Hey gang,

been a bit since I posted I was in the Bahamas for a week. The Paradise, the Women, The Service  I was in Heaven.  Back to gambling grind 

Dolphins -2.5 POD

Jets — Trap Line
This line is bait. Books hang a soft -2.5 to tempt the public into buying up to +3 or +4 on the Jets, thinking they’re grabbing key numbers. But that’s a mirage—and it’s costing bettors' unnecessary juice. Miami isn’t in peak form, sure, but they don’t need to be. The Jets are a bottom-tier offense masquerading as a football team. Their quarterback play is erratic, their line is leaky, and they’re allergic to scoring touchdowns.
Miami’s speed and scheme still create mismatches, even when they’re not firing on all cylinders. Against a Jets team that can’t sustain drives or flip field position, the Dolphins don’t need perfection—they just need rhythm. And they’ll find it. This is a game where Miami wins by a touchdown or more, and the -2.5 is a gift, not a gamble.
Don’t fall for the trap. Don’t pay for points that won’t matter. Lay the -2.5, pocket the value, and ride the better team.

jets was not bad vs Pitt and bucs

Actually Money is on fins spread 51%

And 54% of the bets for fins 

Source action money betting 

@LineLord

Miami didn’t cover a game 

Im not saying your wrong on the wager but

Jets +2.5 is a trap line?

If there a trap line it would be fins -2.5

Just under a fg to win at home

Jets the road team they should be +3

Home team gets -3

-2.5 fins implies jets the better team

Which they are not

Wasn’t KC a +2.5 dog yesterday?  And they won and covered.

If anything the dolphins are a trap 

@miact

 0-3 teams playing each other, the home team covers 64% in week 3. Obviously, hasn't happened often. Miami also has rest advantage. All movement and liability is on the Fins. This never dropped to two. 52% of bets at Circa on Fins but 72% spread dollars on Fins. 

Spot on!!!

@LineLord

 Nice hit good work 

good call...

I was on the phins myself. Was just peeking at your post and it made total sense. Was having similar thoughts. The posts about the Chiefs being +2.5 and another about public percentages though baffles me. Is this how people really make their picks? That's a losing formula for sure. Rethink your strategy fellas. 

Nice work LineLord. Keep it up.

Dolphins -2 and Jeys+2.5 is the exact same lime  "trap" infers that the outcome of the game is already know which it never is