Dodgers RL and Why

We are 13-9 on posted plays - did well when it was home and away - struggled some on the neutral field business so be warned.    Let's look at some numbers: 

150   LA   Buehler    -2

       TB    Morton    107

Dodgers opened up as a 150 fav currently around 145.     I give Buehler a rating of - 2 and Morton 107.   Both pitchers have more strikeouts than I.p - a very good sign of a pitcher at this stage of a season (i know i know 60 games - but still).

In my heart i was leaning TB but i'm a numbers guy and stick with the ratings and history.    In this situation with these numbers and opening line of 150 - history says take the Dodgers on the r/line which indicates - 1.5  +117.  Because of the neutral field - i'm going to take the Dodgers - 1   - 122.  I hate laying juice but  it falls within my max of 135 threshold.    Good luck all.

Thanks Felix - back at ya

got my cashout early..cheers,my man!!!appreciate you sharing.

Your looking good sometime those numbers don’t lie and excellent was to counter act your heart bet! That’s very hard to accomplish. Nice way to ween around that.

Melo - thanks and glad it worked out for ya 

Max. - yeah it is hard to keep the emotions out of it and stick to the data.   Thanks and back at ya.

Da Booooooooooooooooooodah!

Nice call,  I was too wimpy to pull the trigger.

Good call. I play DFS now because laws but I still read these writeups. GL

Barney- hope all is well my friend - if you ever feel hesitant - it’s best to let it go.  Thanks.

Pope- thanks and glad whatever you did worked out.

Money - thanks.  

Last night was beautiful - had a small play with dodgers -3 runs ... a parlay dodgers -1.5 and Tulsa.... would have hit my box my numbers are Tb 6 - dodgers 5 (Total box score).. I knew Jansen was going to give up something .... Just hoping the new kid wouldn’t have given up a hit ... but he did... oh well .... I’ll take it