In absolute freefall at the moment so tail at your own risk and all that.
Cavaliers @ Bulls - Dean Wade over 6.5 points
There was a bit of movement for the Cavs last game, with Jarrett Allen's return offset by Evan Mobley's absence, which is expected to last at least a couple of weeks. Along with that change, they decided to move Jaylon Tyson out of the starting lineup, replacing him with Dean Wade, who put in a very good showing with 14 points on 5-9 shooting, 8 boards and a couple of dimes in 32 minutes of playing time. Interestingly, Tyson still played 35 minutes that game too, with Deandre Hunter only playing 27 and Allen just 23 in his return. Essentially the Cavs have six players they want to give decent minutes too and that may fluctuate a bit game to game, but with Allen still just one game back from his absence and Hunter not playing that well, Wade is a good chance of upwards of 30 minutes again tonight in a starting role. It's not yet confirmed that he will start, but having been moved into the starting five last game and played well, I'm thinking he will. His points line, however, is right around his overall season average, which has come in an average of just 22 minutes per game off the bench. Wade is not a high-volume shooter by any means but in potentially 10+ extra minutes relative to his average, he should be getting close to 10 looks. This line is based off his overall season average, but his situation appears to have changed so I'm jumping in before the lines adjust.
Grizzlies @ Timberwolves - Jaylen Wells over 13.5 points
Jaylen Wells has taken a big step forward over the past few weeks and if you'd been getting on his over regularly, you'd have been making plenty of coin. He's scored at least 13 in nine consecutive games and 15+ in all but one of those, averaging 18.1 in that time. But his line has hardly moved, still sitting just one above his overall season average of 12.5. Making matters even better for us, Ja Morant is out of this one as is Cam Spencer, who has been absolutely balling and taking plenty of shots. Wells is getting to the line regularly, which is fantastic because it's indicative of him being aggressive on offence and is much more repeatable than hitting bulk threes, for example. In the solitary game he hasn't passed this number out of his last nine, he went 1-7 from the field and still fell just a point short of passing it. Obviously the Wolves are strong defensively but even so, with his recent form and the Grizzlies outs this looks like a very good chance.
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