Lightning vs Bruins Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Boston Strong on Home Ice

The Bruins have yet to lose on home ice this season and have done so on the back of a well-rounded offensive attack in addition to expert defense and goaltending. Our betting picks determine if their success continues vs. Tampa.

Nov 29, 2022 • 12:04 ET • 4 min read
Linus Ullmark Boston Bruins NHL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Bruins are the only team remaining in the NHL that is still undefeated on home ice, entering this game at a perfect 12-0-0 at TD Garden. 

The Tampa Bay Lightning are looking for revenge since the Bruins won the first meeting between these two teams a little more than a week ago on November 21st. That being said, the Lightning played a very tough game in Buffalo last night, but they were able to come away with a 6-5 win in overtime. Tonight, they will have to muster up the energy for the second half of a back-to-back and try to do what no team has been able to do thus far, which is beating the Bruins on home ice. 

Will Andrei Vasilevski stand on his head and steal a game at the Garden? Find out in our NHL picks and predictions for Tuesday, November 29.

Lightning vs Bruins best odds

Lightning vs Bruins picks and predictions

The Tampa Bay Lightning and Boston Bruins have both been playing some really good hockey of late. The Lightning have won six of their last seven games and the Bruins have won eight of their last nine. 

There is a case to be made that Linus Ullmark is the best goalie in the NHL right now. He enters this game boasting a record of 13-1-0 with a .935 save percentage and a 2.00 goals-against average as well as a +9.6 GSAx.

Even though Ullmark has been fantastic, a lot can be credited to the way the team is playing in front of him. As of now, the Bruins are the best team at preventing scoring chances, leading the league by only allowing 9.06 chances per game. To go along with this, they have the second-best goals against per game, allowing 2.24. 

Andrei Vasilevskiy will be in goal for the Bolts and even though his numbers haven’t been as good as Ullmark’s, he is still one of the best goalies in the world. 

The Lightning have a 3.15 xGA/60 and the Bruins have a 2.61 xGA/60, I think this game will stay Under the total.

My best bet: Under 6 (-105 at BetMGM)

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Lightning vs Bruins moneyline analysis

Normally, I would say that runs like the Bruins' home winning streak have to eventually come to an end, but they are going to be well rested since they have not played since last Friday, while the Lightning might not have the freshest of legs after playing a tough game in Buffalo last night. 

These teams met not too long ago and the Lightning, in my opinion, were the better team in that game, but they did not get the result they were looking for, falling 5-3 in the loss. Tampa’s offense has been scoring goals lately, which is a good sign, tallying 14 goals in their last three games. But the Bruins have a much stronger defense than the Blues and the Sabres, who were Tampa's most recent opponents. 

Boston is hands down the best offensive team in the league, averaging 4.00 goals per game and its power play has been on absolute fire with goals in six straight games. 

Boston has the advantage in this game and I think it will extend its home-ice winning streak to 13 games. 

Lightning vs Bruins Over/Under analysis

Even though the Bruins are the best offensive team in the league, they now have a target on their backs. A goalie like Vasilevskiy comes into this game knowing he has to be at his absolute best in order to give his team a chance to win in an environment like the TD Garden. 

My focus for this game is really on the Bruins defense and goaltending. I touched on it a bit before, but Ullmark isn’t getting enough recognition around the league for how incredible he has been playing, and the guys in front of him are making his job a hell of a lot easier. 

I think the Bruins might be able to score some goals tonight, but I think they will limit Tampa’s offensive chances and that is why I really like this Under. I believe in the Bruins defense to lock down their opposition on any given night.

Lightning vs Bruins betting trend to know

The Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Boston. Find more NHL betting trends for Lightning vs Bruins.

Lightning vs Bruins game info

Location: TD Garden, Boston, MA
Date: Tuesday, November 29, 2022
Puck drop: 7:00 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports Sun, NESN

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