Basketball bettors have a trio of games in the WNBA on Sunday, starting with a 3 p.m. ET tipoff and rolling into the late evening with action in Las Vegas.
The Indiana Fever and Atlanta Dream have a matinee matchup, while the Dallas Wings go to the Windy City for a showdown with the Chicago Sky. The finale is in Sin City, where the Las Vegas Aces play back-to-back outings, hosting the winless Minnesota Lynx.
I comb through the WNBA odds and give my best WNBA picks and predictions for player props on May 28.
WNBA player prop bets for May 28
- Rhyne Howard Over 14.5 points
- Courtney Williams Over 11.5 points
- Kelsey Plum Over 2.5 3s
Read full analysis of each pick.
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Today's best WNBA player props bets
Dream a little Dream
Atlanta Dream guard Rhyne Howard is waking up from a nightmare in her last game out.
The 2022 Rookie of the Year managed only eight points in Atlanta’s win at Minnesota, shooting a dismal 3 for 12 from the field in just 28 minutes of play. That came on the heels of a stronger 20-point showing in the opening loss to Dallas, in which Howard heaved up 12 triples (making four) and closed 8-for-24 from the floor overall.
Atlanta wants to take and make a lot of 3-pointers in order to spread opposing defenses, and Howard is a big part of that perimeter play. The Dream lead the WNBA in average attempts from outside, shooting 27.5 shots from 3-point range so far.
Atlanta is home hosting the Indiana Fever, who have been bad on defense through two games, especially when it comes to protecting the arc. Indiana has allowed 18 makes on 46 attempts from distance, with foes shooting better than 39% from long range.
Oddsmakers are measuring Howard’s off night against Minnesota far too much, and have her points prop at 14.5 (Over -125) for today’s contest. Player projections have the Kentucky product putting up closer to 20 points. Last season, she averaged 16.2 points per game for the Dream, knocking down 2.5 triples per contest.
Rhyne Howard prop: Over 14.5 points (-125 at bet365)
Windy City Williams
The Chicago Sky are going to need a big game from Courtney Williams if they’re going to keep pace the high-octane Dallas Wings.
Dallas is one of the most exciting offenses in the land, and the Sky are down a couple key contributors, with Rebekah Gardner and Morgan Bertsch out due to injury Sunday. That leaves Chicago’s roster running thin and leaning heavily on standouts like Williams.
Williams has stuffed the stat sheet in her past two games, with scoring efforts of 12 and 13 points, respectively, going along with a collective 15 rebounds and 12 assists. Her points prop for Sunday’s showdown at home is at 11.5 (Over +100).
Given the missing members of the rotation and the uptick in pace with Dallas on the floor — the Wings run the second-fastest tempo in the league — there are plenty of extra possessions and points for Williams to pick up.
Her player projections are calling for closer to 15 points from the veteran guard, presenting great positive expected value on her scoring prop.
Courtney Williams prop: Over 11.5 points (+100 at bet365)
Plum on a run
The Las Vegas Aces had better put the coffee on. The reigning WNBA champs play back-to-back contests this weekend, hosting the Minnesota Lynx in the second of those outings Sunday night.
The Aces were outstanding in their home opener Saturday, blasting the L.A. Sparks by 28 points. Nineteen of those tallies came from standout guard Kelsey Plum, who finished the night 7-for-17 including going 3-for-9 from beyond the arc in just 26 minutes of action.
Plum bounced back from a bad shooting night in Los Angeles last Thursday, in which she was 0-for-3 from deep. She was 3-for-5 on triples in the opening game of the season versus Seattle, and has a 3-pointers made prop of 2.5 (Over +100) for tonight’s home tilt.
Plum averaged 3.1 makes from 3-point range on 42% shooting overall last season, with that clip jumping to 3.3 triples on 42.3% success at home. Her player projections for Sunday’s game versus the Lynx is calling for 22.5 points with a forecasted 2.6 makes from downtown.
Given this is the second of two straight games for the Aces, and with the potential for a blowout always in play with Vegas, Plum's minutes could be a concern when it comes to getting Over her points prop. I feel more comfortable taking her Over on triples against the Lynx, as the scoring load could get spread around the Aces' talent-rich roster.
Minnesota is having trouble slowing down foes from long range, giving up a league high 9.7 3-pointers, with opponents shooting almost 39% from deep. The game script calls for plenty of points from Vegas, with a larger spread and total ticking upwards, and the EVEN money price on that higher projection gives us good +EV on this 3-pointer prop.
Kelsey Plum prop: Over 2.5 3s (+100 at bet365)
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