Another Easy W - Week 1 Auburn vs Baylor

Auburn -120 ml 

the Baylor Bears have a solid running quarterback and solid returning running backs with a few deep threats. This game is at Baylor at night with both coaches on the hot seat if they lose game 1. 

truly believe this game will be one where most look at auburn without confidence and rightly so , to keep it short - Hugh freeze isn’t playing in the game. 

both offensive and defensive lines are improved for auburn. If auburn can run the ball it’s going to be a long day as Eric singleton and cam Coleman will have field days. I foresee auburn wearing them doing and actually getting some stops with an improved defense and secondary. 

while baylors defense I believe is more suspect and will be worn down. 

final 34-24 Auburn with a late score from Baylor making the game closer than it was. 

this to me will be a win and I will be invested heavily on Auburn ml week 1 

Nothing is easy in sports wagering…

@LonghornHoosier

 https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/week-1-pre-103966330

I respectfully disagree and I bet it this way for a purpose.  This was like stealing and very very easy.  

just adding to my credibility no offense of course 

@spottie2935

 I don't think betting on NFL preseason adds to anyone's credibility. No offense. 

key words “I don’t think “. 

just having you bro.  Have your opinion it’s no matter to me.  Go out and win for yourself.  Be your best. 

I was drunk so this is going to be a laugh.  
-110 

+240

+700

+1000 

looks kind of fun doesn’t it. 

@blowoutgm

 What year was it that you had your incredible start to your season.?  

The worry with Auburn is Hugh freeze gameplan and surprisingly poor qb decisions as a coach in how to scheme and just talent in general ( Peyton Thorne ) 

aside from that if they come out , Auburn that is , and have a competent offense they are going to win this game. They have a few standout corners that will make Baylor passing attack very very much more difficult that normal. Sawyer is a good qb and they very well could come out hype and run the ball and somehow just stop auburn from scoring and win and the auburn offense is similar to last year can’t convert in red zone and poor qb play and scheming. 

however I’m betting that auburn has a chip on their shoulder , the talent is truly there in the trenches to make this a long day for Baylor. Oddly auburns strengths are wr not running back however all are serviceable and baylors defense is much less scary than Auburns for an opposing offense. 

I believe Auburn wins this game and does it because they are better in the trenches and on defense. I also could see any scenario but one is JA is good and comes into his own and if that is the case the game will not be close. 

The key for Auburn in this game according to their team history is if they can score 24 points.  It’s an opening week where the defenses have the advantage over the offenses.  

Baylor was so good last season that they were lined a small favorite against LSU.  Baylor was way overmatched on defense in that game giving up 44 points.  

So in my opinion looking at Baylors 2024 schedule, and the ceiling being 44 points that a talented offense in LSU scored on Baylor.

Auburn Points,in this matchup,  i seriously think there is no chance for Auburn to get 35.  A more realistic approach here is thinking around 28 Auburn points. With the total being around 57 the best bet for me is under. 

Auburns big problem in 2024 was scoring.  Not a small problem either.  

under 57 is a gem

I think under is a solid solid bet. However I am hoping the “1% “ scenario comes into play. That being said; Auburn is so much more physically superior in trenches mixed with Baylor defense being mediocre and auburns passing game being existent, with JA looking good, and then we can see a 2 score with for the Tigers. We will see. If Auburn loses this game this is Freeze last season. But they won’t. They will win. 

Thank you for all your info. 

best wishes 

@spottie2935

 I’m not real sure. I’ve been on here for awhile now and I’ve never had a losing season or anything close. I know I did start a little slow last year. I’m leaning under on this game as well. I really think the Baylor tt under might be the way to go. I’m still digging into this one! 

Never handicap just ONE SIDE of a match-up...

  >> here you seem to know Auburn, but not much about Baylor - Auburn's defensive front is no doubt down a bit - they replaced starters with CUSA players (mostly).  Baylor added a ton from solid P4 schools - their DL looks nasty.  Auburn looks to have an OL edge no doubt.  WR room is top notch.

Auburn can 'afford' a loss a bit less probably - with at : OU, A&M - and home games with Bama, Mizzou, and Georgia.  Lose here, you could start 2-3, with Georgia on deck.  Bears with a much easier road - but lose here, they could start 2-4.  So no edge in urgency probably - note both are slow starters.  Historically, Freeze is the better coach (great 'game day'), but with the way they've played recently - maybe a draw..... 

Looks like a toss-up game to me - I like Baylor with everybody back on O, in the 2nd year in their new system.  Auburn is probably more talented overall, but I don't know if I trust that Jackson Arnold on the road, week 1 in a new system - he's cost me enough cash as it is.....

GTTH - like you, I might take Auburn (SEC vs B12) - but it's far from a sure thing

@blowoutgm

 Okay cool we’re on the same page

im not following your thread at all and even in your great season didn’t really follow much .  Doesn’t matter just want to see you ball out again.  Get off to a great start and keep rolling. 

best wishes 

@bookieassassin

 At first I liked Baylor became if their 2024 success and past line data 

now being that is week one and dominate statistically an under week I find 58 lower that last years Baylor totals

Auburn struggled nightly to score in a lot of games 

Baylor total last year against a powerful KSU offense was a bit higher but Auburn had to show me they can score at this level 

underdog I lose I lose but 58 as it looks us a ton 

Seems to me like two solid programs in the rise this season…. Im keen on both Bears and War Eagle this season 

@bookieassassin

 Completely agree with not handicapping one side of the matchup. I’m keen on Sawyer , their receiver core , recent DL additions. I think Sawyer COULD give Auburn Fits. I believe you are wrong and Auburns defense is a step up this year overall especially in secondary, and I could see if Baylor can’t run the office solely running through Sawyer. I stand by my prediction. I get it. Arnold could not preform and Baylor could win. But I’m on auburn ml 

@jgjtrapboss

You quoted yourself. LOL! First win?

I bumped a thread that I called a long time ago that was buried shut your pie aszzsss up woman worried about someone celebrating a win you fuvkinkgg loser 

@jgjtrapboss

You were all over it; great call.  

War Eagle!

AS

@CusDAmato1

 I bumped a thread that I posted a while back buried days ago. You woman worry about someone celebrating a win you fuveking psussy , fuczking loser

War Eagle ATL Sharp !

@jgjtrapboss

 Don't take no sh*t from anyone Spider 

Lol

Man people just don’t understand they have to be positive I’m not pushing some fucking service lol he’s just bitter and burned but he wouldn’t talk smart in real life and it’s always unhappy people doing that and I’m bout that today 

@spottie2935

 They barely won ,how is that easy??