Today Is Wednesday, And This Is A Huge Card!!!

 

2-1 yesterday. Tough loss with the A's in extras. Very pissed that I lost that play but what can you do? Love the card today.

 

Phillies -105
Risking 2.1 units to win 2 units
Riding this strek until it fails. Zambrano has pitched well, Moyer is inconsistant, but the Phillies are simply rolling. Thats about all I have to say about that one.

 

Both Nolasco and Geer are coming off back to back bad outings, and I expect both to bounce back in this one. And it should be easier because their pitching at Petco. It's been an under series for the first 2 games of the series. Very well pitched. Nolasco enjoys pitching at Petco where he has a 2.57 ERA in 14 innings in his career there, and how hard is it really to pitch at Petco? It's actually a relief if your pitching poorly. Kind of like a vacation. The Marlins are hitting .252 v righties in their last 10 games while the Padres are hitting an awful .202 v righties in their last 10. Day game after night game and it should be a sluggish one for both clubs.

 

Pelfrey is coming off his worst loss, earned run wise, of the season. He gave up 9 runs in Atlanta. Thats a tough pill to swallow. But in his defense, the Braves have been hitting the cover off. But Pelfrey isn't a bad pitcher. Hell...he outdueled Gallardo in Milwaukee. He has good stuff, and I see him bouncing back in this one. Pelfrey has always pitched pretty well against the Nationals as well. He has a 3.82 career ERA against them. Stammen as pitched well recently. He has a 2.45 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP in his last 3 starts with 22 innings. He got beat up in his first 2 meetings against the Mets and I think he'll come out stronger in this one. Looking for a little revenge of his own seeing that he is pitching better. 9-1-1 is the under in this matchup this season and I see it going to 10-1-1 after this.

 

Texas has won 3 in a row and Boston has lost 4 in a row. I don't think Bucholz will string 2 decent outings back to back. Until I see that, I won't believe he can do it. Padilla is a head case, but he has bounced back well recently from bad outings. And he is coming off a very poor outing against the Twins where he gave up 5 runs on 11 hits but somehow went 7 innings. He gave up 7 in early June and then shut down the Sox in his next start. Pitched very well until 3 starts ago when he gave up 5 to the Angels and then shut them down in his next start. I think he bounces back in this start after getting hit hard in his last start. Another note...he has pitched to 7 straight unders. On top of Padilla wanting to avenge his recent loss, the Sox are only hitting .224 v righties in their last 10 games. The Rangers are still an underrated team and I see them getting the win here and sweeping the Sox.

 

Carpenter and Oswalt have pitched lights out lately. Both pitching to an under 2 ERA in their last 3 starts. No bounce back for Carpenter, but Oswalt, on the other hand, had his worst loss this season against the Cardinals in 2nd start where he gave up 6 runs on 9 hits. Now aside from this season, he really handles the Cards well. From 2006-2008, he had a rediculous 1.96 ERA against them in 73.1 innings. As for Carpenter, the Astros only hit .231 against him. Berkman hits .276, Lee hits .130, Tejada hits .200. Nothing special. The only guy who can hit him is Pudge who bats .346 against him. Berkman does have 6 homers against him though and 12 of 22 RBIs the team has against Carpenter, while Pudge has 7 RBIs. Oh yea...and Berkman is out for this game. So that doesn't leave much offense for Astros. I don't expect another big offensive performance in this game. 5 of the Cards' last 6 games have gone under and 5 of the Astros' last 7 games went under.

 

The Braves have been on fire offensively lately, but they haven't faced a pitcher like the freak in their run. They did however face Santana and only scored 1 run. Lincecum can do the same damage and I can see the offense being haulted in this one. Lincecum has a 2.11 ERA against the Braves in his career, and in 88 at bats against Timmy, on the current Braves roster, only 2 RBIs were scored against him. Both by Escobar. And they are only batting .216 against him. 3.46 ERA for Jurrjens in his career against the Giants, thats about average. Jurrjens and Lincecum have never faced each other before but the under is 6-1 in their starts against the opposing team. And the 1 over was when the Giants scored 6 runs on Chuck James back in 2007 and ended up scoring 9 to get the over themselves. I think this will be a serious duel.

 

When was the last time the Reds won at Dodger Stadium? Billinsley is coming off 2 horrific outings. His last game he didn't even get out of the 2nd inning. He got smashed by the Astros at home, and I can see him bouncing back at home. Billingsley has INSANE numbers against the Reds in his career. He has a 0.92 ERA against them in 19.2 innings. The Reds are only hitting .116 in 43 at bats against him and no current Reds' player has an RBI or run scored against him. On to Arroyo. He can't had 3 straight solid outings...can he? I just can't see it. I is too inconsistant and I see him being lit up. Even if Manny isn't available. As for him against the Dodgers, he's not that good. In 200 at bats, they have a .360 average against him. In his years with Cincy, he has a 4.50 ERA in 30 innings against them. Here is some more stats to throw at you. Every single loss the Reds have suffered with Arroyo on the mound has been by at least 2 runs. Thats 0-9 on the runline in his losses. 11-2 is what Billingsley is in the teams' wins with him on the mound. I like my chances here.

 

I usually don't play ther O/Us, but I really like your side picks.  BOL

whats you take on the yanks game.....I'm likin balty in this spot.

 

Getaway day for the yanks....yanks suck against RHP they ahve never seen.

 

Berkan with a 1.29 day ERA

BOL

goood luck sparky nice write ups keep up a good work

Like your picks .. BOL

love all the picks sparky. what do you think about the u/o on the phillies game.

Good Luck Spark

I'm on Texas with you and damn near played the Phils as well.....GL today Sparky

dodgers rl

GL

GL tonight!!!!

It's nice to be at the top sparky sure you feel the same way        bronx bombers