Fish’s Slippery Player Picks - 11/9 (YTD: 21-10)

Early one.

Rockets @ Bucks - Steven Adams over 6.5 rebounds

I heard a crazy stat the other day that Steven Adams has been rebounding something like 27% of opposition misses while he’s on the floor so far this season. That’s led to an average of 9.3 of them per game, and he’s also been very consistent, snaring at least 8 in all but one of his 7 games this season. 7 boards is a lot in 20-odd minutes but he is doing it comfortably most games and at nearly 3 full boards under his season average to date, this line looks too low. 

Nets @ Knicks - Nic Claxton over 12 points

I've taken this over 12.5 at +110 but also had the option of 11.5 at about $1.78, so putting it in the middle. The Nets obviously suck but Claxton is a solid player in a rich vein of form, and has been cruising past this line easily for five games now. He's been very consistent in that time, scoring between 17 and 19 points in every game, giving us a pretty big buffer over this line if he can even go close to retaining that form. There is some blowout potential in this one but given how comfortably Claxton has been passing this number over the past couple of weeks, I like him to do it again in this one.   

Celtics @ Magic - Tristan da Silva over 7.5 points

Took this one the other day and he cleared it relatively quickly, and with his line not moving I like the German to do it again. In his second season in the league, da Silva is averaging 11.3 points off the bench, and has cleared this number in seven of his nine games - often with ease. In the two in which he has failed to do so he has managed a grand total of just 2 points, but he's generally taking quite a few shots in his 20 minutes off the bench and while we probably do need his three-ball to fall, he's still capable of finding buckets in other ways if it isn't.

@Fish22