A solitary Moussa Diabate point away from a 3-0 day yesterday, but will take 2-1 every day of the week. A couple to kick things off today.
Knicks @ Heat - Simone Fontecchio over 5.5 points
Fontecchio found his way to the Heat as part of Duncan Robinson's move to Detroit in the off-season, and while he won't be able to replicate his predecessor's sharpshooting, he is capable from long-range and has shown an ability to score in other ways throughout his career too. The Italian is no world-beater, but his line is set very low at 5.5 considering he's averaged over that every season of his career, a couple of times relatively comfortably. His first two games for Miami have been really solid, putting up 13 and 14 points in an average of 21 minutes per game, and if he gets close to that number of minutes with any sort of regularity he should be averaging closer to 10 points than the 5.5 his line is set at. Importantly, the 14 and 13 point games he's had to start the season haven't been solely as a result of hot shooting from long-range - in the first he was 6-9 from the field but only hit 1 three. It seems he's got the green light to be relatively aggressive with this bench unit, and he should be able to scoot past a very low line.
Lakers @ Kings - Russell Westbrook over 2.5 assists
I understand that he's a long way from the player he once was, but Russell Westbrook's assist line sitting at 2.5 is too hard to pass up. The Kings swooped him up late in the off-season, not a move that makes a whole lot of sense to me or just about anybody given their situation, but that's the Kings for you. Anyway, that's where he is, and while he's not going to play a massive role for them, the former MVP doesn't need too many minutes to pick up 3 assists. He looks likely to play around 18-20 minutes for the Kings per game based on the first couple of games - for reference, he played 22.5 mpg a couple of seasons ago and averaged 4.5 assists, while last season he was at 27.9 mpg for the Nuggets and averaged 6.1 dimes. For me he's at +15 to hit 3 assists - far too low for mine, so I've taken the over as well as a little dabble on him to get 5 at long odds.
A solitary Moussa Diabate point away from a 3-0 day yesterday, but will take 2-1 every day of the week. A couple to kick things off today.
Knicks @ Heat - Simone Fontecchio over 5.5 points
Fontecchio found his way to the Heat as part of Duncan Robinson's move to Detroit in the off-season, and while he won't be able to replicate his predecessor's sharpshooting, he is capable from long-range and has shown an ability to score in other ways throughout his career too. The Italian is no world-beater, but his line is set very low at 5.5 considering he's averaged over that every season of his career, a couple of times relatively comfortably. His first two games for Miami have been really solid, putting up 13 and 14 points in an average of 21 minutes per game, and if he gets close to that number of minutes with any sort of regularity he should be averaging closer to 10 points than the 5.5 his line is set at. Importantly, the 14 and 13 point games he's had to start the season haven't been solely as a result of hot shooting from long-range - in the first he was 6-9 from the field but only hit 1 three. It seems he's got the green light to be relatively aggressive with this bench unit, and he should be able to scoot past a very low line.
Lakers @ Kings - Russell Westbrook over 2.5 assists
I understand that he's a long way from the player he once was, but Russell Westbrook's assist line sitting at 2.5 is too hard to pass up. The Kings swooped him up late in the off-season, not a move that makes a whole lot of sense to me or just about anybody given their situation, but that's the Kings for you. Anyway, that's where he is, and while he's not going to play a massive role for them, the former MVP doesn't need too many minutes to pick up 3 assists. He looks likely to play around 18-20 minutes for the Kings per game based on the first couple of games - for reference, he played 22.5 mpg a couple of seasons ago and averaged 4.5 assists, while last season he was at 27.9 mpg for the Nuggets and averaged 6.1 dimes. For me he's at +15 to hit 3 assists - far too low for mine, so I've taken the over as well as a little dabble on him to get 5 at long odds.
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