A non-winner posted here last week (6-7, .462). That puts the season overall at .500 (24-24). NG. Tech cappers often have the capacity to examine every game. In doing that, the box favors all of these: 1) SanJoseSt(+2.5)/Stanford 2) AirForce(-4.5)/Hawaii 3) ColoradoSt(-4.5)/WashingtonSt 4) GeorgiaTech(-14.5)/WakeForest 5) LA-Monroe(-1.5)/ArkansasSt 6) FloridaSt(-6.5)/Virginia 7) Northwestern(-6.5)/UCLA 8) Illinois(+6.5)/USC 9) NoIllinois (+3.5)/SanDiegoSt 10) Arkansas(+6.5)/NotreDame 11) Iowa(+7.5)/Indiana 12) SoMississippi(-3.5)/JacksonvilleSt 13) TexasA&M(-6.5)/Auburn 14) Buffalo(+3.5)/Connecticut 15) Army(+4)/EastCarolina 16) Rutgers(+5.5)/Minnesota
Like the Saturday before, the system brought forth a more spaced-out level of success. However, the algorithm continues to show some rank-value, whereby the top two have gone .625 (5-3).
Anecdotally, it feels like the large favs are winning in 2025. At least when recording scores, it has seemed so. Is that true? Easy enough to check. The reality is, my “feels like” is not true. Away Favs giving 11+ have fared poorly (8-11, .421). And Home Favs giving 15+ have similarly not-cashed their slips (27-38, .415).
However, if your gaze shifts to the long-term (many seasons) – it all goes to .500 of course. Which brings us back to the salient point we all know – it’s a tough game to beat. I rotely embrace the favs when so directed (box), but personally more-like the value of dogs. Possessing no fundamental-type handicapping talent – it’s just something that I observe tangentially in my data.
We have 51 games on the board this week; the most so far. So, abundant opportunity for one and all! Good luck, TheKingfish
A non-winner posted here last week (6-7, .462). That puts the season overall at .500 (24-24). NG. Tech cappers often have the capacity to examine every game. In doing that, the box favors all of these: 1) SanJoseSt(+2.5)/Stanford 2) AirForce(-4.5)/Hawaii 3) ColoradoSt(-4.5)/WashingtonSt 4) GeorgiaTech(-14.5)/WakeForest 5) LA-Monroe(-1.5)/ArkansasSt 6) FloridaSt(-6.5)/Virginia 7) Northwestern(-6.5)/UCLA 8) Illinois(+6.5)/USC 9) NoIllinois (+3.5)/SanDiegoSt 10) Arkansas(+6.5)/NotreDame 11) Iowa(+7.5)/Indiana 12) SoMississippi(-3.5)/JacksonvilleSt 13) TexasA&M(-6.5)/Auburn 14) Buffalo(+3.5)/Connecticut 15) Army(+4)/EastCarolina 16) Rutgers(+5.5)/Minnesota
Like the Saturday before, the system brought forth a more spaced-out level of success. However, the algorithm continues to show some rank-value, whereby the top two have gone .625 (5-3).
Anecdotally, it feels like the large favs are winning in 2025. At least when recording scores, it has seemed so. Is that true? Easy enough to check. The reality is, my “feels like” is not true. Away Favs giving 11+ have fared poorly (8-11, .421). And Home Favs giving 15+ have similarly not-cashed their slips (27-38, .415).
However, if your gaze shifts to the long-term (many seasons) – it all goes to .500 of course. Which brings us back to the salient point we all know – it’s a tough game to beat. I rotely embrace the favs when so directed (box), but personally more-like the value of dogs. Possessing no fundamental-type handicapping talent – it’s just something that I observe tangentially in my data.
We have 51 games on the board this week; the most so far. So, abundant opportunity for one and all! Good luck, TheKingfish
For the record – adding yet another. 17) EasternMichigan(+3.5)/CentralMichigan
Current line shown above. I have not yet placed on this one ($) -- as I’ve watched the Eagles tumble from a high of at least +6.5. Over the years, absent any hard data collected, I’ve seen the number routinely revert to its beginnings. So, I’m watching & waiting; even though 3.5 is an absolutely-stellar Dog number. Good luck, TheKingfish
For the record – adding yet another. 17) EasternMichigan(+3.5)/CentralMichigan
Current line shown above. I have not yet placed on this one ($) -- as I’ve watched the Eagles tumble from a high of at least +6.5. Over the years, absent any hard data collected, I’ve seen the number routinely revert to its beginnings. So, I’m watching & waiting; even though 3.5 is an absolutely-stellar Dog number. Good luck, TheKingfish
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