RECAP
Mizzou .. won on rushing .. run D .. sacks .. had roughly equal yards / penalties .. the big diff here was 1 add'l turnover and early in the game with all the momentum they got bama stopped 3 n out .. taunting penalty free first down bama marched for a TD .. I had a sense the margin for error to win was very thin and that might have given bama the edge just to equalize and yeah .. Zoo really needed the strip sack / easy TD early in H2 .. Bama won on passing 74% comps and critical downs were 6/15 on 3rd but 3/3 on 4th so effectively 9/15 60% success moving the chains ... Mizzoo 1/10 on 3rd 2/3 4th so 3/10 .. 30% .. and that was the feeling for most of the game .. that and inexplosive run game and runs that didn't quite keep them on schedule .. and Pribula hit and miss dealing with pressure mostly miss and whiffing on some passes some he'd reallllllly want back like wide open guy on his 2nd drive .. air mailed it out of bounds .. Thought Mizzoo was lucky to have been in a position with the ball and chance to tie or win .. resulting pass sailed into safety's hands with another WR wide open wasn't a surprise .. absolute fail and lucky to not have needed that drive just to cover IMO ..
Maryland .. clearly out matched by Nebraska but our ace in the hole was MD has a decent enough pass D and Nebraska in the late first roadie spot .. and coming out H2 this seemed to take hold with MD up a TD off a pick 6 .. also had Raiola seemingly hurt on a sack to close H1 .. unsure the impact but clearly we got some benefit out of that and think the entire MD team came out thinking this could be the game they don't just cover .. aaaaand then they just cover .. gave up easy scores .. Nebraska's run D isin't good but MD couldn't capitalize .. MD's QB had a decent day .. MD's run D left them in bad shape all game ..
Louisiana .. 13.5 and we got LUNCH in at QB .. he is a dynamic and solid playmaker for them who can run and throw a deep ball and when JMU puts all their chips on stopping the run .. which they did effectively .. he still went balls deep to land us a few TD's and nearly got one right before H1 which woulda landed us the smaller total over 44.5 most likely and / or possibly changed the outcome where we coulda pulled down the FUN BET ULL ML/O44.5 for 20-1 .. eeesh very disappointed how they closed the half with NO POINTS when they coulda been a real threat going up 10 at least if not 14 .. ULL was ahead and /or in position to win or tie almost the entire game so very very disappointing .. JMU was stuck in another tough spot with the division showdown vs ODU on deck .. we didn't expect a result like ODU had vs Marshall .. clearly that was the game to key on for the result we were looking for in this one but nonetheless got the BP and the smaller spread .. right call right idea ..
Tex / Okla Unde .. I mean this just never had a shot with UT's D coming off the embarrassing performance and probably realizing that success of the season and ability to win in the SEC totally falls on them .. they went out and did it ..
Toledo .. I can only get us a 21-zip head start .. I can't make them win let alone cover that stuff comes from within .. WOWZERZ!!!.. Toledo strikes again with another errant loss as the far and away best all around team in the MAC .. high time for the Rockets to hang up the Jason Candle's headset for him because this is pretty much the story most years for them..
GAME OF THE YEAR
BRIDGE PLAYS
OLE MISS / GEORGIA -9.5 GM OF YR
Spot is still good with UGA home for the big revenge game .. what's not good is UGA .. I wouldn't even look at it today .. maybe play it in game if UGA makes a mistake early and gets the line favorable .. I could still see this being a big surprise UGA win I don't think we're out of it .. that's why we like tying the spot in w look ahead games .. even if the teams change unfavorably here we are still with a line that's not far off .. was UGA 5.5 look ahead last week .. and was 6.5 look ahead open last night .. obvi this is nothing to brag about but lining up the right spot spared us from I think a sure thing loss .. no revenge neutral site and Ole Miss doesn't look like barely a pac 12 team last week I'd say UGA is probably the 9.5 point dog here lol .. call it a dud but at least a dud that can still hit ..
SMALLER
PENN ST / IOWA UNDER 45.5 GM OF YR
PSU omg .. and QB is OFY now .. my word feels like I go take a p!ss come back and PSU goes from elite top 3 to losing to the worst teams in the P4 .. on the road, at home and clearly in their souls .. NU won on TOP, penalties and were +1 in turnovers .. something a good team should overcome easily with offensive firepower .. but this team lost on yardage overall too and just woah nellie .. PSU's teleportation to rock bottom came at such a bad time in the heat of their conf schedule .. you see Clem and Texas getting their struggles out the way early and the arc for them is at least in the right direction .. even UCLA you see the wonder of regrouping after a meltdown .. MSU take note guys .. hire Tim Skipper and Jerry Neuheisel today and you could be beating Penn State in a few short weeks lol .. idk how Franklin survives outside of massive buyout but if yer PSU I think there is only one choice at this point .. and it would be better to, as the English say, 'get on with it' ..
Only worry here is a team collapse could trigger a massive offensive output from Iowa .. we've seen B2B weeks some surprsingly poor defense .. Jim Knowles the best DC in history (to start the year) .. but we also noted everywhere he went it didn't flip the switch right away .. Okla State took 2 years to turn real nasty in year 3 .. Buckeyes took a year and sometime early in yr 2 it was evident they were elite and super elite year 3.. not instantaneous other spots and hard to tell what's in store for this team rest of this ssn .. On the flip side there's a worry that PSU could regroup itself under a new QB and produce some points .. coach fired might spark a big turnaround .. hard to tell but man o man this is the first real test since Oregon and they've failed their 2 practice tests in the interim .. miserably .. WOW .. PURE WOW!!
SMALLER
JMU / ODU UNDER 49.5
JMU Pass and Run D is really strong and ODU leads with a very strong offense .. game's at JMU in a total epic conf showdown that put both teams in terrible spots last week .. ODU's D is nothing real special .. but JMU has clear deficiencies on offense .. especially pass game .. receivers stink .. and games at JMU it feels like their best attributes take over and at this point its hard to imagine if the offense wasn't putting up points vs VERY BAD DEFENSES in ULL and GA State in B2B weeks that it all of a sudden finds itself in a major way this game .. ODU is not a push over in run D and besides a bad spot meltdown they've been well under 60% pass d comps and were 4 TD's to 5 picks leading into the ugly loss .. wow what in the world was that!! ..
Tough to say exactly what to make of the game ..ODU just BLEW any .. small .. playoff chance it had out of the universe .. JMU must find its motivation in winning its first ever Sun Belt championship .. for both teams .. and this is the division showdown that puts one firmly in the driver seat to punch their ticket to the champ game .. These 2 met in the CAA in their FCS days .. before JMU was the major superpower in FCS ODU was in that spot in a few years they waxed these guys 2x in 2011 and 2012 .. JMU since returned the favor beating ODU 3 straight in the sun belt .. all Virginia schools really go at each other in this state and all the little guys seem to have the complex of whose the tallest of the scrappy short kids on the block ..only 5 games in the history but they recently named this matchup "THE TOWNEBANK ROYAL RIVALRY CHALLENGE" I can assure you that this is the biggest conf game on both teams schedules with and without the conf showdown and corp sponsored rivalry naming rights etc etc .. MASSIVE GAME .. think its lower scoring slug fest all the way ..
Marshall just knows how to beat that team they have won 8 straight vs ODU and Marshall has been putting up a lot of points last 4 games got that offense rolling, and toledo is just flat out horrible as a favorite and they lose outright as a double digit favorite a lot look it up its crazy i was on BG and some ML decent week gl
BRIDGE PLAY
TENNESSEE +8.5
This is a tough one I took 9.5 last night and think it could drop considerably maybe well under a TD .. Tenn is not the greatest team but they do have a decent D Line and given some of Bama's run D woes I think we can take a stab at the points here .. SP+ has this at Bama -4 and I tend to agree its north of that but south of a TD .. We do have a massive rivalry game and would tend to give TENN a little latitude in how they played their recent game very close with Arkansas .. will be a TRIPLE MAX EFFORT here .. I also don't like how Vols tend to play on the road .. this is such a big game for them as they can truly insert themselves into the conf hunt .. a spot that I didn't think they'd sniff this year .. come close in quite a few games to being out already .. add on the rivalry elements and yeah think I'll take the points here..
We faded bama last week in what I thought was a potential death spot last week .. VERY VERY TOUGH PHYSICL GAME .. multiple guys got hurt and unclear if they'll be back .. Mizzoo's hard hittin safety put one of their WR's into a coma .. I don't think he'll be playing this week .. All that said Bama showed up to that spot and didn't blink much .. some troubles in deed but they didn't succumb to the spot in my view .. AND .. on even ground I gotta say Bama looks like a top 5 team with OSU, Miami, Indy! and idk TAMU maybe?! .. but here we are yet again its now their 4th SUPERMAX EFFORT in a row ..good spot at home but this isin't the game I'm laying points on .. And gotta note that UGA coulda won that game .. Vandy played them very tough final score very misleading .. Mizzoo I thought played bad and somehow had a shot to win ..
Tenn is iffy in coverage and that's a problem here .. but wouldn't say bad and theyve been little hit n miss in run D but gotta give them some leeway after last week in a bad spot playing Tylan Green very tough chain moving dude QB .. Bama's guy can move but I doubt they want that to be the key to their success in this gm .. Tenn is stout up front getting pressure and could be a big help in this one .. DL is solid enough .. coverage at least has a few guys to like but very thin group and that's a big worry here .. we're expecting the home spot to favor bama but overall spot with all the big effort games to maybe weight them down into mistakes and expect TENN to play to their max potential .. yeah 8.5 sure why not .. gulp ..
BRIDGE PLAY
VANDY - PICK'EM (H.ROCK)
LSU is really not a very good team overall and they're off a tough game .. kinda down n out very iffy S.Carolina team gave them a bit of a run for their money AT LSU last week .. we saw Nussmeier struggling to make plays .. taking pressure and he was on a bad leg .. took some hits and we'll see if that gets any better .. but bad OL bad offense and I think going on the road to Nashville with Pavia stewing over their bama loss really makes for a bad spot for this LSU team .. pre-ssn this was a massive line but it does feel like we know at this point that even in a loss Vandy can go toe to toe with Bama and I think if they changed a couple small things / didn't just go for the Pavia show and use the RB's a little more .. the stuff that got them where they are .. didn't suffer the ugly turnovers .. this mighta been another big vandy win .. another universe now .. LSU beat these guys up last year and Vandy still alive in the conf and playoff hunt .. they need this one .. like the spot and think LSU will surprisingly lack much offense in this one ..
BRIDGE PLAY
OKLAHOMA -3.5 (H.ROCK)
Gunna go fast .. Fan up to 5.5 .. not saying its the greatest steal but I give Mateer a muuuuch better chance to perform in this one vs what he did vs one of the best D's in the country .. also a pretty sizable reveng spot ..S Carolina hasn't shown us much and opps to do something big vs LSU last week fell totally flat .. .. good luck .. play it quick..
BRIDGE PLAY
MIAMI -12 (CZRs)
Don't want to lay the double D but Miami run D is extra stout and the pressure campaign is going to be relentless .. Miller Moss is a statue back there and under pressure his numbers drop to horrific levels .. we've seen Pitt shut Ville's run D down and by the grace of the FB gods they lucked their way into that massive comeback .. could happen again .. we've seen Miami do this thing where they take their foot off the gas at the end a couple times now .. but big home spot I'm hoping we don't get the lightning strike .. think it could actually be a giant win here .. good luck!
SMALLER
UCLA -2.5
Didn't want this one to be the first nasty spot for MD but they're off 2 really solid spots at home vs opponents in tough spots .. Wash off the Bucks X country .. Nebraska first road gm .. both spots worked well for them .. good home field .. 2 almost wins and my pref would be they closed out Nebraska and had a big party this week .. its possible they buckle down and show up and UCLA is drunk off their turnaround magic .. I just have a funny feeling though its UCLA in a firm 'keep the party goin' spot .. at home .. at night .. and likely in front of the most fans they've seen in a long time .. The big problem is this is about a 20 point adjustment from where the line was week 3 or so when UCLA was rock bottom worst rated team in CFB nearly .. and MD was kinda cruisin .. big jump can be explained obvi and hope UCLA is not just a 2 hit wonder because if so then they will absolutely lose to even a down on their luck MD team in a tough x country spot .. gotta go smaller .. wish we could T-OFF on it .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAY
STANFORD +18.5
B2B2B BIG CONF GAME LOSSES and each was heartbreaking in its own way .. far cry from how they started POUNDING BAMA .. any major post season goals are in the toilet and now we have this trip wayyyy X country to one of the worst teams as a massive favorite showing up to prove they aren't truly an ACC bottom feeder again even if their conf record says they are . they do get the extra hours in the travel time but man this game at 7:30 PT is 10:30 ET start time .. this line should be 21 or so but between the travel and the other major aggrevating factors .. man o man .. I'd say put em on upset alert but this feels more like you might need 24 hour suicide watch because this matchup feels like a possible extinction meteor heading right for Mike Norvell's head and its really not clear to me if he can motivate his team to not just grab a cold one this week and watch the IMPACT ..
Stanford has been in mostly bad spots with more motivated opponents this year .. @Hawaii to start when they had no real idea what the team was .. @BYU was tough sledding .. Got a big and maybe lucky W vs BC at home in a good spot .. then back out @UVA X country vs a team in a big home spot off a bye total slaughter .. eeked one out vs SJSU in a bit of a shootout .. back on the road @SMU felt like another 'kill me' spot .. By now the rating is in the toilet for good reason and we flip the script not just on the opponent spot w FSU in a major dud but Stan should show up with some fortitude and do a couple things right here or just get a little lucky .. Hard to imagin FSU doesn't have a good number of guys out and are thinking about playing some guys further down the roster in this one esp if they get well out ahead because no way the starters should be playing the entire game .. What I could imagine is if new faces happen to show up to start the game or quite a few jump in well before FSU gets a foot hold in the game.. we'll see how it goes .. Stan is legit not great .. bad run game doesn't help .. D is not very good .. but this spot says they should play one of their best games of the ssn and FSU might have one of their worst so .. that could be worth alot more than a couple points .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAY
TAMU / ARK OVER 61.5 (FAN)
Hardly ever do a total BP but I think this is just so likely to be an offensive bonanza for a few reasons .. Big rivalry and we expect the things each team does well to show up .. Ark has been a real surprise on offense with Tylan Green but its not all him .. excellent pass blocking so far .. really strong lead RB and backup .. Great WR duo in Blake / Sharpe 2 more capable support cast .. TE Platt and RB Washington both can catch a ball .. TAMU's D has stepped way up so it seems in the last few weeks since a debaccle vs UTSA w them running all over em .. ND shootout .. Aggs pinned down Miss State and Auburn .. Auburn's offense has the IQ of an ally cat and Miss State is really just capable on offense I wouldn't call it strong .. OL not very good .. Big key is can Ark stop a tough pass rush that gave Florida all kinda trouble .. Ark did great pass blocking vs ND and Ole Miss and while they gave up some sacks to Tenn I'd say overall good job vs a very very tough DL on the road .. TAMU's tackling has also been a big problem in multiple games now and in this big road spot I could see it being one of the kickers that makes this easy for us ..
TAMU's offense has been very strong looking so far but hasn't put up the points in every game .. This OL vs this D front is a massive mismatch and really the D front has been mismatched all eyear .. I expect one of the best passing games from Marcell Reed in this one .. Ark's D has been THROTTLED with injuries and key starters and depth have been OFY and in and out of the lineup .. they don't play many guys in the 2-deep we only see 7 or so backups get in the game in blowouts vs ND .. last game vs Tenn in a close one 5 guys subbed any sig reps .. and the starters aren't very good anyway .. 2 sacks only vs their best comp Ole Miss, ND, Tenn .. TAMU has given up 4 sacks total in their 4 tough games incl those credited to Reed .. 3 vs Auburn and 1 vs Miss St .. Zero vs Florida and @ND .. only gave up much pressures to Aub and ND .. Florida and Miss St had very very little .. Ark prob min pressure here .. lucky to sniff Reed .. expecting their pass and run game to work really well here ..maybe best conf game of the year and point total to go along w it ..
Kicker here is Ark's HC was fired and Petrino has taken over .. they got a big game outta them @TENN took them to the wire on pure offensive grit .. BIIIIG RIVALRY game for Ark now AT HOME .. expect their biggest punch of the year and w Patrino at the helm you know where that punch will come from .. expecting a solid output that makes TAMU quit dicking around and finish drives with TD's.. if TAM's offense screws around and fails to cap drives then Ark can absolutely oblige them and pull out a big win .. TAMU wins 52-45 in a BOOMER ..
NU flipped from the 'HELP!' position to a big win .. we were gunna need them to beat Purdue otherwise or get very lucky somewhere else .. woo hoo ..
PITT moved up from help also with a massive win and new QB and new attitude .. they can fight their way into the conf champ game from here and even the playoffs .. doesn't mean they will but make a bowl feels very much in the cards if they don't drop one they shouldn't and win a tossup ..
Mizzoo, BYU, Marsh .. go from shades to popcorn .. Marsh maybe a worry they seem to have turned themselves around .. ODU in a huge down spot w Marsh a forming team /new coach off their bye week looked different and played up big ..I give us close to 50/50 assuming Marsh isin't truly as strong as they appeared last week .. BYU double OT win 6-0 .. tough part of the schedule now and we'll see what they're made of ..
Tulane, Kent, OSU feel like sure thing L's at this point
PREDICTION .. Low end 12-6 ... high end 15-3 .. 13-5 or 14-4 most likely .. GOOD LUCK! 
SEASON WINS
NWESTERN OVER 3.5 -140 
S.DIEGO ST OVER 4.5 -110
S.CAROLINA UNDER 7.5 -110 
JAMES MAD OVER 7.5 -120
SO MISS OVER 4.5 -115
AUBURN UNDER 8 -120
ARMY UNDER 7.5 -110
TULSA OVER 2.5 -180
UAB UNDER 4.5 -130
PITT OVER 5.5 -150
BYU UNDER 8.5 -157
MISSOURI OVER 7.5 +130
MARSHALL UNDER 5.5 -115
GEORGIA ST OVER 3.5 -105
TENNESSEE UNDER 8.5 +100
TULANE UNDER 8.5 -110 
KENT STATE UNDER 2.5 -120 
OHIO STATE UNDER 10.5 -130
FUTURES ROUNDUP ..
CONF CHAMP
SO MISS 24-1 .. They can make the game w REAL shot to WIN ..
VIRGINIA 200-1 .. Hedging MIAMI already.. you'll wish you had if they blow out Ville this wk
CINCINNATI 40-1 .. too soon for shades .. nope ..they can def make the gm ..
SAN DIEGO ST 60-1 .. legit off / def and sp tms this tm is a WAGON!! Big tests coming!!
OLE MISS WK6 7-1 .. not much in the way for this one .. but big tests incoming ..
MISSOURI 50-1 .. They can make it but loss to bama was a bummer
WASHINGTON 75-1 .. epic run needed ..
BAYLOR 9-1 .. need a whole new team ..
PITT 80-1 .. gotta win em all incl miami.. but .. one step closer now!
UTSA 8.5-1 
TULSA 300-1
ILLINOIS 38-1
VA TECH 250-1
N.MEXICO 100-1
MAKE CHAMP GAME:
NORTH TEXAS 8-1 .. thats why we just took to 'make' .. still a shot ..
FUTURES CONT'D ..
HEISMAN: Heismans longshots are in a very tough position with OSU QB/WR, Bama QB, Miami QB maybe all undefeated conf champs ..
DIEGO PAVIA 300-1 .. 10-2 make the playoff make it to NY .. win the SEC and win the hardware.
TRINIDAD CHAMBLISS 16-1 .. Played WK6 .. Trinnidaddy Time .. but time's def running out here..
DEVON DAMPIER 100-1 .. still not seein it here, lloyd ..
AHMAD HARDY 500-1 .. its possible but we need a nearly unfathomable run for 1k more yds, sec champs ..
BLAKE HORVATH 500-1 .. still dead
BEHREN MORTON 300-1 .. the first rule of winning a heisman is you gotta play .. Otherwise Arch would have won it already..
NATTY:
TEXAS TECH 175-1 
.. GUNS UP!!!
BRIDGE PLAY
CLEMSON / SMU UNDER 51.5 (HROCK)
Shoulda hit this early and taken the points with SMU .. but they really aren't much of a team this year but hard to buy in all the way to the Clem turnaround particularly on offense vs the great D's of UNC and BC .. I thought BC might show some fortitude last week big home spot vs Clem who they never beat .. but lotta injuries there .. team's a mess .. not a UNC or Charlotte type mess but a total mess and lotta guys out where they need em ..
This opened 54 but we got news of Klubnick being questionable with a sprained ankle late Q3 LG .. .. shoulda taken SMU +10.5 at the open that's down to 5.5 and might keep dropping who knows .. total from 54 to 51 .. I mean this offense has been nothing but trouble from week 1 and they finally had a good day running the ball vs BC and really a complete offensive game .. now QB out .. SMU's D is not great like last year .. missing those major pressure guys up front .. but its not devoid and realllly low comp % and very decent run yds / play .. worst game vs Baylor and did end up giving up a few pts vs TCU .. Clem's offense is not Baylor or TCU FYI .. lol .. its a real revenge match and a must win for the conf for them I'd expect them to be all systems go .. and solid performance with or without Klub in there because even if he is his mobility is often crucial to success on offense /moving the chains and offense will be impacted if he's a statue in the pocket ..
We don't know as much about Clem's backup Vizzenza but he hasn't impressed us in limited action since early last year came in and had some vs in the app st blowout .. I recall him being 'not bad' in the spring gm 2 yrs ago as a FR but that's not saying much other than maybe he's been ready to serve for a little while .. this seems a very very tough task for him if SMU can play decent run D AND Clem's RB's / OL haven't really turned themselves around .. they've got renewed energy but now they play a real D here ..
Clem's D hasn't been lights out this year but they have been solid and I don't see any injuries on this D since start of the year .. BIIIIG home game in death valley we can count on them to bring their A game I think .. I also would note SMU's run game is nothing special and prob lands them in passing downs often .. Jennings has abeen great for them and even under pressure completing a high clip and able to scramble .. BUT .. also under pressure lot of fumbles, sacks and picks .. we hope SMU can not play retard ball and at least punt it away .. but either way I expect BIIIIG home game from their studs and at least manage the SMU attack here .. 51 total should be closer to 45 IMO .. good luck!
SMALLER
SMU +6.5 -115 ESPN
Yeah I layed the juice .. only outfit offering 6.5 now and feels like potential for a close one in this game with 2 decent run D's and 2 iffy run games .. SMU more hit and miss on the ground .. Clemson's rush offense was bad even vs UNC .. dovetailing off the notes form the under play I expect SMU to be a formidable opponent and we're catching 6.5 with a team with likely better run game .. better pass game .. maybe even the only team with either of those things if Vizzenza starts? .. SMU's D is also not that bad and while they don't have the pass rushing major dudes of last year the front can still get after it .. we like their DC Symons who effected the massive turnaround there last year and at least help keep them within the number and given the circumstances if they can really keep Clem to a low number .. seems like SMU has a decent shot to win this one ..
There is a key danger with SMU in that they once had a world class ACE FG kicker but he I think got hurt vs Baylor and out for the year .. not with team anymore .. backup is now 1-4 kicking FG's .. YIKES .. yer not gunna win or cover many games as a fav like that .. - that's another reason to really kinda like the under here .. close game likely comes up zero pts .. could prompt SMU to be heavy 4th n go .. maybe more a roll of the dice but we trust Clem's D to not be dumb in this gm .. Clem's kicker has been decent but nothing special .. eesh.. kicking likely impacted SMU's loss vs TCU and directly lost them the gm vs Baylor .. Clem potentially cost them LSU and lost by 3 vs GT .. w a miss FG .. could be a critical role for the loser in this one too..
BRIDGE PLAY
NEBRASKA / MINNY OVER 47.5
Huskers offense is very close to becoming a force to be reckoned with .. hampered last week with a tough late first road gm spot and throwing into the teeth of MD's D Raiola threw 3 picks including a pick 6 .. We look at Minny grabbing 3 picks last week .. also including a pick 6 .. and we should realize Purdue's pass game is VERY seat of your pants with low comp % and multiple picks in multiple games 9 on the season .. minny doubled their int's for the year in one game .. I'm not ready to say this pass D is any good .. esp with quite a few DB's out including an early ssn starter now the depth is really getting eaten into .. Minny's run D has been MIA this yr too, Purdue THROTTLED them on the ground for over 250 with numerous guys ripping em .. huge surprise .. one of Gophs very good LB's out is a rock for them .. feels like Nebraska's emerging DUDE RB will be good here and at least compliment Neb's likely solid night passing .. Neb pass game can be hampered by pressure but Minny not good in that dept with just one guy giving them consistent pressures this year ..
Minny's run game been MIA this year too also a huge surprise .. full boar pass attack with Drake .. part of that seems to be Darius Taylor being out for multiple weeks .. came back last wk and still didn't see much .. Purdue with surprisingly not bad run D when not playing USC or ND .. I'd expect we see Minny change course here vs a very vulnerable Nebraska run D .. and while I thought their pass D was on another level MD had by far their best passing day vs them .. I think Taylor maybe toooo much dude to not be productive on the ground and was their leading REC his first game back .. Drake is not bad and could see Minny actually keep up on offense here .. certainly if they pull a shocker I think ML/OVER is the combo ..
SP Tms lines up we got 2 decent FG kickers, Nebraskas's guy is maybe an ACE .. we got 2 punt returners that can house it .. Minny punter is nothing special .. Nebraska's punter has been a problem in multiple games shankin em .. What we're really up against here is the slow pace of both teams however I think if we get the offense we're looking for the pace of play probably won't be a big facotr .. and certainly if we see NEB's offense start rolling have to expect Minny to pick it up a bit here .. - Good luck!
SMALLER
APP STATE -10.5
Coastal has 2 misnomer wins this year vs So Bama a team that stinks anyway and let Coastal score a few easy TD's at the wrong time .. We also have ULM last week a team that's painfully slow and also not very good this year (lost hardy and their whole offense) and in tough weather on the road Coastal pulled the win .. Coastal's pass offense has been non existent this year which is not good for an air raid team .. they might be switching QB's again to their last shot which is JUCO dude Samari Collier .. Collier is not a passing QB and didn't do much in relief last week but he can run the ball and led an effective charge to get the win vs ULM .. gotta play smaller because my hope pre-ssn was they start playing him and find a real rushing identity .. Collier is a BIG MASSIVE dude and deceptive speed leading his juco team to the natty last year .. can't remember if they won but he is a dude and potential force if coastal can use him to get traction .. that said I don't expect much of a pass game and app state's worst run D game was vs Boise on the road giving up 150 yds and just 3.5 / carry .. stout group and 47 TFL's on the year vs 27 given up .. hope they can handle what Coastal brings .. App state's pass D has faired much worse so also a possiblility Collier or their other QB finds some traction .. but think very good chance coastal is the dud we're used to and changing their identity in this game is not successful ..
App State's offense should shred these guys even w backup QB JJ Kohl he's solid and they have legit dudes on offense to pull away if their D can give them a little help here .. Legit dude RB in Dubinion .. WR's Barnes, Stroman and TE Cummings are a legit trio of targets .. Davion Dozier is finally playing this year he's got 170 yds in 2 games .. Kohl has 5 TD passes and ZERO picks in 2 his 2 wins as the starter and should be fine vs terrible coastal D ..
App has also lost 3 straight to coastal and 1-4 since coastal's magic covid 2020 season w mccall showing up and dominating everyone and became a real changing of the guard that year with App normally DOMINATING the league and they've only beat them one time ever since then .. Coastal has been in decline every year since then and now new coaches and players and attitude they are one of the worst teams in the sun belt .. App has been thru the wringer every year since 2020 declining rapidly with one bad team after the next but now re-emerging this year with a solid bunch and man if they wanna get back to the 'Good Ole Days' then they can start acting like it and beating the crap outta this team at home is a must do .. revenge been building in this series for some time and think Mountaineers are ready to take back some of what's theirs w a big W .. - GOOD LUCK!
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