The fun continued yesterday with another 2-0 day, albeit a little fortunate with both bets hitting the over by one solitary statistic. Kicking off with a couple today.
Kings @ Thunder - Malik Monk over 11.5 points
Way too low a line here. Monk has been an increasingly valuable contributor off the bench over the last few seasons, going from 13.5 per game three seasons ago, up to 15.4 and then last season 17.2, playing over 30 minutes per game in 2024-25. That will take a little bit of a hit this season with the Kings' acquisition of Westbrook to go with their raft of other ball-dominant, completely non-complementary players, but he's still an important part of their team and should be looking at around 25 minutes and 15 points per game. He's also started the season off well with 19, 20 and 15 points, so this line is a good few points lower than it should be.
Knicks @ Bucks - Kyle Kuzma over 3 rebounds
Depending on where you bet this might be at 2.5 or 3.5, if you can find the market - for me there's a lot of juice at 2.5 but it's comfortably plus money at 3.5. I've personally taken both but for the sake of the record I'll put it at 3 and call it a push if he hits exactly that number. Kuzma probably doesn't want to be in Milwaukee and they don't want him to be there that much either, but this is still a very, very low number for someone who has averaged right around 6 boards, at the least, for the past six years. He'll get less minutes than he has in past years while he's still in Milwaukee, but he should still be looking at 20+ - more than enough to get at least 3 boards and probably a couple more. So far this season he has played 23 minutes in his first game, and then 18 in his second before exiting with an ankle injury, so he was likely on track for close to 25 again. Far more often than not, if he's playing that many minutes he'll hit this number easily.
I was also having a look at Westbrook assists again but he is heavily juiced at 2.5 so I'll leave it out for the moment.
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