Nottingham Forest vs Man City Predictions and Picks for Today’s EPL Matchup

Nottingham Forest isn't exactly in a title race like Man City, but they are fighting for their EPL life. With City having played a ton of soccer over the last 21 days, Nottingham Forest can take advantage of a tired side and find the back of the net.

Apr 28, 2024 • 09:04 ET • 4 min read
Chris Wood Nottingham Forest EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

With the pressure squarely on Man City's shoulders ahead of Thursday's fixture vs. Brighton, the Citizens delivered a masterclass performance and left very little doubt as to who would collect all three points. 

A 4-0 win at the Amex means City moved to within a point of Arsenal, with a game in hand on the London club. However, that will all be for nothing if they don't produce another performance worthy of picking up the win today.

They will run into resistance in the form of Nottingham Forest, who are fighting for EPL survival. Will the desperation be enough to keep the trees from wilting under pressure? 

I give you my free betting picks and Nottingham Forest vs Man City predictions for Sunday, April 28. 

EPL predictions for Nottingham Forest vs Man City

My best bet:
Both teams to score — Yes (-109 at TonyBet)

My analysis

Much like any game Man City takes part in the Premier League, they figure to have the bulk of the possession, the bulk of the scoring chances, the bulk of the goals, and quite frankly all three points after 90 minutes. 

However, that doesn't mean aren't susceptible to lapses at the back, and given the combination of two key factors, we believe Nottingham Forest can do enough to find the scoresheet. 

If you look at Man City's fixture schedule, they've played a ton of football over the last three weeks. Dating back to April 6, they've played six games over 21 days. This will be game number seven in 23. 

Even for a club as deep as Man City is on the bench, there is only so much gas in the tank, and with every passing game, each one more vital than the next, energy is expended and the recovery time takes longer. 

On the other side of the coin, you have a Nottingham Forest side that is fighting for survival. They currently sit 17th in the table, one point up on Luton and three points up on Burnley. A single point here against the Champions would feel like three and would help their cause immensely. 

With that said, while I don't believe Nottingham Forest will win, they will do what they do best at home and that is trying to attack every chance they get. 

They've done the bulk of their scoring at home and Man City have given up the majority of their goals away from the Etihad. 

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Nottingham Forest vs Man City same-game parlay (SGP)

Both teams to score — Yes

Over 2.5 goals

Matz Sels Over 3.5 saves

Both teams have found the back of the net in a combined 10 out of 13 fixtures in all competitions and while Man City will likely do the bulk of the scoring, we do see Forest getting on the scoresheet. 

We'll add the over 2.5 goals and combine it with Forest goalkeeper Matz Sels to make four saves as City will likely shoot from every position they can. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Nottingham Forest vs Man City odds

Nottingham Forest vs Man City live odds

Nottingham Forest vs Man City opening odds

  • Moneyline: Nottingham Forest +660 | Man City -257
  • Draw: +440
  • Over/Under: Over 3 (-113) | Under 3 (-105)

Nottingham Forest vs Man City side and Over/Under analysis

  • This line opened at Man City -257 but as the weekend approaches we are pushing upwards of -305 in favor of the Citizens. 
  • This line continues to drift out towards -315 once lineups are announced and the likes of KDB and Erling Haaland are starting (the latter of which is questionable). 
  • The total opened at 3 and juiced slightly to the Over. We are seeing some 3.5s pop up but they are heavily juiced to the Under

Nottingham Forest vs Man City game info

Location: City Ground, Nottingham, England
Date: Sunday, 4-28-2024
Time: 11:30 a.m. ET
TV: Hulu, FUBO TV, Live TV
Weather: Cool conditions with rain expected.
Nottingham Forest Recent EPL form L-D-L-W-D
Man City Recent EPL form W-W-W-W-D

Nottingham Forest vs Man City key injuries

Nottingham Forest: Taiwo Awoniyi (out), Willy Bolly (out).
Man City: Erling Haaland (questionable).

Not intended for use in MA.
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