Posted:
#1
YTD: 6-4
There are no plays this week. However, there's one you could fade if you're really, really nervy. Las Vegas -5 would ordinarily have been a play before I spent an excruciating amount of time breaking down 20 years of numbers and separating them situationally. Turns out home favorites among the class of teams that were blown out by 4+ touchdowns last week *and* scored single digits have gone 8-21 ATS the following week. Week 17 is the only bright spot: 3-1. Before that, 5-20.
Taking Tennessee +5 on the road is too much for me. Pass.
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