well a 7-3 day on saturday posted my 1st 5 before I left went 2-3 then 5-0 went 2-1 on teasers finally lost one , played 2 parlays won 6 of 7 plays and hit the 4 team ML parlay, in which I think all 4 covered their actual lines
46-27
2 team teasers 7-1
Parlays 5-5 plays given out in parlays 26-8
total plays 72-35
just going to look at some games and throw some info out there
App st @ Dartmouth offshore has PK Hardrock App st -1.5
Dartmouth 0-2 and App st 2-2 but 1 win was against a nobody , I did go against dartmouth earlier when they were at home with Marist, a game not many were on Marist was +2 won by 19, App st has lost both away games but to Ohio St and C Mich, both teams avg 65 pts a game and both give up about the same, both are shooting 38% and both take 56 shots a game, both tale about 26-27 3's a game and both make about 8, both only shoot ft's at 60-63%,
App st is shooting the 2 at 44% Dart at 49% App st should have an advantage on the offensive boards as they are averaging 11 a game to just 6 for Dart,
2 big diff's are on turnovers App st is avg 8.7 and Dart is avg 16 a game , and on fouls App st is avg 20 a game and Dart just 13 so each has something against them there...one thing I like is app st is averaging 11 assist away and Dart is only averaging 7 assist at home , also App st is shooting the 3 at 34% when away and Dart is shooting it at 15% at home....like I said App st avg 11 offensive boards away and Dart 7 at home...another big advantage for App st is their opponents are avg 3 steals against them , and when away its 3 steals while Dartmouth opponents are avg 14 steals , but that could just be one game which is is but its 12 steals over both games
App st is avg 8 turnovers a game and Dart is avg 16, they had 20 in their one home loss to Marist
quick thought would be to take App st here , if I was playing it ....again Offshore has PK Hardrock App st -1.5 ML -120 be interesting to see where this goes my guess is app st will be a fav
gl 151
@ENFUEGO32
well Kent st is a pretty good team , they take about 8 more shots a game than Wright st , they make 12 3's a game to 9 for wright st, they make about 4 more shots a game on avg, they avg 12 offensive rebounds a game to 7 for wright st...they avgh 44 pts in 1st half 51 in 2nd wright st averages 34 1st half and 42 2nd, Kenbt st is averaging 24 ft's a game to 14 for wright st ..this game is on a neutral site both teams are like 240 miles away...Kest is 4-0 over this year and they are 4-0 over as a favorite, but wright st is 3-0 under 2-0 under as a dog
I was liking the OVER here, I mean unless wright st can control the tempo and slow this down , but wright st is avg 76 pts a game that's not real low but Kent st is avg 98 so far that's the thing, and with this total has went up to 154.5 I think odds makers set it lower thinking wright st , but public has pushed it up ...right now my offshore has Kent st -4, Hard rock has Kent st -2.5 wright st just scored 92 as they beat Radford , just think its going to be hard to hold Kent st under 82 84-79 style of game unless Kent st has their way to where they score 95 , if that I hope wright st gets over 74
Going OVER 154.5
gl 151
well just thinking out loud
kind of looking at Tennessee st getting 10.5 11 they lost last year at WKY 84-60, and they do have some guys back from that team who are the leading scorers this year, the reason they lost that game was just poor shooting as they shot just 32% to 48% for WKY, and 21 to's, you won't win with 21 to's but Tenn st did have 14 offensive boards in that game to just 5 for WKY, so there are reasons that they can fix as to why they lost so bad, I think this is a lot of points, that was the only game they lost by double digits last year, after Jan 4th last year they played really well losing just 6 games after that, and all those losses were very close 87-80 ot Loss, 89-87 ot loss, 77-74 loss, 71-69 loss, 77-75 loss all together this team had 4 OT losses and 1 OT win not saying this is a play but I think it might be
also going offshore to get Marist -5 I do like this team this year, and every year there are teams that just end up covering, they will go on nice runs where they cover many in a row and those can make your season if ya happen to get on them when they start their runs, not sure if Marist is one, but I was on them at Dartmouth as a 2 pt dog they won by 19, I like them here vs Harvard at home, actually Marist should be 3-0 they lost by 4 at Xavier and again covered, but they lost that game even though they shot 48% to 34% for Xavier Xavier took 9 more shots and 7 more ft's because Marist had 18 to's to 11 and Xavier made 6 more ft's and took 7 more , Marist is giving up just 61 pts a game so maybe you under bettors should look at this one, total is just 129.5 I think at home they get this win its going to be close unless they somehow hold them to under 62 but I am seeing a 73-64 type of game
Marist -5
this Wagner at UMBC game is interesting line is 7 but this Wagner team has played well, they played with Seton Hall and almost won and then lost by 2 to Fordham , Wagner plays a slower game as they avg just 65 pts but they are making 10 3's a game , both teams are shooting 40% or better from 3 , Wagner does get about 9.5 offensive reb's a game to 7 for UMBC this could be a close game actually going to use them in a teaser 2 dogs
Wagner +11.5/Kennesaw st +11.5 teaser 1 unit
maybe Troy outwest still laying 5.5 at CSN Troy is still on the road, but they are doing ok, they should get this, and Presbyterian at Sacremento this line seems low at Sac -4 but Presbyterian is a decent road team, they had a bad 1st half at S Car last game falling behind by 20, but they ended up losing by 20 playing even with s.car the 2nd half I think 4 is a tell need to look into it though now Presbyterian is +7 wow maybe something up and Lindenwood +3 at Alabama AM I took Charleston Southern +2 at alab am Friday where Charleston was ahead by 3 late but lost by 4, then Lindenwood beat Charleston Southern 83-77 yesterday Alabama AM hosted this little round robin
and W Michigan at S Dakota this total is 173 SD TT is 88.5 I did win easy with SD the other night laying 6 winning by like 17 , this team can score points at home they really score, they been averaging 14 offensive boards too this game should go OVER I see SD getting 90+ I was hoping their TT was a bit lower , I might just lay 4 pts here also, WM off a home win vs ft wayne 83-71 where they were down 5 at half and scored 51-34 2nd half for the win but now on the road?? I like s.dakota here
hell with it I am taking S Dakota again here, W Michigan does have a good duo of players in Griffith and Brewer and they can rebound, but they did lose to Campbell on the road in a game where there was 173 pts scored I kind of favor the over here also, I think SD gets 90+ but would rather lay -3.5 -120 ...
SD 93-84 SD -3.5
gl 151
Damn USF Kennesaw st going way OVER the total seen some unders in here I hate unders didn't see how ya bet under kennesaw st .........frigging Samford going to OT of course no write up there ...holy cross won outright PROPS to those on HC I wrote about Wagner damnit used them in a teaser but they were a good play losing by 1 I should have went with my thought....lose the OVER Kent st....YESSS TY South Dakota wins by 5 I said close, the line looked low
South Dakota WIN
App st WIN good write up
OVER Kent st LOSS
should have bet Wagner damnit #10 I write those for everyone hell maybe others did bet them hope so
Established in 1995,
good luck RUM, enjoy your game breakdowns...
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