UFC 276 Prelim Picks and Predictions: Garry Keeps Momentum vs Green

UFC 276 is shaping up to be one hell of a good card, and we've got a look at a trio of preliminary bouts with our betting picks. One involves undefeated Ian Garry, who we expect to run roughshod all over Gabriel Green. Read on for the rest of our picks.

Last Updated: Jul 2, 2022 12:34 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
Ian Garry UFC 276 Prelims
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UFC 276 looks to be an event packed with great fights from top to bottom, and if the preliminary bouts are any indication of what to expect, then this card could be something special. Let’s take a look at some standout bouts that can make your night with great bets and excellent parlays.

Here are our free picks and predictions for the UFC 276 preliminaries on July 2.

UFC 276 prelim picks and predictions

Ian Garry vs. Gabriel Green
Prediction: Garry ML (-175)
Best Bet: Garry Win by KO/TKO/DQ (+225)

Jim Miller vs. Donald Cerrone
Prediction: Miller ML (-195)
Best Bet: Under 1.5 Rounds (+115)

Uriah Hall vs. Andre Muniz
Prediction: Muniz ML (-305)
Best Bet: Over 1.5 Rounds (+120)

Click on each fight to jump to the full analysis.

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The undefeated Garry comes into this fight with a ton of momentum, winning four of his last six inside the distance. With how solid Garry looked during that stretch, Green looks to be in for a tough night. Garry lands 4.6 strikes per minute at 53% accuracy, defends ,well and hits harder than his volume-centric foe.

Green bounced back from a 2020 loss to Daniel Rodriguez with a pair of wins to set up this intriguing clash. What Green does well is that he’s a busy striker that isn’t afraid to fight on the inside and hunt for takedowns. He’ll have trouble defending against Garry as he only defends 49% of significant strikes and absorbs 6.61 strikes per minute.

With Garry putting more force on his shots and Green’s tendency to get hit, it’s hard seeing this fight go the distance. With two knockout losses on his record against opponents with a similar build as Garry, Green might find the canvas before he hears the final bell. We’re going with Garry to score a stoppage here.

Prediction: Ian Garry moneyline (-175 at DraftKings)
Best Bet: Ian Garry to Win by KO/TKO/DQ (+225 at DraftKings)

After a third cancellation finally shut the door on a winnable fight against Joe Lauzon, Cerrone hopes to get back on track in a rematch with Miller. Back in 2014, “Cowboy” stopped Miller in two rounds, and he’s hoping whatever he has left will be enough to repeat the feat eight years later. Cerrone remains easy to hit, but hard to take down, and has gone through multiple training camps for the aborted Lauzon fight.

Miller, like Cerrone, is far removed from his best days but has shown more resilience in recent fights. He’s won his last two bouts by stoppage, ending a two-fight skid, but will have to make the trek up to welterweight to face his old nemesis. Though he’s at a disadvantage in height, reach and size, his recent form is leaps beyond Cerrone’s.

Lauzon was an easier mark to get Cerrone a token win, but Miller will be the fresher fighter and reinvigorated with the move to welterweight. It may be a reach to take Miller by finish here, but it’s a risk we’re willing to take considering how little Cerrone has left. We like Miller to win and believe the best bet is this fight going Under 1.5 rounds.

Prediction: Jim Miller moneyline (-195 at DraftKings)
Best Bet: Under 1.5 rounds (+115 at DraftKings)

A rising star in the middleweight division going on a tear faces off against a fading contender who has seen better days. Not only is this a typical scenario, but it’s the exact same circumstances we saw when Hall faced Sean Strickland last July in a lopsided defeat. Muniz looks every bit a killer, losing only once in the past eight years with three of his last four wins coming by submission. 

Hall was beaten so soundly by Strickland that he looked like he didn’t belong. Muniz isn’t as sharp a striker as Strickland, but his grappling and conditioning look to be more than the veteran can handle. While we can’t discount Hall just having an off night against Strickland, he’s up against a strong defender who will do everything he can to force him to the canvas.

Muniz is making short work of his opponents and is coming into this fight with a full head of steam. He’s a strong finisher and accurate striker who takes under seven minutes to finish most of his fights and is going up against a fighter who is standing on unsteady ground. Just as Strickland painted his masterpiece at Hall’s expense, we like Muniz to do so as well. Betting on Muniz to get a submission is -120, but considering Hall has never tapped, we prefer betting the fight going Over 1.5 rounds for +120.

Prediction: Andre Muniz moneyline (-305 at DraftKings)
Best Bet: Over 1.5 rounds (+120 at DraftKings)

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