::Wednesday:: 11/26 (92-80-0 +1.2 units)

1* 73-64

2* 16-12

3* 2-3

4* 1-1

5* 0-0

Some great games yesterday.  Not all that kind to me, but great games nonetheless. 

1* Bowling Green Falcons -11.5

Another fade of a bad VMI team.  Bowling Green should turn them over plenty for easy baskets, and if they do have to play half court offense, VMI adj. eff. is 346th in the country.  VMI will just be chucking 3s all game again, and they barely shoot 30% as a team.  That also happens to be the strength of this Falcon defense.  I just don't see how the Keydets keep this one within 15.

1* Western Kentucky/Vanderbilt Under 169.5

The tempo will definitely be there for an over in this game.  But WKU doesn't look to shoot the 3 ball, really at all, at to get to that big a number, I feel like you're gonna need quite a few 3s to be going down. WKU shoots 18% from 3 as a team, and no team relies less on the 3ball as a form of scoring than the Hilltoppers. They get all their scoring from inside the arc, where Vandy happens to allow the 32nd lowest 2pt FG%.  Battle of strengths in Atlantis.  Little hotel ballroom gym doesn't help shooters either.

1*Towson/UC San Diego Under 138.5

Back to the well on Towsons D today.  This game should be awesome.  Towsons game yesterday vs a very up tempo and efficient offense, got to 141.  This defense is for real.  And their offense is for real...ly bad.  Neither team shoots free throws well, which helps in a close game, and SD wants to score from the outside.  Where does Towson defend the best?  On the perimeter. 

Noon-5pm coming up next.  GL everyone

Good luck STL 

@STLTarHeels

GL STL 

Good luck STL

@STLTarHeels

 Tailing all three!!! GL 

1* Syracuse Orangemen +9.5

This is a meaningless game for the Cyclones.  They have nothing to play for, and nothing to prove.  I'm sure Lipsey doesn't play again, as the risk isn't worth the reward.  Cuse have things they need to straighten out, like FT shooting for one.  Some of these guys look like they've never shot a FT before.  But they've been competitive in both of their games in Vegas, and they have more to play for than Iowa St. 

1* Belmont/Toledo Over 162.5

Both offenses want to score quickly in transition or early in the shot clock. As I mentioned the other day, Toledo made a lineup change, and now Leroy Blyden is starting at PG and they've been great ever since. Defensively they still aren't great. They are actually pretty bad.  298th bad. Belmonts defensive numbers are inflated by the 356th strength of schedule so far. Both teams get into the 80s.

1* Buffalo Bulls -4.5

There isn't a team in the country getting the foul line at a better rate than Buffalo is, and Bucknell is struggling to play defense without fouling.  That isn't a good combo. The Bison have now lost 5 straight, and their offense goes into long scoring droughts.  Buffalo can shoot the 3, to the tune of 39%  as a team and Bucknells 3pt% on defense is 308th.  The number seems a little low, so that is a bit scary, but gonna trust my eyes.

1* VCU/South Florida Over 172.5

These teams are almost mirror images of each other, which will make for a great game.  They both pressure the guards on defense, which creates turnovers for easy buckets, but also can leave lanes open for easy opposition buckets.  It's a double edged sword. Now, they both practice against this style every day, so it should come with ease to break it down, get buckets, and just hope to make more than the other team.  Gonna be a shoot out. 

1* Liberty Flames  -5.5

I worry about Libertys "want to" after losing an emotional game yesterday to a good Towson team, but Bradley relies so much on getting turnovers to create offense, and Liberty just doesn't turn the ball over.  They are as fundamentally sound on offense as they come, which is why they have the 6th best offensive efficiency FG% in the country.  They are just so hard to stop.  Bradley doesn't have the dudes that Towson does to slow this offense down.  

2* USC/Arizona St Over 164.5

Both teams want to go.  The soft as hell rims in the Lahaina Center account for a dozen or so points themselves.  Both teams are on their 3rd game in 3 days, and both teams had to fight to the end to get to the finals.  Whatever juice is left in the legs, will be saved for the offensive end of the floor.  Not a bad finals game for Maui, but certainly lacking star power. 

1* Notre Dame/Houston Under 133.5

I think Kelvin Sampson uses yesterdays loss as a motivator to get his guys playing defense like they are used to.  They've given up 70+ in back to back games, and that isn't how they do things.  Notre Dame is a sight for sore eyes if youre looking to play a slow game.  Both of their Players Era games have come in under this number.  I'm hoping the Cougs defend like they can, and Notre Dame stays chippy with upper level talent.

1* Harvard Crimson +6.5

In state rivals meet in Chestnut Hill, and BC is grossly overrated in my opinion.  They can't score the basketball, and that's a problem against a Crimson offense that shoots the ball VERY well.  From everywhere.  Yes, BC has good defensive numbers, but its against the 239th hardest schedule.  I think Harvard stays in this one with their 3pt shooting, and have a shot to win this thing in the final mins. 

1* Seton Hall/Washington St Over 150.5

Shaheen Holloway is letting his offense kinda play on their own here in Maui, and it's paying off.  They've scored over 80 both games, and nearly beat USC yesterday.  Both teams would love to leave the island 2-1 as opposed to 1-2, but I think with no hardware to be had, you see two teams put on an offensive show on national tv.  Did I mention the rims in this gym are soft??

1* Liberty Flames  -5.5

I worry about Libertys "want to" after losing an emotional game yesterday to a good Towson team, but Bradley relies so much on getting turnovers to create offense, and Liberty just doesn't turn the ball over.  They are as fundamentally sound on offense as they come, which is why they have the 6th best offensive efficiency FG% in the country.  They are just so hard to stop.  Bradley doesn't have the dudes that Towson does to slow this offense down.  

2* USC/Arizona St Over 164.5

Both teams want to go.  The soft as hell rims in the Lahaina Center account for a dozen or so points themselves.  Both teams are on their 3rd game in 3 days, and both teams had to fight to the end to get to the finals.  Whatever juice is left in the legs, will be saved for the offensive end of the floor.  Not a bad finals game for Maui, but certainly lacking star power. 

1* Notre Dame/Houston Under 133.5

I think Kelvin Sampson uses yesterdays loss as a motivator to get his guys playing defense like they are used to.  They've given up 70+ in back to back games, and that isn't how they do things.  Notre Dame is a sight for sore eyes if youre looking to play a slow game.  Both of their Players Era games have come in under this number.  I'm hoping the Cougs defend like they can, and Notre Dame stays chippy with upper level talent.

1* Harvard Crimson +6.5

In state rivals meet in Chestnut Hill, and BC is grossly overrated in my opinion.  They can't score the basketball, and that's a problem against a Crimson offense that shoots the ball VERY well.  From everywhere.  Yes, BC has good defensive numbers, but its against the 239th hardest schedule.  I think Harvard stays in this one with their 3pt shooting, and have a shot to win this thing in the final mins. 

1* Seton Hall/Washington St Over 150.5

Shaheen Holloway is letting his offense kinda play on their own here in Maui, and it's paying off.  They've scored over 80 both games, and nearly beat USC yesterday.  Both teams would love to leave the island 2-1 as opposed to 1-2, but I think with no hardware to be had, you see two teams put on an offensive show on national tv.  Did I mention the rims in this gym are soft??

Heels ... 

STLTH......

A real dick kicking today, may be fade material

*2 Tennessee Volunteers -5.5

1* Auburn/St John’s Over 166.5

2* Gonzaga/Michigan Over 165.5

1* Baylor/San Diego St Under 149.5

GL