NBA FINALS - Game 4

The more I see people on the forum, intelligent people, backing OKC, or even people I would expect to be on Pacers holding off, the more I say BULLSHIT. "The gambler's greatest tool is his intuition." 

Ind. + points (1.4X) (1 unit for me is normal sized, 2u large) - waiting for a better number than 6, think there may be a rash of public money closer to post.

This game "looks" like an Indiana cover and a OKC win. I'm even questioning the latter. When I lock in the best number I feel I can get ATS, I'm going to swallow hard and make a small play on:

Ind. ML (0.3X)

BOL to all.

Late OKC money doesn't seem to be materializing. Took +6 -105 (BOL) which was better than the other numbers I had access to. Reduced the bet a tad to 1.2 u because I didn't get the line value I was hoping for. Took +204 on the ML.

Final card:

Ind. +6 -105 (BOL) (1.2X)

Ind. +204 (0.3X)

 @Stew Baker 

I did a bad job of reading the signals. On Friday, I had this weird Friday the 13th kind of vibe, not anything unlucky, but that things were going to be topsy-turvy relative to expectations. I had the expectation of an OKC win flipped, when in actuality it was the expectation of an Ind. cover that flipped. You see how the 1st qtr. winner and 1st half winner were contrary to most people's expectations. OKC 1st qtr. and 1st half were popular bets on the forum; I kept saying to myself, those were weak-assed bets. And the opposite side of a weak bet should be strong, right? It would have been easy to take the points and/or the inflated moneyline. But I didn't process my thoughts, and react.

The paranormal can be rewarding. But you have to pay close attention. That being said, I don't experience this stuff very often. Most of what I write on this forum comes from deductive reasoning.

I may post a play later on tonight's game.