Wow these threads get buried quickly!
A lot of good cappers here, and a lot of good info to filter through...
I know there are logical arguments against teasers.
What I'm doing is capping the entire board, then taking my 3 strongest leans and adding 10 valuable points...
*Bengals +11.5*
No one would be surprised if CIN won this outright. They have signifiant avantages at multiple positions.
*Jaguars/Giants Under 51.5*
51 being a key number for Totals (27-24, 30-21, 31-20, 34-17) however I don't expect it to get close to this number. Both offenses have reasons to establish the run and both teams lack big play threats. "Bonus angle" it's a little rainy and a little breezy today..
*Jets +17.5*
This is a big number for ANY Week 1 favorite to cover...the Lions should not be laying a touchdown to anyone, plain and simple.
Each play is risking 6units to Win 5units.
1 play per week with a modest goal of 11 wins 6 losses for +19units
Best of luck, folks.
SweetHeart Teaser System: 1-0, +5.00units
Clearly was on the right side of all 3. There will be a time when the points come into play, but Week 1 was not that time..
Looking ahead to Week #2, I like Carolina +15.5 because who doesn't like a 2TD Divisional Dog, as well as Chargers/Bills Under 54.
Even bad teams have personal pride and the Bills will hold LAC to Under 28 pts...
Stay tuned..
Thank you for chiming in Vangs
Yes it almost seems too easy but with 10 point/3 teamers, it is still important to be on the right side!
As stated in Post #1 this will be a disciplined 1 play per week, 6u to Win 5u
Obviously it won't always go as smoothly as our Week 1 winner, but if used correctly, I strongly believe I will show a significant profit by seasons end.
When selecting three 10 point teases, I use a variety of handicapping methods and will invariably choose either Totals or Underdogs (preferably divisional dogs)
As sharp bettors can understand, there is not a ton of value turning a -7.5 favorite into a +2.5 underdog...
Top leans so far...
CAR +16, LAC/BUF Under 53, KC/PIT Under 62.5, ARZ +23
Appreciate you stopping in Rocks
All thoughts and opinions are appreciated.
As I mentioned earlier, I don't believe there is a ton of value teasing down favorites, unless I really like them. But of course, there could be exceptions.
ARZ did lay an egg in their home opener and LAR destroyed OAK, so I would not be buying low or selling high by taking LAR -3.
There are no shortcuts or magic formulas. Taking the 3 biggest favorites or 3 biggest Dogs would not be a profitable proposition.
I think I would prefer to avoid TNF and MNF (again there could be exceptions)
I see several cappers complaining about Thursday Night Football, how it's a coin flip or ugly...then those same cappers proceed to make a play on both the Side AND the Total...
Books have to post odds on every single game. WE do not have to bet every single game..
Established in 1995,
with your teaser.
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