1* Marshall Thundering Herd -19.5
This is purely a spot play against Pine Bluff. They haven't played a home game yet. This will be their seventh game in 17 days. They started this journey in Washington, and it won't end for them until Dec. 10th. Fuck. They are getting blown out every night, and then they get on a plane, and fly to the next place to get their dicks kicked. Sounds miserable.
1* Memphis/Purdue Over 157.5
Purdue has the most efficient offense in the country according to KenPom, and pretty easy to see if you'v watched them. They have the best PG in the land, a sniper on the wing, a match up nightmare at 4, and a mountain (again) at the rim. They score whenever they want. Memphis will pressure the guards and give up lay ups, but will certainly get their own in transition. In a tournament setting, both coaches will let their guys play and I think this soars over.
1* Central Michigan Chippewas -5.5
The Norse have played two DI games, both on the road, and both are losses by double digits. One to Tennessee, so I'll give them a break there. But their offense has been....not good. 305th in efficiency, 342nd in TO%, 319th in 3pt% (they shoot a ton of them too), and dead last in the country in team FT%. Their defense is 361st in efficiency. They just are a bad basketball team right now. Small sample size, but it's been ugly. Chips defense has been pretty damn good vs better competition, so they should have no problem shutting this Norse team down.
1* Central Florida Knights +1.5
Not a home game for UCF, but an away game for Pitt. UCF went to Texas AM and won a week ago, and their offense is hummin'. They lead the country in 3pt%, and 25th in overall efficiency FG% (all shots). They play at a great pace on offense, and make opposing offenses grind for baskets. Pitt has played one game vs top 60 opponents, and they got waxed by West Virginia (another Big12 school). The ACC is weak once you get past the top 4, and Pitt isn't in that group.
2* South Dakota/Missouri Over 173.5
South Dakota plays at a break-neck pace, and Missouri won't shy away from that. They want to play as free as possible. No real organized offense, but it works for them. Their defense has been questionable though. They have up 84 to SEMO, and 73 to Prairie View. South Dakota is going to get their shots so if they can get to 75, Missouri should get to 100.
1* Wake Forest Demon Deacons +9.5
Not a ton to go off of in this one, but I think I have an advantage with the Deacs defenses ability to take away the 3pt shot, that Tech relies almost primarily on. When they played Michigan last week, they held Michigan to 16% shooting from 3. They have enough guys on offense to keep this game in single digits. Just need to find a way to neutralize Toppin. Forbes is a good coach, he will figure it out.
1* Kansas St Wildcats +2.5
In what should be a close game, I'll take the points, but this game is also in Kansas City, so essentially a home game for the Cats. Mississippi St struggles on offense, and Kansas St is the more tested team thus far. Too many obstacles to overcome for the Bulldogs, who we don't really know who they are yet.
1* Saint Joseph Hawks +10.5
UNLV coming off the big win at Memphis, and have a stretch of games coming up that include Maryland, Alabama and Stanford. Sandwiched in there is St. Joe who is coming off an embarrassing loss to rival Penn. St. Joe could be a ML sprinkle tonight.
GL everyone