College Football Betting Analysis - Rutgers @ Washington

Game Details

Friday, October 10, 2025 - 9:00 PM ET
Line: Washington -10 (Washington home)
Total: 61.5

Rutgers @ Washington Betting Analysis

Friday, October 10, 2025 - 9:00 PM ET
Line: Washington -10 | Total: 61.5

Key Stats

Rutgers (Road Dog +10)

• Offense: 6.0 yards/play, 39.0 PPG (ranked 20th)
• Defense: 4.6 yards/play allowed, solid run defense (2.9 yards/rush)
• Record: 3-2 overall, 3-2 ATS, 5-0 O/U (all games go over!)
• Road: 0-1 (lost 28-31 at Minnesota but covered +4)
• Passing: 293.6 yards/game, 8.7 yards/attempt
• Strong 2nd Quarter: 15.0 PPG (ranked 9th)
• CONCERN: Multiple CBs, WRs, OL injured

Washington (Home Favorite -10)

• Offense: 6.7 yards/play, 39.4 PPG (ranked 19th)
• Defense: 6.4 yards/play allowed - TERRIBLE (ranked 124th!)
• Record: 4-1 overall, 2-3 ATS (not covering spreads!)
• Home: 2-1
• Passing: Elite - 9.3 yards/attempt, 72.3% completion
• Strong 4th Quarter: 14.6 PPG (ranked 2nd)

Key Observations

1. Washington is 2-3 ATS - They win but don't cover. Market overvalues them.
2. Both teams score ~39 PPG - Minimal talent gap
3. Washington's defense is 124th nationally - One of worst in country
4. Rutgers is 5-0 O/U - Every game goes over
5. Rutgers covered on road at Minnesota - Can compete away from home

My Analysis

My Estimated Spread: Washington -5.5 to -6.5

• Home field: +3.5
• Talent: Nearly even (39 PPG each)
• Injuries to Rutgers: -2 points

Market Line: Washington -10

VALUE: Getting 3.5-4 points on Rutgers

The Verdict

?? PLAY: Rutgers +10 ??

Confidence: STRONG VALUE

Why:

• Washington is 2-3 ATS (doesn't cover big spreads)
• Washington's defense is trash (124th) - Rutgers will score
• Both teams average 39 PPG - this is closer to even
• Getting 3.5-4 points of value
• Projected score: 35-28 or 38-31 Washington = Rutgers covers

Concern:

Rutgers' injured CBs vs Washington's elite passing attack. But even with that, 10 points is too many.

Bonus Play

OVER 61.5 - Also strong

• Rutgers 5-0 O/U
• Both score 39 PPG
• Both defenses struggle
• Easy to see 42-35 game (77 points)

Recommendation: Rutgers +10 (primary) | Over 61.5 (secondary)

Are you copying and pasting these summaries from somewhere?

Washington’s defense isn’t 124th in the country. Maybe some  function of it is.

@Coach55

 nope writing it all that why it taking all damn day to do 3 games

@worldgambler

 chat gpt is garbage, Claude !! If I was doing that what would it matter as long as they cash. May have to look into that to speed this shit up, you will notice a 2.5 hour delay from ,my first post. Hope your on  N. TEXAS !!

@FatCheeks

@burgaweddie22

 Much respect then