Avalanche vs Blues Game 6 Picks and Predictions: Avalanche of Goals Buries St. Louis

Colorado let one slip away in Game 5, but with a refocused effort and so much firepower, our Avalanche vs. Blues picks don't see it happening again. Find out why St. Louis is about to be buried at home.

May 27, 2022 • 09:03 ET • 4 min read
Nathan MacKinnon Colorado Avalanche NHL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The St. Louis Blues were able to force a Game 6, beating the Colorado Avalanche 5-4 in overtime on Wednesday. Now the Blues get to return home with a chance to force a deciding Game 7. 

But Colorado will be just as motivated to close out the series on Friday. The Avalanche peppered Blues’ goalie Ville Husso with 34 shots and will keep the pressure on tonight. 

Can Colorado close out the series or will St. Louis Blues force a deciding Game 7? Find out below in our free NHL picks and predictions for Avalanche vs. Blues on May 27.  

Avalanche vs Blues Game 6 odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Avalanche are still safe favorites despite losing Game 5 and being on the road. They opened at -189 and saw the line drop as low as -169 at FanDuel. The Blues began at +155 and have gone as low as +145 at several books. The total is holding steady at 6.5 with the Over at -110 and the Under at +100.  

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until puck drop and be sure to check out the full NHL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Avalanche vs Blues Game 6 predictions

Predictions made on 5/27/2022 at 3:05 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Avalanche vs Blues Game 6 info

Location: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, MO
Date: Friday, May 27, 2022
Puck drop: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: TNT

Avalanche vs Blues series odds

Avalanche: -800
Blues: +550

Avalanche vs Blues Game 6 betting preview

Key injuries

Avalanche: Andrew Cogliano C (Probable), Darcy Kuemper G (Probable), Ryan Murray D (Out), Samuel Girard D (Out).
Blues: Marco Scandella D (Questionable), Jordan Binnington G (Out), Torey Krug D (Out). 
Find our latest NHL injury reports.

Avalanche vs Blues head-to-head record

Avalanche: 3-2 SU, 19 goals for.
Blues: 2-3 SU, 16 goals for.

Betting trend to know

Avalanche are 5-0 in the last five in St. Louis. Find more NHL betting trends for Avalanche vs. Blues.

Avalanche vs Blues Game 6 picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Moneyline analysis

For most of Game 5, the Avalanche were in control. They jumped out to a 2-0 lead after the first period and added a goal in the second for a 3-0 lead. The Blues got their first goal towards the end of the second. 

With a two-goal lead going into the third, the Avalanche fell apart, allowing three unanswered, the last one coming with less than a minute left after Colorado missed an empty net three times. 

That kind of collapse can wreak havoc on players’ mental states. Can Colorado forget about Game 5 long enough to win Game 6? The talent is definitely there. Nate MacKinnon had a hat trick on Wednesday and should be a huge factor again. 

"We got on our heels a little bit," MacKinnon said. "We wanted it so bad, I guess. ... Win the third, go to the conference finals, whatever. It’s one period. Got to keep our game going, stay aggressive. That’s what we’ll do."

The Avalanche are a scoring machine, averaging 4.44 goals for a game in the playoffs. In the five games vs. the Blues, they’ve scored four or more goals in four games and three in the other. 

The concerns with the Avalanche are their defense and goalie. The defense is still suffering from losing Samuel Girard in Game 3. Before Girard’s injury, a broken sternum, the Avalanche had allowed two or fewer goals from the Blues. After Girard’s departure, the Blues have scored three and five goals in each contest. 

Still, if Colorado can keep up the offense, and avoid another collapse in the final period, it should be able to close this series out. The road team is 4-0 in the last four meetings and the Avalanche are 5-0 in the last five in St. Louis. 

Prediction: Avalanche moneyline (-169 at FanDuel)

Over/Under analysis

The Over has hit in the last three and there is no reason to believe the offense is going to slow down on Friday. The two teams have both decided to let it all hang out and it has worked well for both. 

Colorado tops the playoffs in goals for average, also leading in power-play conversions at 33.3%. St. Louis is fourth in GFA at 3.45 and is second in power-play conversion at 32.4%.  

Both goalies have slipped a bit. St. Louis netminder Ville Husso replaced an injured Jordan Binnington and has allowed 13 goals in eight-plus periods. 

Husso wasn’t expected to carry his team, but Avalanche goalie Darcy Kuemper was, and for the last two games has not been as sharp as he was in the previous three. He has allowed eight goals in the last two games. 

The Over seems to be trending here, going 9-2 in the last 11 meetings and 5-0 in the last five in St. Louis. The over is also 4-0 when the Avalanche are road favorites.  

Prediction: Over 6.5 (-110 at DraftKings)

Best bet

Colorado lost a golden opportunity to close this series out on Wednesday and will be looking to correct that gaffe on Friday. The Avs were in complete control for two periods of Game 5. 

What are the chances the Avalanche choke again? I don’t think it’s very likely. There is just too much talent there. 

The top line of Gabriel Landeskog, Nathan MacKinnon, and Arturi Lehkonen have combined for 18 goals and 11 assists in the playoffs. The second line of Nazem Kadri, Valeri Nichushkin, and Mikko Rantanen have 10 goals and 19 assists. 

Lest we forget about defenseman Cale Makar, who has three goals and 10 assists, and is tied for first in points with MacKinnon. 

There is just too much offense for St. Louis to handle. Husso has allowed a bucket full of goals and will do so again. The only difference this time is the Avalanche won’t fold in the third period. 

Pick: Avalanche puck line (+135 at BetMGM)

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