1* 50-38
2* 12-11
3* 1-3
4* 1-1
5* 0-0
1* Green Bay/Yale Over 147.5
Two teams that don't really put any emphasis on the defensive end already, playing the opening game in a tournament in the Virgin Islands. We know Doug Gottlieb is a terrible coach, so he won't have a gameplan to slow down Yales offense, who right now, are 3rd in the country in 3pt% and 8th in FT%. I will need the Phoenix to contribute on the offensive end a little bit, but that should be ok with Yales 258th defensive efficiency FG%. Should be a pretty free flowing game, with coaches just letting their guys play.
1* Utah St/Tulane Under 151.5
Tulane forces their opponents into the longest offensive possessions in the country according to KenPom, and then are 301st in tempo on the offensive end. The Aggies are a defensive first team, which is a change from the Danny Sprinkle era that had the offense really hummin'. It's a neutral floor (most will be this time of year) and a new gym setting could create shooting issues early on.
1* IU Indy/Alabama St Under 183.5
No one goes faster than IU Indy, and that shouldn't change today, but their scoring goes down quite a bit when they are away from their home gym. Alabama St isn't slow, but I'd be willing to bet they will be slower today than usual, just to attempt and throw Indy off their schedule. If they break the press for lay ups more times than not, this is gonna be screwed, but I think they don't play into what Howlett and co. want to do.
1* UMASS Minutemen +3.5
I think the wrong team is favored here. Yes, Charleston is the more tested team, but they haven't even really been all that competitive in those games. UMASS needs to get the turnovers on offense under control but lucky for them, Charleston doesn't force any, so they just have to not beat themselves. I'm getting the better coach, and the better defense.
1* Wisconsin/BYU Over 163.5
BYU bounced Whisky from the tournament last year 91-89, where the total was set at 156. Many carry overs from that games rosters. No reason to see why it end much differently. Both offenses seem to be firing on all cylinders, and it's a neutral floor, so I expect things to open up a little bit. Wisconsin doesn't like to run a lot, but they are effective in the half court, shoot a lot of threes, and make their free throws. BYU relies on the inside game more than out, but Keita may not be playing today, so that could force things outside more, while also freeing up the rim on the defensive end.
1* Northwestern/Virginia Under 146.5
This is Tony Bennetts D, but its playing pretty well so far. 5th in eFG% in the country, and 4th in 2pt%. Blocking shots at a very high rate. Northwesterns defense isn't anything to shake a stick at either. 19th in eFG%, and 9th in 2pt%. But they are making offenses work every single possession to get a good shot, and that's my final reasoning. Both are in the top 10 for longest defensive possessions in the country.
1* Florida St/Georgia Southern Over 175.5
Back to the well with the Noles NBA style. From a fundamental view, its terrible basketball. No organization, just street ball at its finest. First person to get a shot takes it, preferably a 3 or a dunk. Hope the other team misses, and repeat. Southern is running like crazy this year too, so the pace should be entertaining. Just gonna need shots to fall, and this will hit.
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