Do you like to read about why people justify their positions and explain their handicapping?
Or do you just want to see their picks without analysis?
Do you like to read about why people justify their positions and explain their handicapping?
Or do you just want to see their picks without analysis?
Do you like to read about why people justify their positions and explain their handicapping?
Or do you just want to see their picks without analysis?
Capping multiple sports, and time…family, work, etc.
Bet one or two games a day in WNBA/MLB throw in football on the weekends you’re looking at 25-30 bets a week easy. I’m not trying to do 25+ write-ups a week and every day. I simply don’t have time.
Capping multiple sports, and time…family, work, etc.
Bet one or two games a day in WNBA/MLB throw in football on the weekends you’re looking at 25-30 bets a week easy. I’m not trying to do 25+ write-ups a week and every day. I simply don’t have time.
Most analysis includes this:
Where game is.....
What happened last week.....
Who they play next....
Injuries....
Weather....
Stats/trends....
None of that stuff needs to be spoon fed to people.
Most analysis includes this:
Where game is.....
What happened last week.....
Who they play next....
Injuries....
Weather....
Stats/trends....
None of that stuff needs to be spoon fed to people.
Colin Cowherd has the best analysis of upcoming games in his blazing 5 every friday. Yet he sucks as a capper. Analysis just takes away from the actual pick. There is a win or loss outcome on every game despite analysis. Unless it’s something important that’s not public, analysis means nothing. Just post your pick because no one knows whether its a guess or great analysis. Analysis means nothing. Just win baby!!
Colin Cowherd has the best analysis of upcoming games in his blazing 5 every friday. Yet he sucks as a capper. Analysis just takes away from the actual pick. There is a win or loss outcome on every game despite analysis. Unless it’s something important that’s not public, analysis means nothing. Just post your pick because no one knows whether its a guess or great analysis. Analysis means nothing. Just win baby!!
@TRAIN69
Perhaps not, yet cogent comments would be appreciated by most.
For instance;
Utah- W. Va under 47.5! Utah's best player banged up, Mountaineers decimated by injuries.
Ky +6.5 vs. S. Carolina big time pass rush vs. quality QB banged up surrounded with limited playmakers
Utah State plus a bunch, (23) with new coach 99-43 up the road, early game with the Commodores booked to Tuscaloosa next Saturday.
Syracuse-Duke, A pair of QB's with major questions under 61 seems logical.
You get the idea. Will add when a poster, writes "large" "max bet" or "GOY" most here know they are not worth reading. bbb
@TRAIN69
Perhaps not, yet cogent comments would be appreciated by most.
For instance;
Utah- W. Va under 47.5! Utah's best player banged up, Mountaineers decimated by injuries.
Ky +6.5 vs. S. Carolina big time pass rush vs. quality QB banged up surrounded with limited playmakers
Utah State plus a bunch, (23) with new coach 99-43 up the road, early game with the Commodores booked to Tuscaloosa next Saturday.
Syracuse-Duke, A pair of QB's with major questions under 61 seems logical.
You get the idea. Will add when a poster, writes "large" "max bet" or "GOY" most here know they are not worth reading. bbb
That makes sense
Other reasons why many/most DON'T post analysis:
- time consuming
- no return on the effort so why bother
- they are posting just to track their system publicly (newbies?)
- they don't want to feel embarrassed or foolish if it fails to yield a win
- they are losing and don't wish to influence anyone to follow what might well be a losing pick as gleaned from an otherwise thoughtful writeup. As pointed out in #7 above, analysis that may appear sound on the surface, often fails where it counts.
Sure, analysis can be entertaining to read and sometimes even helpful - particularly when very well thought out, logical, adds info not otherwise well known, and void of quoting silly "ATS trends"......But unless that author has a solid winning record to support his skills as a capper/analyst, then the bottom line (pick) is of very little value to anyone, including himself.
That makes sense
Other reasons why many/most DON'T post analysis:
- time consuming
- no return on the effort so why bother
- they are posting just to track their system publicly (newbies?)
- they don't want to feel embarrassed or foolish if it fails to yield a win
- they are losing and don't wish to influence anyone to follow what might well be a losing pick as gleaned from an otherwise thoughtful writeup. As pointed out in #7 above, analysis that may appear sound on the surface, often fails where it counts.
Sure, analysis can be entertaining to read and sometimes even helpful - particularly when very well thought out, logical, adds info not otherwise well known, and void of quoting silly "ATS trends"......But unless that author has a solid winning record to support his skills as a capper/analyst, then the bottom line (pick) is of very little value to anyone, including himself.
most of the write ups are just people cherry picking stats or reasoning which supports what they know they want to bet, while ignoring anything that doesn't support their pick imo. i do enjoy reading some of the posters on here who put a lot of work into it. you can find a lot of good info there. i have found over the years that sports betting usually boils down to just having a good feel on certain teams. i used to find all these amazing stats, trends and matchups that would tell me team a should be able to run at will on team b. then come saturday, team b completely shuts them down. happens so often in cfb. i just try to keep track of injuries and weather, and i do a lot of reading team fan forums and watch team podcasters. try to get a feel for the game. some seasons it works pretty well, and some seasons i suck. and of course i watch a ton of games. just my take on it...from someone who bets pretty small just because i enjoy it. also from someone who just posts my picks and my record.
most of the write ups are just people cherry picking stats or reasoning which supports what they know they want to bet, while ignoring anything that doesn't support their pick imo. i do enjoy reading some of the posters on here who put a lot of work into it. you can find a lot of good info there. i have found over the years that sports betting usually boils down to just having a good feel on certain teams. i used to find all these amazing stats, trends and matchups that would tell me team a should be able to run at will on team b. then come saturday, team b completely shuts them down. happens so often in cfb. i just try to keep track of injuries and weather, and i do a lot of reading team fan forums and watch team podcasters. try to get a feel for the game. some seasons it works pretty well, and some seasons i suck. and of course i watch a ton of games. just my take on it...from someone who bets pretty small just because i enjoy it. also from someone who just posts my picks and my record.
Illinois returns 9 players this week against USC.
Matt Bailey
Hank Beatty
Justin Bowick
Ben Clawson
Torrie Cox Jr
Grayson Griffin
Aidan Laughery
Kaleb Patterson
Miles Scott
ILLINOIS +7
I'd start my own thread but can't. I'm flagged for spam.
Illinois returns 9 players this week against USC.
Matt Bailey
Hank Beatty
Justin Bowick
Ben Clawson
Torrie Cox Jr
Grayson Griffin
Aidan Laughery
Kaleb Patterson
Miles Scott
ILLINOIS +7
I'd start my own thread but can't. I'm flagged for spam.
Here's the logic.
You spending all that time with research n analysis n still lose.
So now, I'll just keep it simple n different. I only track top 25 n I track every games to these ranked teams n the margin of points that ranked teams beating the other team. If they have a hard beating any teams by a lot n the spread is too high, I take the dog. LSU came to mind last weekend as they failed to cover. This weekend, there are high offensive powerhouse teams but only laying a TD. If it is not an upset, they'll beat the other team by a lot. I'm only focusing on top 25 because doing for all schools would be too much work n like I said, still losing with all that effort in research.
Kiss method
Keep it simple stupid
Here's the logic.
You spending all that time with research n analysis n still lose.
So now, I'll just keep it simple n different. I only track top 25 n I track every games to these ranked teams n the margin of points that ranked teams beating the other team. If they have a hard beating any teams by a lot n the spread is too high, I take the dog. LSU came to mind last weekend as they failed to cover. This weekend, there are high offensive powerhouse teams but only laying a TD. If it is not an upset, they'll beat the other team by a lot. I'm only focusing on top 25 because doing for all schools would be too much work n like I said, still losing with all that effort in research.
Kiss method
Keep it simple stupid
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