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Super Bowl 58 Odds: Chiefs, Bills Open as 2024 Favorites

Super Bowl 57 hasn't even been played — heck we don't even know who is playing yet — but Super Bowl 58 odds are now on the board, led by Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, Jalen Hurts... and Brock Purdy?!?

Last Updated: Jan 24, 2023 3:56 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
Stefon Diggs Buffalo Bills NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

We're down to the final four teams in the hunt to win Super Bowl 57... but that doesn't mean we can't start looking ahead to next season and Super Bowl 58 odds!

It's not a surprise that the four remaining teams with Super Bowl odds now all occupy a spot in the Top 5 for next year, but one of the co-favorites in 2024 is a team that is now on the golf course.

Here's an early (early!) look at the odds to win Super Bowl 58 on Sunday, February 11 at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas.

NFL Super Bowl 58 odds

Team Super Bowl odds
Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs +550
Bills Buffalo Bills +550
49ers San Francisco 49ers +700
Bengals Cincinnati Bengals +1,000
Eagles Philadelphia Eagles +1,000
CowboysDallas Cowboys +1,200
Chargers Los Angeles Chargers  +2,500
Ravens Baltimore Ravens +2,800
Packers Green Bay Packers +3,000
Rams Los Angeles Rams +3,500
Lions Detroit Lions +3,500
Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars +3,500
BuccaneersTampa Bay Buccaneers +3,500
Jets New York Jets +4,000
DolphinsMiami Dolphins +4,000
Giants New York Giants +4,000
Saints New Orleans Saints +4,000
Broncos Denver Broncos +4,000
Browns Cleveland Browns +4,500
Raiders Las Vegas Raiders +5,000
Vikings Minnesota Vikings +5,000
Patriots New England Patriots +6,000
Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers +6,000
PanthersCarolina Panthers +6,000
TitansTennessee Titans +7,000
Colts Indianapolis Colts +7,000
FalconsAtlanta Falcons +7,000
Bears Chicago Bears +8,000
Seahawks Seattle Seahawks +8,000
CommandersWashington Commanders +8,000
Texans Houston Texans +10,000
CardinalsArizona Cardinals +10,000

Odds courtesy of DraftKings on January 24, 2023.

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Favorites to win Super Bowl 58

Kansas City Chiefs (+550)

Ho-hum, five years for the Kansas City Chiefs with Patrick Mahomes as the starter... and five straight AFC Championship appearances.

The Chiefs' chances of making their third Super Bowl appearance in those five years hinge almost entirely on how bad Mahomes' high-ankle sprain actually is, but as long as No. 15 is under center — and he still has Travis Kelce to throw to — this team will always be a Super Bowl favorite.

Oh, and an improving defense and the breakout of rookie running back Isiah Pacheco doesn't hurt either.

Buffalo Bills (+550)

Despite getting humbled at home by Cincinnati in the Wild Card Round — and leading to Stefon Diggs' sideline meltdown — the Buffalo Bills roster is still incredibly lush with talent.

Buffalo showed cracks in the armor once superstar pass rusher Von Miller went down for the season on Thanksgiving, but he is expected to be back healthy, Tre'Davious White will be well behind his ACL injury, and Diggs will still have superstar QB Josh Allen ready to make another run at the Lombardi Trophy.

After committing so much money and capital to improving this team in recent years, it's also wise to expect the Bills to continue to add to this roster in the offseason in an attempt at getting over the AFC hump.

San Francisco 49ers (+750)

Who will be the starting QB for the San Francisco 49ers in Week 1? Does it even matter?

Trey Lance was expected to be the guy for the foreseeable future, but after his injury in the season opener — and then an injury to veteran Jimmy Garoppolo — Mr. Irrelevant Brock Purdy has stepped in and only won eight straight games, throwing 16 touchdowns against four interceptions, as the Niners are in the NFC Championship game.

Of course, the only reason a team can be the favorite to win the NFC without knowing who its QB will be because the rest of the roster is incredibly deep. It's almost unfair that Kyle Shanahan has Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle at his disposal, along with one of the best offensive lines in football... and the defense has superstars at all three levels.

Regardless of who is under center in the Bay Area, this roster can do damage against anyone.

Cincinnati Bengals, Philadelphia Eagles (+1,000)

And then, at 10/1, we have:

  • The reigning AFC Champions, making their second straight AFC Championship appearance, with a pressure-heavy defense and arguably the NFL's most talent-rich passing attack.

  • The team that finished with the best record in the NFL this season, possibly the most dynamic overall offense, and one of the league's elite pass defenses.

Oh, and to top it off: The Cincinnati Bengals are currently favored over the Chiefs... and the Philadelphia Eagles are currently favored to top the 49ers in this season's AFC and NFC Championship games.

Where to bet on the Super Bowl

If you're in a state that allows mobile, or online betting, make sure you know which ones are the best Super Bowl betting sites. Great betting sites offer sharp odds, quick payouts and are safe and secure when it comes to depositing and withdrawing your money.

Super Bowl History

Early line movement

Those looking for an inside edge when betting the Super Bowl might want to follow the early line moves. Sharp professional players are most often the first ones to bet the Big Game odds the second they hit the board, and they’ve been right more often than they’ve been wrong in recent years.

Over the last 14 Super Bowls, the early money has been on the right side on 11 occasions (with one game resulting in a push).

Super Bowl Teams Opening Spread Early Move Closing Spread Early Money ATS
Bengals vs. Rams
Rams -3.5 Rams -4.5 Rams -4.5
(Rams) Loss
Chiefs vs. Buccaneers
Chiefs -3.5 Chiefs  -3 Chiefs -3
(Bucs) Win
54 Chiefs vs. 49ers Pick'em Chiefs -1 Chiefs -1.5  (Chiefs) Win
53 Patriots vs. Rams Patriots -1.5 Patriots -2 Patriots -2.5 (Patriots) Win
52 Patriots vs. Eagles Patriots -5.5 Patriots -3.5 Patriots -4.5 (Eagles) Win
51 Patriots vs. Falcons Patriots -3 Patriots -3 (-120) Patriots -3 (Patriots) Win
50 Broncos vs. Panthers Panthers -3.5 Panthers -4.5 Panthers -4.5 (Panthers) Loss
49 Patriots vs. Seahawks Patriots -1 No move Patriots -1 Draw
48 Broncos vs. Seahawks Pick'em Seahawks -1 Seahawks -1.5 (Seahawks) Win
47 49ers vs. Ravens 49ers -4 49ers -3.5 49ers -4.5 (Ravens) Win
46 Patriots vs. Giants Patriots -3.5 Patriots -3 Patriots -3 (Giants) Win
45 Packers vs. Steelers Packers -2 Packers -3 Packers -3 (Packers) Win
44 Colts vs. Saints Colts -3.5 Colts -6 Colts -4.5 (Colts) Loss
43 Steelers vs. Cardinals Steelers -6.5 Steelers -5.5 Steelers -6.5 (Cardinals) Win
42 Patriots vs. Giants Patriots -13 Patriots -11.5 Patriots -11.5 (Giants) Win

Previous Super Bowl Winners

Below we've listed all the Super Bowl winners since 2000 and their reason odds.

Year Winner Preseason Odds
2021 Los Angeles Rams +1,200
2020 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1,000
2019 Kansas City Chiefs +600
2018 New England Patriots +600
2017 Philadelphia Eagles +4,000
2016 New England Patriots +600
2015 Denver Broncos +900
2014 New England Patriots +650
2013 Seattle Seahawks +800
2012 Baltimore Ravens +1,800
2011 New York Giants +2,200
2010 Green Bay Packers +1,100
2009 New Orleans Saints +2,200
2008 Pittsburgh Steelers +1,800
2007 New York Giants +3,000
2006 Indianapolis Colts +600
2005 Pittsburgh Steelers +1,200
2004 New England Patriots +600
2003 New England Patriots +1,500
2002 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1,200
2001 New England Patriots +6,000
2000 Baltimore Ravens +2,200

Super Bowl wins and appearances by team

The New England Patriots have the most Super Bowl appearances at 11 and are tied with the Pittsburgh Steelers for most wins with six.

Team Appearances Wins
New England Patriots 11 6
Pittsburgh Steelers 8 6
Dallas Cowboys 8 5
Denver Broncos 8 3
San Francisco 49ers 7 5
Washington Commanders 5 3
Green Bay Packers 5 4
Miami Dolphins 5 2
New York Giants 5 4
Las Vegas Raiders 5 3
Los Angeles Rams 5 2
Buffalo Bills 4 0
Minnesota Vikings 4 0
Indianapolis Colts 4 2
Kansas City Chiefs 4 2
Philadelphia Eagles 3 1
Seattle Seahawks 3 1
Cincinnati Bengals 3 0
Carolina Panthers 2 0
Atlanta Falcons 2 0
Baltimore Ravens 2 2
Chicago Bears 2 1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2 2
New Orleans Saints 1 1
Arizona Cardinals 1 0
Tennessee Titans 1 0
Los Angeles Chargers 1 0
New York Jets 1 1
Jacksonville Jaguars 0 0
Cleveland Browns 0 0
Detroit Lions 0 0
Houston Texans 0 0

• An NFC East team has won the Super Bowl 13 times, the most of any division.

• Ten wild-card teams have gone on to win the Super Bowl.

• The New England Patriots are the only franchise to win back-to-back Super Bowl titles since 2000.

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