Toronto Blue Jays ML / RL -1.5

8-8

Good luck on the play today WL  

@westlake888

W8 

Agreed. And I asked Grok about the TOR 10/13 game, this is what he said:

What is the 2025 (regular season plus playoff games so far) Toronto Blue Jays' record and winning percentage of their next home game, after losing a home game?

19-8 (.704)

The Toronto Blue Jays have played 84 home games in 2025 so far (81 regular season + 3 playoff games), with 27 instances where a home game followed a previous home loss. In those 27 games, they won 19 and lost 8, for a winning percentage of .704. This includes their two home wins in the ALDS against the Yankees and their home loss in Game 1 of the ALCS against the Mariners on October 12.

Of those 19 games they won, how many of those games did they win by 2 or more runs?

13

Of the 19 home wins following a home loss in 2025, 13 were by a margin of 2 or more runs (margin = Jays' runs scored minus runs allowed). The other 6 were by exactly 1 run. This excludes the two ALDS home wins, as they followed a regular-season home win on September 28.

For the 2025 season and playoffs, on average, how many runs do the Toronto Blue Jays score in the game after only scoring 1 run in their previous game?

3.65

In the 2025 regular season and playoffs through October 12 (167 total games), the Toronto Blue Jays scored exactly 1 run in 20 previous games that were followed by another game. In those 20 subsequent games, they averaged 3.65 runs scored (totaling 73 runs). This includes instances across both regular season and postseason, with no qualifying postseason games contributing additional data points beyond the regular season patterns.

For the home games in that scenario, what was average number of runs?

3.8

In the 2025 regular season and playoffs through October 12 (no subsequent game after the October 12 ALCS Game 1 1-run home loss), there were 5 instances where the next game after scoring exactly 1 run was a home game. In those 5 home games, the Blue Jays scored a total of 19 runs (2 on April 29, 2 on August 14, 8 on August 31, 1 on September 24, and 6 on September 25), for an average of 3.8 runs scored.

Conclusion, there is value in the Jays prices tonight:

TOR ML -124

TOR RL -1.5 +165

TOR O3.5 -115

@Trying2Collect

 This is the playoffs.

correct. All that data is meaningless. 

GL on your plays @westlake888