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World Cup Golden Boot Award Odds: Four Top Scorers Advance

The Golden Boot race is about to heat up, with the knockout stages set. Five players ended the group stage with three goals and four — Kylian Mbappe, Alvaro Morata, Marcus Rashford, and Cody Gakpo — mark the top of Golden Boot odds.

Last Updated: Dec 2, 2022 4:52 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
Alvaro Morata Spain FIFA World Cup
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The 2022 FIFA World Cup has reached the halfway mark, with the group stage completed on Friday. 

Though Richarlison wasn't on the scoresheet for a heavily rotated Brazil squad, he remains among the favorites on the World Cup odds board to win the Golden Boot, buoyed by a two-goal opener and his presence atop Brazil's attack.

Find our full 2022 FIFA World Cup Golden Boot odds breakdown below and check out our World Cup picks page for more.

2022 World Cup Golden Boot odds

Player Odds to win Golden Boot
France Kylian Mbappe  +275
Argentina Lionel Messi  +600
Brazil Richarlison +1,000
England Marcus Rashford +1,100
Netherlands Cody Gakpo +1,200
Spain Alvaro Morata +1,400
Spain Ferran Torres  +3,300
Portugal Bruno Fernandes +3,300
Spain Olivier Giroud +3,300
Portugal Cristiano Ronaldo +4,000

Odds courtesy of bet365 as of December 2, 2022.

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2022 Golden Boot favorites

Kylian Mbappe (+275)

In the 2018 World Cup, Mbappe became the youngest French player to score in the history of the tournament and walked away with the Best Young Player Award for his total of four goals as France ended up winning it all. 

As well as Mbappe performed in 2018, he could be even better this time around. Mbappe finished off France's 4-1 win and provided an assist in a relentless showing, then scored a brace vs. Denmark to help France secure progression.  

Lionel Messi (+600)

It wasn't straightforward but Argentina successfully rebounded from their loss to Saudi Arabia with a 2-0 win over Mexico. Lionel Messi opened the scoring with a great strike from outside the penalty area to give him two goals in as many games, however, he was unable to make it three-in-three against Poland as he was denied from the penalty spot.  

Richarlison (+1,000)

The Brazilian No. 9 stole the show in Brazil's opener, putting away a rebound to open the scoring before an outstanding scissor kick sealed a 2-0 win. Richarlison was unable to net a goal in their 1-0 win over Switzerland or their 1-0 loss to Cameroon but he should have a lot of World Cup play left for favorites Brazil.

Recent winners of the FIFA World Cup Golden Boot

Year Golden Boot Winner Goals Scored
2018 Harry Kane (England) 6
2014 James Rodriguez (Colombia) 6
2010 Thomas Muller (Germany) 5
2006 Miroslav Klose (Germany) 5
2002 Ronaldo (Brazil) 8
1998 Davor Suker (Croatia) 6
1994 Oleg Salenko (Russia) / Hristo Stoichkov (Bulgaria) 6
1990 Salvatore Schillaci (Italy) 6

2022 World Cup Golden Boot FAQs

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