NBA Rookie of the Year Odds: Banchero Still Odds-On

Paolo Banchero surprised many as the NBA Draft's No. 1 overall pick in June, but his early play suggests he probably should've been that guy all along. The Magic rookie is already the heavy Rookie of the Year odds favorite.

Last Updated: Nov 30, 2022 2:24 PM ET Read Time: 3 min
Paolo Banchero NBA Rookie of the Year
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

NBA Rookie of the Year odds saw a fair bit of movement across the summer as bettors dissected an intriguing freshman class.

And even with the opening ROY odds leader (Chet Holmgren) sidelined for the season, our first glimpses of the NBA's newest recruits have been pretty damn impressive.

But, despite the best efforts of a talented class, this year's ROY race may already be a no-contest. Let's check out the early board, as the NBA odds to win Rookie of the Year take shape.

Odds to win NBA Rookie of the Year

Player Team Position Odds
Paolo Banchero Magic Orlando Magic PF -425
Bennedict Mathurin Pacers Indiana Pacers SG +270
Jaden Ivey Pistons Detroit Pistons G +2,500
Keegan Murray Kings Sacramento Kings F +10,000

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook, November 30, 2022.

Favorites to win NBA Rookie of the Year

Paolo Banchero (-425)

Banchero's floor seemed super high given his NBA-ready body and game, and the immediate need for offensive help in Orlando. 

And the early optimism has been justified, with Paolo putting up 22.9 ppg and 7.1 rpg through 14 games, even providing solid defensive stats. 

His .460 shooting percentage has steadily risen throughout this season, and there's plenty of reason to believe it will continue to climb as Banchero adjusts to NBA defense. 

Regardless, the opportunity will be there for him all season long, and Paolo's done nothing to relinquish what many saw as his award to lose when Holmgren got hurt. 

Bennedict Mathurin (+270)

A mid-lottery ROY sleeper coming into the season, Bennedict Mathurin's price plummeted within the first week of play, leapfrogging several dudes picked ahead of him in June. While Banchero's dominance has made him the clear favorite, Mathurin's intent on keeping himself in the discussion.

Not only is Mathurin a great athlete with an NBA-ready body, he's shown a great scoring touch around the hoop and a lethal 3-point stroke, with his first impressions as a scorer putting him in some extremely lofty company:

Mathurin has several avenues to even more minutes and touches should the surprisingly-competitive Pacers choose to bottom out, and in the meantime, he continues to slowly eat into Banchero's lead.

Understanding NBA Rookie of the Year odds

Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. As the 2019-20 season progressed, with Ja Morant having been a huge favorite, his odds had a minus (-) sign ahead of the number: 

  • Ja Morant -500

This means that a bettor needs to wager $500 to win $100. Other candidates with worse odds would have a plus (+) sign ahead of the number. Early in the season, before any clear favorite is established, betting options will be listed as such: 

  • Zion Williamson +650

Here, a bettor stands to profit $650 for every $100 wagered. 

If American odds aren't your thing, simply use our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.

NBA Rookie of the Year history

Year NBA ROY Winner Pick No.
2021-22 Scottie Barnes 4
2020-21 LaMelo Ball 3
2019-20 Ja Morant 2
2018-19 Luka Doncic 3
2017-18 Ben Simmons 1
2016-17 Malcolm Brogdon 36
2015-16 Karl-Anthony Towns 1
2014-15 Andrew Wiggins 1
2013-14 Michael Carter-Williams 11
2012-13 Damian Lillard 6
2011-12 Kyrie Irving 1
2010-11 Blake Griffin 1
2009-10 Tyreke Evans 4
2008-09 Derrick Rose 1
2007-08 Kevin Durant 2
2006-07 Brandon Roy 6
2005-06 Chris Paul 4
2004-05 Emeka Okafor 2
2003-04 LeBron James 1
2002-03 Amar'e Stoudemire 9

NBA Rookie of the Year trends

  • The No. 1 pick has only won Rookie of the Year three times in the past 10 years.
  • Bigs (PF/C) haven't had much success in ROY recently, with just four wins in the last 20 seasons.
  • Only one rookie this century (Malcolm Brogdon, 36th, 2016) was drafted outside of the lottery.
  • The Rookie of the Year has been drafted in the Top 5 in 15 of the past 20 seasons.

NBA Rookie of the Year odds FAQ

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