Wow what a game 6 - ball got stuck and I got fucked - lol. Anyways - movin on to Game 7. WS Record stands at 5-3. Let's look at some numbers:
-135 LAD Ohtani -2
TOR Scherzer 199
LAD opened up as a 135 fav currently around -138 . Regular season ratings have Ohtani at -2 (great rating for a pitcher) and he has more strikeouts than innings pitched. Scherzer has a rating of 199, he pitched 85 innings and had 82 strikeouts - not the Max we are used to seeing - who would typically have a lot more strikeouts than I.p but he was injured.
Playoff wise - Ohtani pitched Oct 28 and took the loss while giving up 4 runs. Max pitched on Oct 27 and got a No decision where he gave up 3 runs. Let's look at some angles on this game:
1. The line opened at 135 for the away team pitcher - just like yesterday - in the playoffs since i've been collecting data we have had this situation 5 times - 2 times the away team has won on the run line (including lastnight) - 2 times the home team has won outright and once the home team covered the run line.
2. Ohtani last pitched the 28th - only a few days of rest from pitching - but he's been hitting as well. Max, had an extra day of rest and this will be his first playoff start at home. Obviously all hands on deck and short leash tonite.
3. Looking at the ratings and an opening line of 135 where the away team pitcher has more strikeouts than innings pitched, there's no playoff data that I have where the line was 135 for the away team and the rating was -2 and the home team pitcher has a rating 199. However, looking at the regular season data - there are several data points that meet this criteria but none with a line of 135 - close 140 , 130, 125, 120, and others. The data indicates the home team can win it outright as very often they have. I'm going with my numbers.
My Plays tonite:
1. Toronto +125
2. LAD/Toronto over 8
Good luck all - it's been a great series enjoy the game.
Let’s do this mah man 
@TheBuddah
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