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Who is Your Week 1 Dog Play?

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Posted: #1
Really looking at 1-2 dogs to win su in week 1. Below is a list of some dog teams that are between 2.5 to 9 point dogs that could start 1-0. My list is ranked In sequential order.

Top 3 is obvious...other picks (especially FCS) is appreciated.

1. Western Kentucky +110
2. Michigan +175
3. North Carolina +125.
4. South Dakota State +175
5. Illinois State +250
6. Northern Iowa +240
7. BYU +165
8. Temple +215...fading from this pick, since many are high on Penn State.





 
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Posted: #2
WK is a lock, loving this one
 
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Posted: #3
While the game is at Utah, I see Meeechigan somehow pulling it off.

Then again, they may lose by 14+.

I also like BYU - 
 
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Posted: #4
the Western Kentucky game is going to overtime......UNC wins by 10
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by cherokee10:

While the game is at Utah, I see Meeechigan somehow pulling it off.Then again, they may lose by 14+.I also like BYU -


Really high on BYU playing better D this season. They usually play the run well, which Nebraska loves to do. Only concern I have is their backfield D in this game, but again Nebraska has a QB that had a 52% pass rating in 2014.
 
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Posted: #6
Purdue and Arizona State at the top of my list.
 
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Posted: #7
I like the points in this one:

Fla A&M +27 vs USF

I thinks it's too many points.
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by Greedybastard:

Purdue and Arizona State at the top of my list.

Like ASU 2014 experience vs young A&M team. This can also be like South Carolina / A&M game last year. At the time this game is little too close to call to make any play.
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by Sylvestrem1:

WK is a lock, loving this one
Quote Originally Posted by Sylvestrem1:

WK is a lock, loving this one

Lock!?!? Yikes

Watching WK vs CM last year. WK up 49-14 in the 4th with a little over 10 minutes and CM comes back to lose 49-48.

May change my play to Vanderbilt after seeing WK defense implode. Could see this same thing happen in their 1st game. 


 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by LB_Dirtbags:

Quote Originally Posted by Sylvestrem1:

WK is a lock, loving this one

Lock!?!? Yikes

Watching WK vs CM last year. WK up 49-14 in the 4th with a little over 10 minutes and CM comes back to lose 49-48.

May change my play to Vanderbilt after seeing WK defense implode. Could see this same thing happen in their 1st game. 



I watched that replay tonight too.  Amazing and I have to admit, it made me think Vanderbilt.  I already have a plus 7 wky.

As for the best dog at current numbers on 07/28/15, I would go with Tulane.
 
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Posted: #11
Bowling green + for me
 
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Posted: #12
clowncar you think duke wins by 10 or less?
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by strippersnbens:

the Western Kentucky game is going to overtime......UNC wins by 10
.  For God sake!! What is with you people with the unc crap?!!!! You're gonna make me end up putting a substantial amount on miboy spurrier and da FKN Gamecocks!! Even though I'm already leaning that way already
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by knasty007:

Bowling green + for me

 Like this play a lot. Bowling Green will be representing the MAC . Think offensive minded Dino will get his team to score at least 4 TD's. 
 
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Posted: #15

UV  +17

UV lost only one game last year by more than 14.

 

 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by 1969USC:

UV  +17

UV lost only one game last year by more than 14.

 

And, UCLA won only one game last by more than 18.

 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by LB_Dirtbags:

Quote Originally Posted by knasty007:

Bowling green +
for me
 Like this play a lot. Bowling Green will be representing the MAC . Think offensive minded Dino will get his team to score at least 4 TD's.


A: not so sure they'll score 28, they couldn't get that vs Wisconsin last year and I think Tenn's defense is better. And if they do, B: we know they're good to give up 48+ Points with only 4 starters coming back from an already abysmal defense & new FCS coordinator + the way dobbs had Tenn's offense rolling towards the end of the year.. In a city that means a lot to Butch Jones in Nashville..

Tenn or nothing in my opinion
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by txstate05:

clowncar you think duke wins by 10 or less?

Yes .. the game should be closer to a coin flip.  Last year's game between the two is deceiving.  Since that time, Tulane has improved and Duke lost a lot of their quality, especially Crowder who hurt Tulane last year.  Venue changes as well.  Should be a low scoring game and my instinct tells me that Tulane wins outright.
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by clowncar:


Yes .. the game should be closer to a coin flip.  Last year's game between the two is deceiving.  Since that time, Tulane has improved and Duke lost a lot of their quality, especially Crowder who hurt Tulane last year.  Venue changes as well.  Should be a low scoring game and my instinct tells me that Tulane wins outright.

 Crowder will be missed in this game. Small play on ML for me as well as Tulane keeps it close throughout.
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by 1969USC:

UV  +17

UV lost only one game last year by more than 14.

 


I too liked Virginia initially because UCLA's 4 TD came from turnovers in last years game. Virginia will be pumped for this game. With the total set in the low 50's this tells me close to low scoring, which favors Virginia. My only worries is this can also be a 45-7 UCLA kind game. For the moment I'm laying off this one.
 
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Posted: #21
VIRGINIA................why?



MATCHUP?........NO
  *Bruin OL 131 starts (#1) + Perkins (1600 / 6.3 per rush).....Cavs 3/7 defensive front back / lose 2 NFL players too at LB/DE
 *Cavs lose QB as well plus most of offensive production...UCLA loses great LB Kendricks but Jack and 7 more starters are back.....Cavs will have a really tough time moving the ball >>>>> KEY here?

SITUATIONAL?.....NO
  *UV traveling 2500 miles or so........AND their classes begin 8/25....so are subject to (more) restrictions by NCAA rules

UCLA doesn't start until 9/24....so less (only number of workouts it seems)......plus fewer distractions as well

  *minor....Cavs with Notre Dame on deck at home / Bruins at Nevada
  *minor > major...Bruins more focused off TERRIBLE effort last year at Virginia.....AND (relatively) disappointing 2014.....Mora should have them READY here..........you would think

OTHER..........not really
  *technical?....Cavs overachieved in this role last year....Bruins weak
    but Mora cannot afford a half-azz effort here at home.....esp after Memphis / Utah / Tree last year .....and should return to form (tough in non-conf games) > 7-1 ATS 2012-13....and as home favorite 
  $$$ line value....maybe slight edge Cavs....if Bruins about the same.....Cavs 2-3 pts worse (reasonable)...line should be 14-16 maybe.......I would put it at 16'..................
The impediment to action advances action - what stands in the way becomes the way.
 
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Posted: #22
BA- as always, great input. Much appreciated. 
 
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Posted: #23
??Michigan +6 / +175 
??UNC +3 / +125  

Iowa St. in Ames, IA versus  N.Iowa ??
Cyclones end the 6 game losing streak in a big way -)
 
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Posted: #24

BA,

You have more confidence in Mora than I do.  I think he maxed out a year ago.

 

 
 
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Posted: #25
It think the Mac has some potential Akron, bg, west mich and Kent at. 
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