1-1 yesterday with Monk failing to hit his number but Kuzma cruising past his. Generally trying to keep it to just a couple a day but have three for today to start and potentially another later.
Hawks @ Nets - Ben Saraf over 2.5 assists
Bit of a random one but often that's where there is the best value, as long as your bookie offers it - though given Saraf has been starting you should be able to find it. The Nets suck and have absolutely nothing in the way of an established point guard, so one of their many recent draft picks has stepped in to fill the void. Saraf has averaged around 4 assists in 20 minutes or so playing in Europe the past couple of seasons, and has started life in the NBA in similar fashion, his four games so far yielding 4, 1, 5 and 5 assists in an average of 20 minutes. With little else in the way of playmakers, the Nets are reliant on their rookie to carry a decent load as a starter and while that's the case, 2.5 is too low a line for him.
Hawks @ Nets - Onyeka Okongwu over 1.5 assists
This one is probably based a little more on randomness than I would like, but on pure numbers it's clearly too low a line. Okongwu is a reasonably talented center who has finally been given an opportunity to start in the absence of Clint Capela, and it's yielding the most minutes of his NBA life so far. Last season, Okongwu averaged 2.3 assists per game in just under 28 minutes, but in 2024-25 he's their starting 5 and will play over 30 minutes most games as a result. Even notwithstanding the natural improvement he's displayed every season, that should yield around 2.5 assists per game, yet his line is at 1.5 (and I can get that with plus money). As I said, when it's this low there's an element of randomness, but the numbers suggest he will pass this line more often than not this season.
Pacers @ Mavericks - Pascal Siakam over 25.5 points
The Pacers have been absolutely reamed by injury over the past few months, and with Mathurin and Nembhard joining Haliburton on the sidelines they now almost literally have no offense outside of Siakam. Spicy P has come out of the blocks firing on all cylinders this season, with 32+ points in two of his three games, and he is a good chance to put up similar numbers in this one given the enormous load he will have to carry. Hopefully the Pacers don't get blown out of the water and sit him in the last q, but Indi will be going all out to get their first win of the season so I expect their best remaining player to get plenty of minutes, potentially put up close to 25-30 shots and cruise past this line.
Hot Forum Topics
