Lets hammer another. 
This line opened at LSU -3.5 and is now Vandy -2. Massive line movement that made me do a deep dive into the game. First off LSU is 5-1 but they haven't been very impressive, they beat South Carolina 20-10 in a shit show of a game after fumbling twice in the red zone. They did everything they could and then some to keep the Gamecocks in the game. They are ranked 102 in red zone scoring %. They are dogshit at finishing drives, when they get inside the 20 they either turn it over or settle for 3 and thats gonna bite them hard in the ass today.
Vanderbilt is coming off a bye week and thats huge. Vanderbilt went into Tuscaloosa two weeks ago and honestly they were in that Alabama game until the fourth quarter got away from them. Final score was 30-14 but it wasn't that kind of beatdown. Diego Pavia took some shots though, and when you're a quarterback who runs as much as he does, those add up. Two weeks to heal and game plan for LSU specifically? Thats a difference maker.
Want to guess where the Commodores rank offensively? 11th nationally in EPA per pass. That's ahead of teams you've actually heard of. They're top ten in rushing success rate. Pavia's throwing for almost 240 yards per game with 14 touchdowns and only 4 picks, plus he's running for another 60 yards per game. Their running back Sedrick Alexander is averaging a nasty 6.4 ypc. Their offense is clicking nicely on all cylinders.
Vanderbilt has one loss this year to BAMA and their QB took some massive shots all game and was never able to get flowing. Look for him to have better protection today and be a dual threat that gives the LSU D hell.
Laying points even if its just 2 is not sexy with Vanderbilt but it looks and feels like another winner. I can feel Joe Public slamming LSU and then looking up at the stars when his ticket loses. Don't be another donk and back LSU just because they are Louisiana State, their history means nothing today, they're gonna lose to the upstart Commodores.
Gimme Vanderbilt -2
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