RoboCap – Selections for 10/11

A mild winner here last Saturday (7-6, .538). Despite just two losing weeks out of six, the full-season record is nothing to write home about (39-37, .513). NG. Turning that crank on the box, and looking at each game, these float to the top:
1) Colorado(+4.5)/IowaState
2) Wisconsin(+3.5)/Iowa
3) SamHouston(+8.5)/JacksonvilleSt
4) TexasA&M(-7)/Florida
5) LSU(-8)/SouthCarolina
6) Missouri(+3.5)/Alabama
7) MichiganState(-7.5)/UCLA
8) Oregon(-7.5)/Indiana
9) USC(-2.5)/Michigan
10) OregonState(+2.5)/WakeForest
11) Washington(-10.5)/Rutgers

Through the first six weeks, the algorithm’s top two selections are performing (8-4, .667). Alas, a small sample size and maybe just that blind-pig rummaging about for his acorns.....

Hey, consistent with this slot on the forum, how about some more boring data -- to satisfy that internal-curiosity of knowing how the categories are faring in 2025? Well, over 292 FBS non-neutral site games, Home Favs are 93-89-7 (.511), and Home Dogs are 50-51-2 (.495). So, we’d all be challenged to find any strategic direction in those numbers. As we know, these percentages all go to .500 over time.

Another dollop of boring; though maybe ominous in nature. SpreadMargin (SM) is the amount a team covers by -- or fails to cover. Over the last eleven seasons (7583 games), the SM was 12.23 points. This season, SM is 11.51; a reduction of six percent. Within our current realm of understanding, and grappling-with, Artificial Intelligence, I leave every capper to worry (or not-worry) about that six (6) percent.

We have 56 on the board this week – the most weekly-opportunity thus far.
Good luck,
TheKingfish

For the record – am adding another.
2.5) Arizona(+2)/BrighamYoung

Truth be told, I actually have three (3) more waiting in the wings. In common.......the box insists they all need a bit-more incentive (points).
Good luck,
TheKingfish

Adding yet another (the KSU Wildcats), and doing a coherent re-order of the list.
1) Colorado(+4.5)/IowaState
2) Wisconsin(+3.5)/Iowa
3) Arizona(+2)/BrighamYoung
4) KansasSt(+2)/TCU
5) SamHouston(+8.5)/JacksonvilleSt
6) TexasA&M(-7)/Florida
7) LSU(-8)/SouthCarolina
8) Missouri(+3.5)/Alabama
9) MichiganState(-7.5)/UCLA
10) Oregon(-7.5)/Indiana
11) USC(-2.5)/Michigan
12) OregonState(+2.5)/WakeForest
13) Washington(-10.5)/Rutgers

The algorithm also quietly likes both EasternMichigan & GeorgiaSt (in the 5.5 position), but please pencil them in for me only if each moves up to +3. Both are currently hanging at 2 to 2.5. Thank you.

Good luck,
TheKingfish