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WEEK 5

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Posted: #1
yes.....I know very few are interested just yet
  *many still arguing about week 1 crap......

But here's next week's stuff....lines dependent on this week's results of course....


THURSDAY 9/26


101 SAN FRANCISCO  -7
8:25 p.m. NFL
102 ST LOUIS

103 VIRGINIA TECH
7:30 p.m. ESPN
104 GEORGIA TECH -3

105 IOWA ST
7:30 p.m.   FSN
106 TULSA  P
  *ISU with Texas on deck...Tulsa off bye > Rice



FRIDAY 9/27
 
107 MIDDLE TENNESSEE
8:00 p.m.
108 BYU -17'
  *BYU > Utah / Utah St sand.

109 UTAH ST  -2
9:00 p.m. ESPN
110 SAN JOSE ST
  *Aggies> USC / BYU sand.



SATURDAY 9/28

111 VIRGINIA
12:00 p.m.
112 PITTSBURGH   -5

113 NORTHERN ILLINOIS   -3
12:00 p.m.
114 PURDUE

115 TROY
12:00 p.m.
116 DUKE   -2

117 CONNECTICUT   -3
12:00 p.m.
118 BUFFALO
 *UC off Michigan...Bills off bye

119 TOLEDO
12:00 p.m.
120 BALL ST   -5

121 CENTRAL MICHIGAN
12:00 p.m.
122 NC STATE   -20'

123 KENT ST   -6'
12:00 p.m.
124 WESTERN MICHIGAN

125 EAST CAROLINA
12:00 p.m.
126 NORTH CAROLINA   -13
  *UNC > GT / VT sand..EC off BYE > MTS

127 FLORIDA ST   -24
12:00 p.m.
128 BOSTON COLLEGE
  *FSU off FCS > Terps next

129 UAB
1:00 p.m.
130 VANDERBILT   -19
 *Vandy Mizzou next 

131 MIAMI, OH
2:00 p.m.
132 ILLINOIS   -21
  *Illlini off bye > Neb next

133 SMU
2:00 p.m.
134 TCU   -16
  *Frogs off loss > bye > OU next...
   SMU 8-2 ATS v TCU

135 ARKANSAS ST
2:00 p.m.
136 MISSOURI   -10

137 IOWA   -2
3:30 p.m.   ABC
138 MINNESOTA

139 UTEP
3:30 p.m.  CBSC
140 COLORADO ST   -3

141 LSU
3:30 p.m. CBS
142 GEORGIA   -2

143 ARIZONA
3:30 p.m.
144 WASHINGTON   -10
  *UW off FCS > Tree next
   LY Zona won 52-17

145 MISSISSIPPI
3:30 p.m.
146 ALABAMA   -16
  *Rebels off bye...Bama Ga St on deck
 
147 CALIFORNIA
3:30 p.m.
148 OREGON   -32
  *Ducks off bye > Col next...Cal off bye > Wazzu

149 USC
3:30 p.m.
150 ARIZONA ST   -6
  *Devils off Wisky > Tree ...Irish on deck

151 ARMY
3:30 p.m.      Dallas, TX FSN
152 LOUISIANA TECH   P

153 TEXAS A&M  -16
3:30 p.m. CBS
154 ARKANSAS
  *Aggs off SMU > bye

155 OKLAHOMA
3:30 p.m. NBC
156 NOTRE DAME   -1
  *OU revenge...ND in Mich St / Ariz St sand.

157 SOUTHERN MISS
3:30 p.m.
158 BOISE ST   -28

159 MIAMI, FL   -21
3:30 p.m.
160 USF
  *Canes off FCS > GT next

161 WAKE FOREST
3:30 p.m.
162 CLEMSON   -28
  *Clem extra rest > Cuse next

163 TEMPLE  -12
5:00 p.m.
164 IDAHO

165 TULANE
5:00 p.m.
166 ULM   -15

167 HOUSTON   -5
7:00 p.m.  FSN
168 UTSA

169 AKRON
7:00 p.m.
170 BOWLING GREEN   -17

171 COLORADO
7:00 p.m.
172 OREGON ST   -13'
  *Col off 2 weeks...Beavs off bye

173 SOUTH CAROLINA   -5
7:00 p.m.
174 UCF

175 FLORIDA   -17
7:00 p.m.
176 KENTUCKY

177 STANFORD   -16'
7:00 p.m. Seattle, WA
178 WASHINGTON ST
  *Tree off Ariz St > Wash next

179 WYOMING   -10
7:00 p.m.
180 TEXAS ST

181 NAVY   -2
7:00 p.m.
182 WKU
  *Navy off bye > AF next

183 FLORIDA ATLANTIC
7:00 p.m.
184 RICE   -12
  *Owls off Houston / Tulsa on deck

185 SOUTH ALABAMA
7:00 p.m.
186 TENNESSEE   -17
  *Vols in Fla / Ga sand.

187 AIR FORCE
7:30 p.m. CBSC
188 NEVADA   P

189 OKLAHOMA ST  - 13'
7:30 p.m.
190 WEST VIRGINIA
  *OSU off bye

191 WISCONSIN
8:00 p.m. ABC
192 OHIO ST   -9

193 UNLV
8:00 p.m.
194 NEW MEXICO   -3

195 SAN DIEGO ST  -14
8:00 p.m.
196 NEW MEXICO ST

197 FRESNO ST   -17'
12:00 a.m.
198 HAWAII
  *Fresno off HUGE win

------------------------------


LEANS.....

*likely hit early......depending on what happens today

E Caro
Wash
FAU
WKU
BUFFALO
S Alabama
Wazzu
HAWAII
Ole Miss
----------

seriously consider...

Clemson
COL
A&M
Illinois
LSU
---------
checking out....

UAB
SD St
NCSt
TCU
SJose St



It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
 
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Posted: #2
adjusted based on week 4 results...
  *be aware of any overreactions...usually shouldn't change by more than 2-3 pts..unless 1 team with big positive / other negative...then double of course
 (like Mizzou / Ark St)

Ga Tech -3...now maybe 6-7

BYU -17'...now 15

Utah St -3...now 6-7

Duke -2...now 5-6

NCSt -20'...now 23-24

**Mizzou -10...now 18-20 ??

Wash -10...now 12-13

Col St -3...now 6-7

Bama -17...now 15-16'

A&M -16...now 21

**Clemson -28..now 24-25?

ULM -15...now 12-13?

BG -17....now 14

***WYO - 10...now 13-14

Rice -12...now 9-10

Nevada P...now 6-7

Okie St -13'...now 17-18+

Fresno -17'...now 21-22



Leans....revised

Ga Tech
BYU
SJSU ?
Troy /Duke over
BUFFALO
NCSt
ECaro
Illinois
LSU
Wash?
Zona St
A&M
OU??
CLEMSON
UTSA?
WAZZU
WKU
FAU
Okie St
S Ala
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Lean on U at Buffalo , Ole Miss want 17+, Northern Illini -3...

thanks for all ur hard work Brother
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #5
so now I gotta open a Bookmaker account wtf?.....
  *looks they had some up at 9:00a

That's gonna tighten up those early / weak-azz BetOnline numbers.........
Skipster....DU4L.....BOL this week.........
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Posted: #6
tOSU one of the most overrated teams coming into the season......& proving it. SDS handed them the game last nite.

 Don't like the Dawgs laying DD'ds to AZ........even at home.




 
 
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Posted: #7
Early plays:

Troy
LSU
Oregon
Florida
Clemson

Looks:

UB
SJSU
MTSU
GT
Tenn
Pitt
 
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Posted: #8
Will actually play Clem small for now, and then jump on the 1H line.
 
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Posted: #9
Utah st up to 10
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by THEMUGG:

tOSU one of the most overrated teams coming into the season......& proving it. SDS handed them the game last nite.

 Don't like the Dawgs laying DD'ds to AZ........even at home.




 


almost forgot about Col / Beavs....
  *at end of 2012....Beavs would be favored by 30 or so....crazy that the gap has closed by 17-18 pts?
  * I still like Col here.....maybe Oreg St 1H > Col 2H even better.....tough to believe Col isn't extremely sluggish early....(last action 9/7 vs C Ark) .......

I'll be following your lean on Huskies....maybe over or nothing for me...or in-game / halftime > either team should bounce back 
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Posted: #11
on BetOnline....

SJose initially listed as 7' pt FAVORITE.....
  *for about 15 sec
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Posted: #12
Good luck this week Assassin.  


 
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Posted: #13
* last week 9-6...early bet LSU tie

so far >
one unit + > 18-9
smaller > 12-12
consider > 10-7
  *reminder....
what I do is look at 15 games or so...come up with 5-8 'solid' plays....(one unit or better)...but simply list others I considered (smaller/consider).....because often they do better wtf.....'lesser' plays 15-0 at one point LY

 
ONE UNIT

Troy +11
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Posted: #14
added


ONE UNIT

Ole Miss +17'


smaller

FAU +13'
Wash -7
LSU +3
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
 
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Posted: #15
Looking hard at Wash. -7. Good team with loud home field.
Ol Miss +17 very tempting.

I know everyone hates USC but that is a good defense. Looking at that one closely. USC +7
I'm on Wyoming -10.5 @ Tx. St.    Tx. St. probably better defense than Air Force but love that Wyoming QB. 

Im leaning Houston -2.5 @ Tx. S.A.   What do you think?
I'm also thinking @Rice -13.5 when the public bets that one down a little.

GL,   Doc
 
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Posted: #16
add.........SMALL

Kent St +3
  *guessing they get Archer back here......held out vs Penn St for this 'winnable' game...?.....
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:

added


ONE UNIT

Ole Miss +17'


smaller


FAU +13'
Wash -7
LSU +3


UGA looked unfocused and lethargic against N. Texas Saturday.  Despite 14-14 tie, game never seemed out of their hands though.  Have to believe it was a look-ahead weekend for them and LSU tends to be overwhelming with the better athletes versus UGA each time they match-up.  I'm not fully supporting a UGA play, but they have a very strong grasp on Mettenberger's strengths/weaknesses and tendencies being his time spent at UGA.  Not sure who has the greater force behind them--Mettenberger's vengeful side for being released, or UGA's familiarity with him.  Granted, the kid can sling the ball around and no dobut UGA secondary is weak...  Should make for a good contest though.

Another great weekend thanks to your help--stay strong my friend.


 
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Posted: #18
added WKU....line going wrong way......

ONE UNIT

Troy +11
Ole Miss +17'
WKU +2


smaller

FAU +13'
Wash -7
LSU +3
Kent St +3


will add a few more later...
BYU 1H
EC maybe go up?
Col ditto (probably not)
S Ala up?......
  *and the thought of course.....is that Troy...for whatever reason....got down and mailed it in

Thorpe......mws.....dawg.....michfan....... BOL .....


Doc....
Rice ?.....not for me....best road dog in nation is FAU (9-0 ATS)....not a bad idea tho....FAU lost a winnable game in OT at home....now a tough road game...

Houston worth checking into for sure....
USC risky....they can't move the ball.....they (could) get spanked here....or might win SU (ASU in tough stretch)
Wyoming?.....maybe bet every week until they don't cover.........
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
 
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Posted: #19
Looking forward to the injury report.  If nothing special is going on I may take @Minny PK  Iowa.      GL.
 
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Posted: #20
KEY INJURIES

*point here is to check status before you BET the game....I just checked before I posted this....
   eg.   2 weeks ago Storm Woods was being loaded into an ambulance .....giving signals he will live.....
that means as gamblers...he is DOUBTFUL here...
regardless of what is being said......... 

 
QB's

off-board :
  *Hawaii - Taylor Graham shoulder?
   Miami -  Stephen Morris ankle
   Nevada - Fajardo
   Ark -    Brandon Allen shoulder
-----------------------------

Tenn     Peterman out (orig starter Worley back in)
USC      Kessler will play throwing hand badly bruised
FIU      Medlock and b/u ?
check status > Iowa St...Hou...LT...Miss St...Boise...Kentucky


RB's

Kent St      Archer should play
BUFFALO    Oliver ?
Oreg St    Woods should be out
Rutgers    James out 2 weeks +
BYU        Williams likely out
UTEP       Jeffrey ?
USC        Redd very ?

others..

Texas     LB Hicks OFY (achilles)
           *maybe best def player
Mich ST   DB Jairus Jones out 6 weeks > 2INT
USC       3rd WR Rogers high ankle > D
              WR Lee slight ankle....<100%
It is better to be feared - than to be loved.
 
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BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by mws:

Will actually play Clem small for now, and then jump on the 1H line.


that's a good idea.....that 28 makes me slightly nervous...but WF with little BD threat.....
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Posted: #23
Brandon Allen will not be close to 100% IMO.  He could not throw at all as of Saturday, and could just take snaps.  

Oliver for UB is close to 100% off the bye

Fajardo, there is no reason to play him IMO.  I like the Under for this game.  Polian could save Fajordo for SDST, Boise, UNLV, Fresno, but any QB looks like a champ vs this AF passing defense

BYU Williams has to be out for MTSU.




 
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good work as always
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by bookieassassin:

 
Doc....

Rice ?.....not for me....best road dog in nation is FAU (9-0 ATS)....not a bad idea tho....FAU lost a winnable game in OT at home....now a tough road game...

this trend, and the fact you and a couple others like FAU, will probably keep me off of Rice... but between me and you, i think Rice can put up big numbers against FAU, and take out some frustration after playing much tougher competition... 

if the line keeps dropping, i might still have to consider it... at some point, that road dog trend is going to go out the window... this week seems as good as any...
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