HAWAII .. LEAD PIPE LOCK .. for those of you watching on the MTN WEST App .. the only place to see the game if yer not hangin out at Wolfman's island estate .. you'd have seen that Wyo changed QB's very early to true FR Drube and LAUNCHED at this in gm at the same line when Hawaii was up 10-7 .. for those watching the gamecast you might have chickened out after Wyo scored on like the 2nd play with a pick 6 .. That pick 6 killed 3 fun bets for 20-1, 30-1 and even the Hawaii -20.5/U31.5 for 35-1 .. don't worry Bridge Plays, LLP made it all back on the in-gm but man o man we had the right idea there w ton of key WYO guys out on offense and got the QB switch very early .. we'll get em next time ..
OK.STATE, IA.ST TT UNDER & TOTAL ... BOOM BOOM BOOM .. Pokes 3 for 3 on BP's down the stretch we had some fun bet action that once again came ohhh so close .. I wouldn't say Pokes were the BEST team but I will say they woulda won but for some just DASTARDLY mistakes that killed their chances .. shoulda pulled it off if not won us some of the fun bets we had them taking points on .. very wild end to the season because watching these guys they shoulda gone 3-FOR-3 giant upsets but these cowboys shot themselves in the foot like some western comedy every time turning parlay cards into ghost towns .. can laugh now but man o man .. absolute cursed team this year ..
AF / CO.ST .. Expected AF to pull ahead .. did not expect them to be THAT efficient .. expected diff CO.ST QB to be playing but surprised the guy they had was able to do anything .. expected AF to kinda run off w it and Rams very low scoring but total got turned upside down in a hurry with strings of TD's scored ..and yeah .. killed all the fun bets .. and fun ..
TULSA .. Expected a totally dejected UAB team to have to find guys to play this week .. had a player stab a couple guys on the team the other week .. and besides that who the heck would be wanting to hit the road thanksgiving week to try to win their 4th game on a trip to tulsa .. was very very windy and just easy to call it a season .. that did happen .. UAB final availability report had some 38 players listed as OUT .. holy smokes .. welp .. don't count on Tulsa to go for the kill they played like crap from the beginning and looked like the team that didn't want to be there .. really surprised new coach Tre Lamb couldn't get his guys up for this one he's turned around TOTAL CRAP programs in FCS into quick winners and felt like perfect spot to bag a surprise 5th win on a team that was expected to win between 1-2 games this season .. barely a fav vs their FCS opponent .. looked like they turned back into that team after EPIC GUTTY WIN vs Army @ West Point the week before .. too much turkey this week ...
K-STATE .. holy crap .. looked like they were ready to steaaaamroooolll early on .. let the buffs turn this into a total dog fight which they coulda easily lost .. I sent the warning early last week .. Salter's last game .. K-State let him turn a couple big seat of yer pants play into full on drives with penalties and other 'you gotta be kidding' shenanigans .. had to turn it off .. TOTAL PUKE ..
HAWAII .. LEAD PIPE LOCK .. for those of you watching on the MTN WEST App .. the only place to see the game if yer not hangin out at Wolfman's island estate .. you'd have seen that Wyo changed QB's very early to true FR Drube and LAUNCHED at this in gm at the same line when Hawaii was up 10-7 .. for those watching the gamecast you might have chickened out after Wyo scored on like the 2nd play with a pick 6 .. That pick 6 killed 3 fun bets for 20-1, 30-1 and even the Hawaii -20.5/U31.5 for 35-1 .. don't worry Bridge Plays, LLP made it all back on the in-gm but man o man we had the right idea there w ton of key WYO guys out on offense and got the QB switch very early .. we'll get em next time ..
OK.STATE, IA.ST TT UNDER & TOTAL ... BOOM BOOM BOOM .. Pokes 3 for 3 on BP's down the stretch we had some fun bet action that once again came ohhh so close .. I wouldn't say Pokes were the BEST team but I will say they woulda won but for some just DASTARDLY mistakes that killed their chances .. shoulda pulled it off if not won us some of the fun bets we had them taking points on .. very wild end to the season because watching these guys they shoulda gone 3-FOR-3 giant upsets but these cowboys shot themselves in the foot like some western comedy every time turning parlay cards into ghost towns .. can laugh now but man o man .. absolute cursed team this year ..
AF / CO.ST .. Expected AF to pull ahead .. did not expect them to be THAT efficient .. expected diff CO.ST QB to be playing but surprised the guy they had was able to do anything .. expected AF to kinda run off w it and Rams very low scoring but total got turned upside down in a hurry with strings of TD's scored ..and yeah .. killed all the fun bets .. and fun ..
TULSA .. Expected a totally dejected UAB team to have to find guys to play this week .. had a player stab a couple guys on the team the other week .. and besides that who the heck would be wanting to hit the road thanksgiving week to try to win their 4th game on a trip to tulsa .. was very very windy and just easy to call it a season .. that did happen .. UAB final availability report had some 38 players listed as OUT .. holy smokes .. welp .. don't count on Tulsa to go for the kill they played like crap from the beginning and looked like the team that didn't want to be there .. really surprised new coach Tre Lamb couldn't get his guys up for this one he's turned around TOTAL CRAP programs in FCS into quick winners and felt like perfect spot to bag a surprise 5th win on a team that was expected to win between 1-2 games this season .. barely a fav vs their FCS opponent .. looked like they turned back into that team after EPIC GUTTY WIN vs Army @ West Point the week before .. too much turkey this week ...
K-STATE .. holy crap .. looked like they were ready to steaaaamroooolll early on .. let the buffs turn this into a total dog fight which they coulda easily lost .. I sent the warning early last week .. Salter's last game .. K-State let him turn a couple big seat of yer pants play into full on drives with penalties and other 'you gotta be kidding' shenanigans .. had to turn it off .. TOTAL PUKE ..
Seems like the over play of the century DONT IT??!! .. beware .. massive MASSIVE storm front expecting to head into that BAMA area and really covers the entire region from basically thursday to late Saturday .. so all of Friday getting DOUSED HEAVY ..
A little rain or even a bit really dosn't bother me THAT much for teams to find running lanes and gash the middle but this storm looks massive and let's hold off ..
Big picture I kindaaaa like taking the free point and a half with Kennesaw they are a little more dynamic on offense and held Cam Cook to relatively lower yds / att in their last meeting and didn't get daggered with him as a receiver like so many others have .. they did get burned by JVILL with some very efficient and explosive passing which I assume went over the top with Kenny defending this rush attack .. also got burned by the QB on the ground which that guy can do ..
Like that Kenny has already played these guys and in this stadium .. Kenny 4 picks -4 in turnovers in a relativelyclose game .. Jville is not unbeatable but they are an absolute force on the ground .. think of a team like AF when they can just run you to death then pop it over the top .. also got a good FG kicker .. Kenny doesn't .. Kenny really good punt returner .. so some offensive proclivities there too .. also .. JVILLE FR WR Deondre Johnson has come on like an absolute HURRICANE since he started getting targeted the last 5 weeks .. 564 yards 28 yds / reception .. TD in each game over 110 yds 3 times .. some major gem they found down the stretch .. Kennesaw the better D but its not saying tooo much they can put some TFL's on and get sacks .. but .. last game vs JVILL they had basically season lows in those departments .. lotta trying and gave up a ton trying to stop these guys ... but keep in mind .. -4 in turnovers .. but also turnover on downs and held to 3 FG att's .. missed one of em .. 8 drives stifled .. still put drives together to put up 26 points .. but down 32-13 got 2 of those TD's in garbage time ..
SP+ spread has Kenny by 4 or so .. I do kinda understand why JVILL might be laying a point here with home field and a sizable win that went to garbage time earlier .. recall 4 turnovers which is not Kenny's style, but jvill very good snagging turnovers this year .. let's see where this line goes .. I could see Jville maybe get more action and maybe move is see if kenny can catch +3 or so .. think unlikely but let's see ..
I think books seem to be baiting us with this total at 58.5 because this feels like such a sure thing over BOMB .. let's see where that goes .. Im guessing they're taking over money right now and as this .. seemingly sure thing storm .. pans out and folks see it .. expect the line to drop .. storm severity would make a huge diff as I don't shy away from totals .. stadium is turf so won't be a very iffy slip n slide ..
Seems like the over play of the century DONT IT??!! .. beware .. massive MASSIVE storm front expecting to head into that BAMA area and really covers the entire region from basically thursday to late Saturday .. so all of Friday getting DOUSED HEAVY ..
A little rain or even a bit really dosn't bother me THAT much for teams to find running lanes and gash the middle but this storm looks massive and let's hold off ..
Big picture I kindaaaa like taking the free point and a half with Kennesaw they are a little more dynamic on offense and held Cam Cook to relatively lower yds / att in their last meeting and didn't get daggered with him as a receiver like so many others have .. they did get burned by JVILL with some very efficient and explosive passing which I assume went over the top with Kenny defending this rush attack .. also got burned by the QB on the ground which that guy can do ..
Like that Kenny has already played these guys and in this stadium .. Kenny 4 picks -4 in turnovers in a relativelyclose game .. Jville is not unbeatable but they are an absolute force on the ground .. think of a team like AF when they can just run you to death then pop it over the top .. also got a good FG kicker .. Kenny doesn't .. Kenny really good punt returner .. so some offensive proclivities there too .. also .. JVILLE FR WR Deondre Johnson has come on like an absolute HURRICANE since he started getting targeted the last 5 weeks .. 564 yards 28 yds / reception .. TD in each game over 110 yds 3 times .. some major gem they found down the stretch .. Kennesaw the better D but its not saying tooo much they can put some TFL's on and get sacks .. but .. last game vs JVILL they had basically season lows in those departments .. lotta trying and gave up a ton trying to stop these guys ... but keep in mind .. -4 in turnovers .. but also turnover on downs and held to 3 FG att's .. missed one of em .. 8 drives stifled .. still put drives together to put up 26 points .. but down 32-13 got 2 of those TD's in garbage time ..
SP+ spread has Kenny by 4 or so .. I do kinda understand why JVILL might be laying a point here with home field and a sizable win that went to garbage time earlier .. recall 4 turnovers which is not Kenny's style, but jvill very good snagging turnovers this year .. let's see where this line goes .. I could see Jville maybe get more action and maybe move is see if kenny can catch +3 or so .. think unlikely but let's see ..
I think books seem to be baiting us with this total at 58.5 because this feels like such a sure thing over BOMB .. let's see where that goes .. Im guessing they're taking over money right now and as this .. seemingly sure thing storm .. pans out and folks see it .. expect the line to drop .. storm severity would make a huge diff as I don't shy away from totals .. stadium is turf so won't be a very iffy slip n slide ..
PITT OVER 5.5 -150 UAB UNDER 4.5 -130 TULSA OVER 2.5 -180 ARMY UNDER 7.5 -110 AUBURN UNDER 8 -120 SO MISS OVER 4.5 -115 MISSOURI OVER 7.5 +130 NWESTERN OVER 3.5 -140 S.DIEGO ST OVER 4.5 -110 JAMES MAD OVER 7.5 -120 MARSHALL UNDER 5.5 -115 TENNESSEE UNDER 8.5 +100 S.CAROLINA UNDER 7.5 -110 BYU UNDER 8.5 -157 TULANE UNDER 8.5 -110 GEORGIA ST OVER 3.5 -105 KENT STATE UNDER 2.5 -120 OHIO STATE UNDER 10.5 -130
PITT OVER 5.5 -150 UAB UNDER 4.5 -130 TULSA OVER 2.5 -180 ARMY UNDER 7.5 -110 AUBURN UNDER 8 -120 SO MISS OVER 4.5 -115 MISSOURI OVER 7.5 +130 NWESTERN OVER 3.5 -140 S.DIEGO ST OVER 4.5 -110 JAMES MAD OVER 7.5 -120 MARSHALL UNDER 5.5 -115 TENNESSEE UNDER 8.5 +100 S.CAROLINA UNDER 7.5 -110 BYU UNDER 8.5 -157 TULANE UNDER 8.5 -110 GEORGIA ST OVER 3.5 -105 KENT STATE UNDER 2.5 -120 OHIO STATE UNDER 10.5 -130
Could be some weather wind and rain .. temp mid 40's isin't so bad and don't think it'll totally hamper either team .. could be discounting a GIGANTIC HFA but I think thats why we're getting 3.5 ..
Big picture Boise is just not the same offense without MAD DOG MADDOX in there .. since his injury they've suffered a 30-7 blowout L .. AT HOME .. to Fresno State .. this was the week after FRES got BLANKED 23-ZIP vs SDSU .. can cut him a break for coming in off the bench .. but then 17-7 vs SDSU on the road in a game the AZTECS had Broncos absolutely cornered and in the torture chamber just running the ball on them at will 6 yds / carry .. Cutforth had ~100 yds in each of those games and didn't look much better than his first outting .. Since then we've seen something better vs a totally worthless Colo State team at home .. but very iffffy outting on the road to Utah State .. piled up some yards but 53% shooter on 49 attempts .. Aggies were in a great spot to win that game and I think we got a glimps of where this team really lands right now maybe slight fav vs Aggies but diff team all the way .. Cutforth in 4 games has 3 TD's 2 .. PFF notes 4BTT's to 8 TWP's .. had 4 TWP's vs Utah St .. add on 4 fumbles .. 8 run att's for 10 yds, only used on the short stuff / sneaks just 1 real run on a scramble for 8 yds .. under pressure 25% of the time and his production is terrible with 8 sacks 21% press to sack rate and not impressive from a clean pocket either ..
If we get wind / rain weather this might put more of a damper on the pass game and turn them more or less 1 dimensional .. we saw when UNLV got beat big in boise earlier that Maddox had a great day passing and no doubt stretched this defense out allowing Boise's very very good RB tandem to RIP them thru the lines for like 9 yds / carry .. best day this year .. since then they've struggled without a good pass game .. should be noted Boise's OL has not been very good this year .. esp struggle in pass blocking ..
Injury front I'd say Boise has some key ones albeit not recent .. A'marion far n away their best DB is out .. had their top OL-RT dip out last game w some sorta injury .. not good if he's still out .. The secondary is still stout and they have a dude pass rusher and Boise's D always plays bigger on the blue but .. they are def beatable this year ..
UNLV looks pretty good on the injury front - guys Ques last week mostly played .. their run game RIIIIPED Boise in their last outting and their Pass D is actually not that bad the CB's are solid and they tend to give up 60% ish passing and pretty decent TD/INT ratio .. the D has gotten better down the stretch albeit facing iffier comp .. still I'd say Bosie's offense at this point qualifies as that ..
UNLV's Collandria is a striaght up dude and can carry this team in a tough situation both passing and finding traction on the ground .. Stud RB's J-Thomas was one of the key dudes last year .. J-GLOVE was a dude for years for Utah .. Lee was a dude years ago for PSU .. Colandria was a young DUDE for a couple years at UVA and doubling down this year making this a really strong run game .. 68% passing this year pos rush numbers every game 22-8 ratio .. 550 net yds this year despite 21 sacks 8 rush TD's .. guys a dude .. key edge UNLV ..
"Kicker" might be on special teams were used to Boise leading the nation in this category but no SUPER ACE FG KICKER this year .. struggling with FG's and punt returns .. doing well punting .. UNLV is once again a top ST Unit excelling in FG's, punting and punt returns, efficiency model has em top 10 in each category .. another key edge here ..
Could be some weather wind and rain .. temp mid 40's isin't so bad and don't think it'll totally hamper either team .. could be discounting a GIGANTIC HFA but I think thats why we're getting 3.5 ..
Big picture Boise is just not the same offense without MAD DOG MADDOX in there .. since his injury they've suffered a 30-7 blowout L .. AT HOME .. to Fresno State .. this was the week after FRES got BLANKED 23-ZIP vs SDSU .. can cut him a break for coming in off the bench .. but then 17-7 vs SDSU on the road in a game the AZTECS had Broncos absolutely cornered and in the torture chamber just running the ball on them at will 6 yds / carry .. Cutforth had ~100 yds in each of those games and didn't look much better than his first outting .. Since then we've seen something better vs a totally worthless Colo State team at home .. but very iffffy outting on the road to Utah State .. piled up some yards but 53% shooter on 49 attempts .. Aggies were in a great spot to win that game and I think we got a glimps of where this team really lands right now maybe slight fav vs Aggies but diff team all the way .. Cutforth in 4 games has 3 TD's 2 .. PFF notes 4BTT's to 8 TWP's .. had 4 TWP's vs Utah St .. add on 4 fumbles .. 8 run att's for 10 yds, only used on the short stuff / sneaks just 1 real run on a scramble for 8 yds .. under pressure 25% of the time and his production is terrible with 8 sacks 21% press to sack rate and not impressive from a clean pocket either ..
If we get wind / rain weather this might put more of a damper on the pass game and turn them more or less 1 dimensional .. we saw when UNLV got beat big in boise earlier that Maddox had a great day passing and no doubt stretched this defense out allowing Boise's very very good RB tandem to RIP them thru the lines for like 9 yds / carry .. best day this year .. since then they've struggled without a good pass game .. should be noted Boise's OL has not been very good this year .. esp struggle in pass blocking ..
Injury front I'd say Boise has some key ones albeit not recent .. A'marion far n away their best DB is out .. had their top OL-RT dip out last game w some sorta injury .. not good if he's still out .. The secondary is still stout and they have a dude pass rusher and Boise's D always plays bigger on the blue but .. they are def beatable this year ..
UNLV looks pretty good on the injury front - guys Ques last week mostly played .. their run game RIIIIPED Boise in their last outting and their Pass D is actually not that bad the CB's are solid and they tend to give up 60% ish passing and pretty decent TD/INT ratio .. the D has gotten better down the stretch albeit facing iffier comp .. still I'd say Bosie's offense at this point qualifies as that ..
UNLV's Collandria is a striaght up dude and can carry this team in a tough situation both passing and finding traction on the ground .. Stud RB's J-Thomas was one of the key dudes last year .. J-GLOVE was a dude for years for Utah .. Lee was a dude years ago for PSU .. Colandria was a young DUDE for a couple years at UVA and doubling down this year making this a really strong run game .. 68% passing this year pos rush numbers every game 22-8 ratio .. 550 net yds this year despite 21 sacks 8 rush TD's .. guys a dude .. key edge UNLV ..
"Kicker" might be on special teams were used to Boise leading the nation in this category but no SUPER ACE FG KICKER this year .. struggling with FG's and punt returns .. doing well punting .. UNLV is once again a top ST Unit excelling in FG's, punting and punt returns, efficiency model has em top 10 in each category .. another key edge here ..
Peeked at kickers in Indiana game… Indiana kicker has not missed a kick…. Ohio st kicker is not far behind. Both excellent… neither has a 50+ yarder… may need one in this game…. I’m sticking with Indy plus in teaser… the little I have seen of these 2 teams… I don’t see much that separates …. My main issue is can Indiana physically stay with Ohio st… and to me… every indication is that they can…. Im also going with N Texas….they treated me well this year… I got them wrong in the wash st game… as I max wagered wash st… must have been their worst game of year…. And I took S Fla vs N Texas…. So I kinda screwed myself twice…. The Tulane team that played army won’t beat N Texas… but Tulane started good and finished good… small 3 game lull mid season… which can be expected… what’s your take on this game… N Texas impressed me almost every time I saw them…
Peeked at kickers in Indiana game… Indiana kicker has not missed a kick…. Ohio st kicker is not far behind. Both excellent… neither has a 50+ yarder… may need one in this game…. I’m sticking with Indy plus in teaser… the little I have seen of these 2 teams… I don’t see much that separates …. My main issue is can Indiana physically stay with Ohio st… and to me… every indication is that they can…. Im also going with N Texas….they treated me well this year… I got them wrong in the wash st game… as I max wagered wash st… must have been their worst game of year…. And I took S Fla vs N Texas…. So I kinda screwed myself twice…. The Tulane team that played army won’t beat N Texas… but Tulane started good and finished good… small 3 game lull mid season… which can be expected… what’s your take on this game… N Texas impressed me almost every time I saw them…
Yeah .. and its possible UVA kills themselves and duke gets a biiig lead .. but I don't think they'll be allowed to win if its anything close .. i don't think they'll be subtle about it either ..
Yeah .. and its possible UVA kills themselves and duke gets a biiig lead .. but I don't think they'll be allowed to win if its anything close .. i don't think they'll be subtle about it either ..
Already got the 200-1 deal goin as you know .. and that wasn't for peanuts!!! .. we posted last week about Duke's chances and we hedged them 25-1 and best believe it wasn't for peanuts either .. well hedged on the futures ..
Despite all that .. feel pretty good about this one .. besides the resumes and the proof .. duke is just not a very good team this year .. losing to Uconn .. just made a bowl game .. etc etc ..
The main reason to like this one is just a theory I subscribe to because I feel like we do end up seeing this play out in these win or lose millions of dollars playoff on the line situations .. and welp this UVA win and the acc goes to the playoff .. UVA lose and JMU takes their place .. and I think that absolutely does happen as the top 5 ranked teams end up going and ... I BELIVE THAT .. even if somehow JMU is unranked they will go .. so outside of a JMU loss to Troy .. which will be known before the game .. that it will be square on the table what a UVA loss means for the ACC .. I think very likely it means one team instead of two .. I suppose its possible that if UVA gets in that gives the green light to the CFP to not take Miami but no way to know that for sure .. obvi the rankings are primmed and propered for us right at the end and how many from each conf is def a factor make no mistake about that ... and I'm sure the ACC's consideration would be they want Miami in first and foremost but with no certainty of that if UVA loses I think the move here is ensure UVA gets in and xx fingers Miami does too .. if not squeal like pigs and claim victimhood .. and yeah I'm saying that someone way up there is calling someone down on the field this week and ordering the code red on Private Duke .. because there is just no way they the conference can allow them to win this game ..
Will they win by 3.5 idk .. but anything close I think the flags start flying massively and duke gets suddenly crushed in a comeback or suddenly UVA gets some miracles to go their way if things are in the balance .. can list many more wth moments but ASU's near upset of Wash a few years back holy smokes .. MD / Mich a couple yrs back final drive the most absurd grounding call ends the game .. and not conf related but frankly we all saw the clip of UT's targeting over and over but some couldn't see it .. there's just too many examples when there's alot on the line for BIG CFB and the air strikes show up .. and btw this is not some conspiracy talk this is my legit handicapping angle on a game that hasn't been played yet and to not at least consider it would be rather ASININE ..
Already got the 200-1 deal goin as you know .. and that wasn't for peanuts!!! .. we posted last week about Duke's chances and we hedged them 25-1 and best believe it wasn't for peanuts either .. well hedged on the futures ..
Despite all that .. feel pretty good about this one .. besides the resumes and the proof .. duke is just not a very good team this year .. losing to Uconn .. just made a bowl game .. etc etc ..
The main reason to like this one is just a theory I subscribe to because I feel like we do end up seeing this play out in these win or lose millions of dollars playoff on the line situations .. and welp this UVA win and the acc goes to the playoff .. UVA lose and JMU takes their place .. and I think that absolutely does happen as the top 5 ranked teams end up going and ... I BELIVE THAT .. even if somehow JMU is unranked they will go .. so outside of a JMU loss to Troy .. which will be known before the game .. that it will be square on the table what a UVA loss means for the ACC .. I think very likely it means one team instead of two .. I suppose its possible that if UVA gets in that gives the green light to the CFP to not take Miami but no way to know that for sure .. obvi the rankings are primmed and propered for us right at the end and how many from each conf is def a factor make no mistake about that ... and I'm sure the ACC's consideration would be they want Miami in first and foremost but with no certainty of that if UVA loses I think the move here is ensure UVA gets in and xx fingers Miami does too .. if not squeal like pigs and claim victimhood .. and yeah I'm saying that someone way up there is calling someone down on the field this week and ordering the code red on Private Duke .. because there is just no way they the conference can allow them to win this game ..
Will they win by 3.5 idk .. but anything close I think the flags start flying massively and duke gets suddenly crushed in a comeback or suddenly UVA gets some miracles to go their way if things are in the balance .. can list many more wth moments but ASU's near upset of Wash a few years back holy smokes .. MD / Mich a couple yrs back final drive the most absurd grounding call ends the game .. and not conf related but frankly we all saw the clip of UT's targeting over and over but some couldn't see it .. there's just too many examples when there's alot on the line for BIG CFB and the air strikes show up .. and btw this is not some conspiracy talk this is my legit handicapping angle on a game that hasn't been played yet and to not at least consider it would be rather ASININE ..
Awesome analysis, Bridge. Another angle mentioned is the ACC officials. To say they have been horrid all year is an understatement. One crew even had to be removed they were so bad, They will determine the winner of this game unfortunately
Awesome analysis, Bridge. Another angle mentioned is the ACC officials. To say they have been horrid all year is an understatement. One crew even had to be removed they were so bad, They will determine the winner of this game unfortunately
MTN WEST UNLV +3.5 Could be some weather wind and rain .. temp mid 40's isin't so bad and don't think it'll totally hamper either team .. could be discounting a GIGANTIC HFA but I think thats why we're getting 3.5 .. Big picture Boise is just not the same offense without MAD DOG MADDOX in there .. since his injury they've suffered a 30-7 blowout L .. AT HOME .. to Fresno State .. this was the week after FRES got BLANKED 23-ZIP vs SDSU .. can cut him a break for coming in off the bench .. but then 17-7 vs SDSU on the road in a game the AZTECS had Broncos absolutely cornered and in the torture chamber just running the ball on them at will 6 yds / carry .. Cutforth had ~100 yds in each of those games and didn't look much better than his first outting .. Since then we've seen something better vs a totally worthless Colo State team at home .. but very iffffy outting on the road to Utah State .. piled up some yards but 53% shooter on 49 attempts .. Aggies were in a great spot to win that game and I think we got a glimps of where this team really lands right now maybe slight fav vs Aggies but diff team all the way .. Cutforth in 4 games has 3 TD's 2 .. PFF notes 4BTT's to 8 TWP's .. had 4 TWP's vs Utah St .. add on 4 fumbles .. 8 run att's for 10 yds, only used on the short stuff / sneaks just 1 real run on a scramble for 8 yds .. under pressure 25% of the time and his production is terrible with 8 sacks 21% press to sack rate and not impressive from a clean pocket either .. If we get wind / rain weather this might put more of a damper on the pass game and turn them more or less 1 dimensional .. we saw when UNLV got beat big in boise earlier that Maddox had a great day passing and no doubt stretched this defense out allowing Boise's very very good RB tandem to RIP them thru the lines for like 9 yds / carry .. best day this year .. since then they've struggled without a good pass game .. should be noted Boise's OL has not been very good this year .. esp struggle in pass blocking .. Injury front I'd say Boise has some key ones albeit not recent .. A'marion far n away their best DB is out .. had their top OL-RT dip out last game w some sorta injury .. not good if he's still out .. The secondary is still stout and they have a dude pass rusher and Boise's D always plays bigger on the blue but .. they are def beatable this year .. UNLV looks pretty good on the injury front - guys Ques last week mostly played .. their run game RIIIIPED Boise in their last outting and their Pass D is actually not that bad the CB's are solid and they tend to give up 60% ish passing and pretty decent TD/INT ratio .. the D has gotten better down the stretch albeit facing iffier comp .. still I'd say Bosie's offense at this point qualifies as that .. UNLV's Collandria is a striaght up dude and can carry this team in a tough situation both passing and finding traction on the ground .. Stud RB's J-Thomas was one of the key dudes last year .. J-GLOVE was a dude for years for Utah .. Lee was a dude years ago for PSU .. Colandria was a young DUDE for a couple years at UVA and doubling down this year making this a really strong run game .. 68% passing this year pos rush numbers every game 22-8 ratio .. 550 net yds this year despite 21 sacks 8 rush TD's .. guys a dude .. key edge UNLV .. "Kicker" might be on special teams were used to Boise leading the nation in this category but no SUPER ACE FG KICKER this year .. struggling with FG's and punt returns .. doing well punting .. UNLV is once again a top ST Unit excelling in FG's, punting and punt returns, efficiency model has em top 10 in each category .. another key edge here ..
From what I'm seeing here in Boise, Maddog Madsen will be starting vs. UNLV. It was announced today. BOL!
MTN WEST UNLV +3.5 Could be some weather wind and rain .. temp mid 40's isin't so bad and don't think it'll totally hamper either team .. could be discounting a GIGANTIC HFA but I think thats why we're getting 3.5 .. Big picture Boise is just not the same offense without MAD DOG MADDOX in there .. since his injury they've suffered a 30-7 blowout L .. AT HOME .. to Fresno State .. this was the week after FRES got BLANKED 23-ZIP vs SDSU .. can cut him a break for coming in off the bench .. but then 17-7 vs SDSU on the road in a game the AZTECS had Broncos absolutely cornered and in the torture chamber just running the ball on them at will 6 yds / carry .. Cutforth had ~100 yds in each of those games and didn't look much better than his first outting .. Since then we've seen something better vs a totally worthless Colo State team at home .. but very iffffy outting on the road to Utah State .. piled up some yards but 53% shooter on 49 attempts .. Aggies were in a great spot to win that game and I think we got a glimps of where this team really lands right now maybe slight fav vs Aggies but diff team all the way .. Cutforth in 4 games has 3 TD's 2 .. PFF notes 4BTT's to 8 TWP's .. had 4 TWP's vs Utah St .. add on 4 fumbles .. 8 run att's for 10 yds, only used on the short stuff / sneaks just 1 real run on a scramble for 8 yds .. under pressure 25% of the time and his production is terrible with 8 sacks 21% press to sack rate and not impressive from a clean pocket either .. If we get wind / rain weather this might put more of a damper on the pass game and turn them more or less 1 dimensional .. we saw when UNLV got beat big in boise earlier that Maddox had a great day passing and no doubt stretched this defense out allowing Boise's very very good RB tandem to RIP them thru the lines for like 9 yds / carry .. best day this year .. since then they've struggled without a good pass game .. should be noted Boise's OL has not been very good this year .. esp struggle in pass blocking .. Injury front I'd say Boise has some key ones albeit not recent .. A'marion far n away their best DB is out .. had their top OL-RT dip out last game w some sorta injury .. not good if he's still out .. The secondary is still stout and they have a dude pass rusher and Boise's D always plays bigger on the blue but .. they are def beatable this year .. UNLV looks pretty good on the injury front - guys Ques last week mostly played .. their run game RIIIIPED Boise in their last outting and their Pass D is actually not that bad the CB's are solid and they tend to give up 60% ish passing and pretty decent TD/INT ratio .. the D has gotten better down the stretch albeit facing iffier comp .. still I'd say Bosie's offense at this point qualifies as that .. UNLV's Collandria is a striaght up dude and can carry this team in a tough situation both passing and finding traction on the ground .. Stud RB's J-Thomas was one of the key dudes last year .. J-GLOVE was a dude for years for Utah .. Lee was a dude years ago for PSU .. Colandria was a young DUDE for a couple years at UVA and doubling down this year making this a really strong run game .. 68% passing this year pos rush numbers every game 22-8 ratio .. 550 net yds this year despite 21 sacks 8 rush TD's .. guys a dude .. key edge UNLV .. "Kicker" might be on special teams were used to Boise leading the nation in this category but no SUPER ACE FG KICKER this year .. struggling with FG's and punt returns .. doing well punting .. UNLV is once again a top ST Unit excelling in FG's, punting and punt returns, efficiency model has em top 10 in each category .. another key edge here ..
From what I'm seeing here in Boise, Maddog Madsen will be starting vs. UNLV. It was announced today. BOL!
Yeah they played boobie miles in that one game too .. let's see how he plays .. but yeah I'm surprised and it makes sense why the line moved so fast and at the time I thought maybe the wrong way .. we'll see .. still don't mind the play but yeah .. really woulda just liked to hear the other guy was playin .. good luck!
Yeah they played boobie miles in that one game too .. let's see how he plays .. but yeah I'm surprised and it makes sense why the line moved so fast and at the time I thought maybe the wrong way .. we'll see .. still don't mind the play but yeah .. really woulda just liked to hear the other guy was playin .. good luck!
yeah .. those guys won't have another job waiting if they don't stick to the script .. anything's possible I can't go all in on an idea like that but man o man .. just feel like ive seen how it goes so far and if UVA doesn't go FULL TARD here and had the game to em .. let's just say we've all seen plenty of miracles shoehorned into the movie to keep it on script before .. maybe its not true and they were calling balls n strikes always and just went full on ref retarded at just the right time .. could be .. buuuut .. funny feeling the reality of big business is that money still does the talkin and these BS 7 win teams tryin to upend and embarrass their conf and throw their playoff bids into turmoil will find some way to still do the walkin .. just a guess ..
yeah .. those guys won't have another job waiting if they don't stick to the script .. anything's possible I can't go all in on an idea like that but man o man .. just feel like ive seen how it goes so far and if UVA doesn't go FULL TARD here and had the game to em .. let's just say we've all seen plenty of miracles shoehorned into the movie to keep it on script before .. maybe its not true and they were calling balls n strikes always and just went full on ref retarded at just the right time .. could be .. buuuut .. funny feeling the reality of big business is that money still does the talkin and these BS 7 win teams tryin to upend and embarrass their conf and throw their playoff bids into turmoil will find some way to still do the walkin .. just a guess ..
Yes in-deed the BRIDGE ARMY still rockin our 175-1 tickets like it ain't no thaaang .. but I get such a weird feeling still .. like that a team with maybe faaar and away the best D in the league is just sitting under everyone's noses and not getting the attn they should be .. B12 can never win syndrome .. recall these dudes paid top dollar to make it happen and we saw that and took a stab pre-ssn .. and maybe the fact that the D has never been tested by the best offenses yet and we're really like just don't know if its truly the best by far only on paper etc etc .. yeah if you wanna win the natty you need and ace .. and that unit might be an ace of spades this year ..
Expecting a much slowed down game from the offense vs BYU its so risky right now w BARRON that maybe its worth checking back on this after the game .. I can't see TTECH losing in such a way that they are out of the playoff although sure anythings possible .. but .. close loss they're prob out of even the HFA group that is possible if they dick around in this gm and lose .. I'd expect they're over 20-1 if they did that maybe much more ..
But for now we expect a win and I think any kinda win vs this very tough BYU squad would be enough to make them a top 4 team with a bye week and maybe #2 or #3 with the hope being my 2 natty shots meet in the finals TTECH VS OSU and we're sittin back in a real fun spot waitin for the banks to call us with deals .. we'll see .. I could see it!!
Yes in-deed the BRIDGE ARMY still rockin our 175-1 tickets like it ain't no thaaang .. but I get such a weird feeling still .. like that a team with maybe faaar and away the best D in the league is just sitting under everyone's noses and not getting the attn they should be .. B12 can never win syndrome .. recall these dudes paid top dollar to make it happen and we saw that and took a stab pre-ssn .. and maybe the fact that the D has never been tested by the best offenses yet and we're really like just don't know if its truly the best by far only on paper etc etc .. yeah if you wanna win the natty you need and ace .. and that unit might be an ace of spades this year ..
Expecting a much slowed down game from the offense vs BYU its so risky right now w BARRON that maybe its worth checking back on this after the game .. I can't see TTECH losing in such a way that they are out of the playoff although sure anythings possible .. but .. close loss they're prob out of even the HFA group that is possible if they dick around in this gm and lose .. I'd expect they're over 20-1 if they did that maybe much more ..
But for now we expect a win and I think any kinda win vs this very tough BYU squad would be enough to make them a top 4 team with a bye week and maybe #2 or #3 with the hope being my 2 natty shots meet in the finals TTECH VS OSU and we're sittin back in a real fun spot waitin for the banks to call us with deals .. we'll see .. I could see it!!
Nice bud .. see my post #9 and #14 to get caught up on what I think has to happen here .. I can't tell you to take Duke here .. especially now with there seemingly no sure thing chance to 'replace' miami with anyone unless byu beats texas tech and alabama loses maybe just massively .. might need to throw a QB injury in there too lol ..
I'd say assess your ticket and if there's an amount you can't live without then personally I'd play duke ML in an effort to minimize the loss taking +odds and probably wait till later in the week and shop it around .. possible it middles maybe that's the best idea you won't lock in a loss .. But to my point, now we see the rankings and can see UVA is almost certainly the ACC's only shot at a playoff team and if there's strings to be pulled I'd expect they get yanked on pretty hard here .. UVA loses and acc gets zero playoff bids .. its big business .. house always wins .. 7-5 losers aren't gunna mess that up without a major fight from the smokey back room .. maybe im just paranoid and off my rocker and if you think so then yeah guess +3.5 is the way to go .. also seeing +4 at BM today .. I'd wait a bit see where the line goes and shop around ..
Nice bud .. see my post #9 and #14 to get caught up on what I think has to happen here .. I can't tell you to take Duke here .. especially now with there seemingly no sure thing chance to 'replace' miami with anyone unless byu beats texas tech and alabama loses maybe just massively .. might need to throw a QB injury in there too lol ..
I'd say assess your ticket and if there's an amount you can't live without then personally I'd play duke ML in an effort to minimize the loss taking +odds and probably wait till later in the week and shop it around .. possible it middles maybe that's the best idea you won't lock in a loss .. But to my point, now we see the rankings and can see UVA is almost certainly the ACC's only shot at a playoff team and if there's strings to be pulled I'd expect they get yanked on pretty hard here .. UVA loses and acc gets zero playoff bids .. its big business .. house always wins .. 7-5 losers aren't gunna mess that up without a major fight from the smokey back room .. maybe im just paranoid and off my rocker and if you think so then yeah guess +3.5 is the way to go .. also seeing +4 at BM today .. I'd wait a bit see where the line goes and shop around ..
Expecting TTECH to be extreeeeeeemely careful with their QB .. he's been playing semi hurt for a while now since the backup went out for the year .. and last week the backup's backup mitch griffis went down and couldn't put pressure on his leg .. will it be a true fr right off the bench at QB2 now idk .. maybe Mitch isin't injured .. it really doesn't matter because T-TECH didn't spend ONE HUNDRED .. BILLION DOLLARS on this team to blow BYU out in the conf champ game .. tryin to win a natty here and QB injuries to all their guys have been THE SINGULAR ISSUE hampering this team all year .. I just can't see them getting cute and taking much chance with him ..
I would expect a super max effort from this defense once again .. carrying the team all year .. and they need this crew now more than ever .. #1 run D .. #1 pass rush .. unit stocked to the brim with KILLERS .. BYU offense along w everyone elses was stifled every which way last time .. TTECH gets a little lead I'd expect they do everything they can to just kinda lean on the run game and the D and get this game over with .. could be closer than expected too .. BYU playing for their playoff lives here .. and if I were TTECH I wouldn't bank on this fickle bunch of corporate big business dweebs to find it in their heart to have 2 B12 teams in the field .. could happen but TTECH better get a win but margin I don't think matters THAT much ..
Expecting TTECH to be extreeeeeeemely careful with their QB .. he's been playing semi hurt for a while now since the backup went out for the year .. and last week the backup's backup mitch griffis went down and couldn't put pressure on his leg .. will it be a true fr right off the bench at QB2 now idk .. maybe Mitch isin't injured .. it really doesn't matter because T-TECH didn't spend ONE HUNDRED .. BILLION DOLLARS on this team to blow BYU out in the conf champ game .. tryin to win a natty here and QB injuries to all their guys have been THE SINGULAR ISSUE hampering this team all year .. I just can't see them getting cute and taking much chance with him ..
I would expect a super max effort from this defense once again .. carrying the team all year .. and they need this crew now more than ever .. #1 run D .. #1 pass rush .. unit stocked to the brim with KILLERS .. BYU offense along w everyone elses was stifled every which way last time .. TTECH gets a little lead I'd expect they do everything they can to just kinda lean on the run game and the D and get this game over with .. could be closer than expected too .. BYU playing for their playoff lives here .. and if I were TTECH I wouldn't bank on this fickle bunch of corporate big business dweebs to find it in their heart to have 2 B12 teams in the field .. could happen but TTECH better get a win but margin I don't think matters THAT much ..
Don't really mess with the props unless something fun pops up .. DJ is a 6'8 BEAST and IN 5 games became the leading WR with over 500 yds .. last game vs JVILLE we had Kenny making CAM a priority keeping his yards semi-down .. 27 for 130 .. but also just 1 rec for 6 yds ... not the big boomers they're used to .. I mean you just cant pitch a game vs JVILLE and think about letting CAM BE CAM because they'll kill you every which way .. Just a guess here but I think KENNY picks their spots and we see some openings for our guy to go get his yards and maybe even a big huge day for him .. maybe not .. but if this game is anything like what he's doing since they started throwing him the ball B365 is gunna be firing a few interns on account of us .. also maybe some rain we'll see if its nasty but its sounding less and less so as we go here so taking now and just taking a chance on biiig boiii.. - good luck!
PROPS
Eh .. Why not .. Let's have some fun w these F'ers ..
D.JOHNSON ANY TD.. 4.5-1 D.JOHNSON 2+TD'S.. 80-1 D.JOHNSON 3+TD'S.. 150-1 D.JOHNSON 80+ REC.. 4-1 D.JOHNSON 110+ REC.. 9-1 D.JOHNSON 140+ REC.. 35-1 D.JOHNSON FIRST TD.. 35-1 D.JOHNSON LAST TD.. 35-1
Don't really mess with the props unless something fun pops up .. DJ is a 6'8 BEAST and IN 5 games became the leading WR with over 500 yds .. last game vs JVILLE we had Kenny making CAM a priority keeping his yards semi-down .. 27 for 130 .. but also just 1 rec for 6 yds ... not the big boomers they're used to .. I mean you just cant pitch a game vs JVILLE and think about letting CAM BE CAM because they'll kill you every which way .. Just a guess here but I think KENNY picks their spots and we see some openings for our guy to go get his yards and maybe even a big huge day for him .. maybe not .. but if this game is anything like what he's doing since they started throwing him the ball B365 is gunna be firing a few interns on account of us .. also maybe some rain we'll see if its nasty but its sounding less and less so as we go here so taking now and just taking a chance on biiig boiii.. - good luck!
PROPS
Eh .. Why not .. Let's have some fun w these F'ers ..
D.JOHNSON ANY TD.. 4.5-1 D.JOHNSON 2+TD'S.. 80-1 D.JOHNSON 3+TD'S.. 150-1 D.JOHNSON 80+ REC.. 4-1 D.JOHNSON 110+ REC.. 9-1 D.JOHNSON 140+ REC.. 35-1 D.JOHNSON FIRST TD.. 35-1 D.JOHNSON LAST TD.. 35-1
BRIDGE PLAY DEONDRE JOHNSON 40+ REC YDS (B365)D.JOHNSON ANY TD.. 4.5-1D.JOHNSON 2+TD'S.. 80-1D.JOHNSON 3+TD'S.. 150-1D.JOHNSON 80+ REC.. 4-1D.JOHNSON 110+ REC.. 9-1D.JOHNSON 140+ REC.. 35-1D.JOHNSON FIRST TD.. 35-1D.JOHNSON LAST TD.. 35-1
If playing all these you might wanna consider a hedge idea .. search "PROPS ON D.JOHNSON (B365)" and find the comments and you'll find the idea .. The nice part is even if the hedge idea hits there's still a good bit of room to take down the main BRIDGE PLAY and maybe even a few of the really fun bangers.. and if the hedge bet goes down I can't imagine you'll mind either .. peep it ..
BRIDGE PLAY DEONDRE JOHNSON 40+ REC YDS (B365)D.JOHNSON ANY TD.. 4.5-1D.JOHNSON 2+TD'S.. 80-1D.JOHNSON 3+TD'S.. 150-1D.JOHNSON 80+ REC.. 4-1D.JOHNSON 110+ REC.. 9-1D.JOHNSON 140+ REC.. 35-1D.JOHNSON FIRST TD.. 35-1D.JOHNSON LAST TD.. 35-1
If playing all these you might wanna consider a hedge idea .. search "PROPS ON D.JOHNSON (B365)" and find the comments and you'll find the idea .. The nice part is even if the hedge idea hits there's still a good bit of room to take down the main BRIDGE PLAY and maybe even a few of the really fun bangers.. and if the hedge bet goes down I can't imagine you'll mind either .. peep it ..
I mean I think so .. we got a guy that can take that down in one catch and his activity has only increased since showing up w 5 rec last gm .. I hedged these with UNDER 2.5 rec because its a little boom or bust with him and think it could def hit both plays and maybe other big odds goodies ..
I don't have any new info on him since posting so maybe check that he didn't steal a car or one of those things but if nothing then I kinda still like the play .. well over 40 yds every game he's played ..
Could also go less risk more reward like +450 for a TD .. he's their best hail mary / long ball option by far .... again still might be worth taking those and hedging with under 2.5 receptions because he can def do alot with just a couple catches ..
Not a clear answer for you but there are none in this game ..
I mean I think so .. we got a guy that can take that down in one catch and his activity has only increased since showing up w 5 rec last gm .. I hedged these with UNDER 2.5 rec because its a little boom or bust with him and think it could def hit both plays and maybe other big odds goodies ..
I don't have any new info on him since posting so maybe check that he didn't steal a car or one of those things but if nothing then I kinda still like the play .. well over 40 yds every game he's played ..
Could also go less risk more reward like +450 for a TD .. he's their best hail mary / long ball option by far .... again still might be worth taking those and hedging with under 2.5 receptions because he can def do alot with just a couple catches ..
Not a clear answer for you but there are none in this game ..
Swore I wouldn't play these guys ever again but here we are .. I really want to see a fun NTEX team win but alas .. Tulane at home catching points .. I've noticed in the past the line tends to swing toward the hot team in the AAC champ games and frankly I think taking any points is kinda the way to go here .. not a huge bet I'll def be in-gaming any team that falls behind as I don't think anyone falls out of this contest all the way .. but yeah tulane at home .. sumrall sendoff ..
Swore I wouldn't play these guys ever again but here we are .. I really want to see a fun NTEX team win but alas .. Tulane at home catching points .. I've noticed in the past the line tends to swing toward the hot team in the AAC champ games and frankly I think taking any points is kinda the way to go here .. not a huge bet I'll def be in-gaming any team that falls behind as I don't think anyone falls out of this contest all the way .. but yeah tulane at home .. sumrall sendoff ..
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