NBA 4/18: The Heat Wake Up In Playoffs Again

YTD 9-6 +2.2 units

all plays 1* so far

Friday:

1* Heat +1

It's always risky to bet on perceptions and the perception based on reality is that Miami under Spoelstra overachieves in the playoffs.  But it sure appears to be the case again following the brutal takedown of the Bulls.   The Heat held Chicago to under 40% shooting and Atlanta was under 40% itself in its loss to Orlando.  Trae Young has always been a selfish baby and his petulant meltdown hurt his team in the Magic game.  I admit he must be highly motivated to atone here but the reality is that he and the Hawks have underahchieved for years.  Here's a trend: Hawks are on a 1-12 ATS run after a road loss of 20+ points

Good luck Griswold.  

Great analysis and points. I'm on the Heat also for 3x.

Curious, if you like the Heat here why only 1* instead of 2 or 3??

Heat culture, most of these guys have been here and played in these backs against the wall environment.  Not quite the same without playoff Jimmy, but still a well rounded team that has no business going on the road to handle business.  

@CalBear2009

 I post only my strongest plays here (only 15 all year) and I rate them as I bet them.  A 2* is twice the money as a 1* and a 3* three times the money, etc.  While I like the Heat a lot I am wary of the fact that they lost ten games in row not long ago and I have some fear that Trae Young has a big game to try to atone for his childish shit show earlier in the week.   Anyway....

Gluck, shitters full Clark