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Capping Wed Games

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Posted: #1
So far I really like Valparaiso (~2) @ Eastern Kentucky

Valpo is 4~1 ATS.

Valpo's last 3 games (tournament ... all on neutral courts):

Valpo (~2.5) Covered ATS by 13.5 pts.

Valpo (2) Covered ATS by 27 pts.

Valpo (~6) Covered ATS by 14 pts

Impressive.

(From Covers' Preview page)

  • Eastern Kentucky is ranked 214 for field goal %
  • Is shooting 41.0% of field goal shots.
  • Attempting 57.7 shots per game. 
  • 30.0% for 3 pt shots.


  • Valparaiso is ranked 32nd for offensive field goal %
  • Shooting 48.4%
  • Attempting 53.1 shots per game.
  • The Crusaders are 65.3% for free throw %
  • Valpo is at 41.2% for three point shots.
I edited out a lot of words, shortening the preview to just the bare facts. It's easier to read this way, yes?

Ok, is there any reason to not take Valpo in this game at ~2?
 
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Posted: #2
No, Valparaiso is the play:)
 
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Posted: #3

eastern kentucky averages 102 pts at home and is holding teams to 46 . something to ponder

 
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Posted: #4
how many pts is home court worth 2 or 3....good stats,good info the key would be ....who shoots better free throw% who rebounds better...I went to valp home page looks like your pick should be a good one....
 
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Posted: #5
mozart...I gave ya wyoming tonight look at utep.......very solid at a plus 6 look at their front line...and watch the replay when they played xavier....
 
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Posted: #6
GL
 
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Posted: #7
mozart you from vegas I go their once a month, just got my tickets to the las vegas bowl.....go their once a month for my very large bets....love it their better than the rainy northwest....I was their in nov...stayed at the monte carlo and it was cold.....staying at ceasars this time...
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by marcig:

eastern kentucky averages 102 pts at home and is holding teams to 46 . something to ponder


Yeah, and the 3 teams they played were Savannah st (76-53), Kentucky Christian (115-35) and Clermont College (115-50). If these are the teams to judge E Ky's offensive and defensive power against then good luck betting E Ky vs a more talented Valpo team.

Valpo -2 definitely
 
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Posted: #9
Nice find as usual Mozart thanks!
BIGGS, I will definitely check it out....quite cold in Everett too......but rain coming back Friday...yeah!! I can't believe I am looking forward to the rain! Go Dawgs!
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by biggs33:

mozart you from vegas 


Hi Biggs33~

No, I'm not from Vegas ... I had lived in Incline Village for several years, then left to move back to California for a few years, where I am for the time being.

I do plan to move back to Tahoe ASAP, this time to South Lake Tahoe, close to Stateline, where I could do cash betting action.

I've never been to Vegas, but I'd like to visit someday.

I was surprised to see Valparaiso at ~1 on my book, so I locked in 2 units at that number.


 
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Posted: #11
good play,,,I am takeing 300 on valpo.... I have 1200 on utep for my big play....
 
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Posted: #12
mt5 yes it is very cold in everett.... I live down in vancouver wa....little mild but yes rain starts again this weekend... love uw I played football their from 1987 /1991 that is when we were good.....bought tickets to the las vegas bowl got a gut feeling it will be washington versuscolorado st....
 
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Posted: #13
Wonder why my book doesn't have the Valpo game...
 
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Posted: #14
Never mind got it!
 
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Posted: #15

Forward is out for Ind st....butler line will jump from 7.5 to 10 before the game. :) Butler -7.5

NOVA beat mich and smoked......SMOKED VCU last week.  Meanwhile Lasalle was beaten by a garbage Vandy team.  Nova wins by 14-20.

Also consider Cal -14....they win this by 20-25

Davidson line should drop to 3.5 or 4 before they announce a guard is out for Charlotte.  Dav -4 is a great play as well.

BOL

 
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Posted: #16
 
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Posted: #17
Here's my Wed card that I've placed bets with so far, FWIW:

Valpo ~1 (2u)

Utah ~3 (1u)

Villanova ~10  (1u)

Butler ~7  (1u)

Cal ~14  (1u)

All favorites. Yikes. I like to tail the better cappers with the dog picks.

I'm not going to keep a record, as I don't expect anyone to tail my picks.

Tail at your own risk.





 
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Posted: #18
Good luck man
 
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Posted: #19
 
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Posted: #20
BIGGS...Wow I attended the UW 87-91 also! 1991 Co-National Champions. What a great team....Emtman, Brunnel/Hobert, Kaufman, Bailey, Hall, and Coach James. You played on one of the best college football team ever with a legit strong schedule!!! Thanks for the great memories bro.
 
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Posted: #21
small world....I played olb started as a junior and senior...went to high schoolat odea in seattle...major in pysical education.....havent talked to those guys in years....because I do not believe in facebook....probally talked to you I was a party animal but always made it to practice.....gl goutep miners....Biggs
 
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Posted: #22
On UTEP at 5.5 and Valpo -2 ..... THANKS BIGGS AND MOZART. GLTA
 
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Posted: #23
mt5...you know after the bowl game in 1991...damn I never went back to class how dumb I only had 4 classes left...I thought I would make the pros nope never drafted ....recieved a tryout with the bengals but cut after 3 days....so guess what ended up back in seattle working the fishing boats...oh well life turned out good....utep plus 6....valpo minus 2.....utep game is on channel 34 root sports or you can watch it on espn on the computer...GL biggs
 
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Posted: #24
Mozart. Thank you sir! 
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by dizzy415:

Mozart. Thank you sir! 


Wow. I'm surprised to see someone thanking me for some picks. I think that you're the first one ever to thank me, Dizzy415.

YW, bro.

"415" ... that's the area code for the Bay Area ... so you're from the Bay Area, Dizzy?

I just now came home to see a whole bunch of "You Won!" emails, with 6 out of my 8 picks winning and growing my BR by a good 30%, so I'm a happy camper right now.

I broke the rules by putting 80% of my bankroll on the line (10% of the BR on each bet), but I wanted to be aggressive in growing my small BR, hence I was willing to take more risks.

But as the BR gets bigger, then I'll be taking fewer risks and engaging in proper money management to avoid the dreaded wipeout that could happen on one bad, bad night with most bets losing.
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