NBA Rookie of the Year odds saw a fair bit of movement across the summer as bettors dissected an intriguing freshman class.
And even with the opening ROY odds leader (Chet Holmgren) sidelined for the season, our first glimpses of the NBA's newest recruits have been pretty damn impressive.
But, despite the best efforts of a talented class, this year's ROY race may already be a no-contest. Let's check out the early board, as the NBA odds to win Rookie of the Year take shape.
Odds to win NBA Rookie of the Year
|Paolo Banchero||Orlando Magic||PF||-425|
|Bennedict Mathurin||Indiana Pacers||SG||+270|
|Jaden Ivey||Detroit Pistons||G||+2,500|
|Keegan Murray||Sacramento Kings||F||+10,000|
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook, November 30, 2022.
Favorites to win NBA Rookie of the Year
Paolo Banchero (-425)
Banchero's floor seemed super high given his NBA-ready body and game, and the immediate need for offensive help in Orlando.
And the early optimism has been justified, with Paolo putting up 22.9 ppg and 7.1 rpg through 14 games, even providing solid defensive stats.
His .460 shooting percentage has steadily risen throughout this season, and there's plenty of reason to believe it will continue to climb as Banchero adjusts to NBA defense.
Regardless, the opportunity will be there for him all season long, and Paolo's done nothing to relinquish what many saw as his award to lose when Holmgren got hurt.
Bennedict Mathurin (+270)
A mid-lottery ROY sleeper coming into the season, Bennedict Mathurin's price plummeted within the first week of play, leapfrogging several dudes picked ahead of him in June. While Banchero's dominance has made him the clear favorite, Mathurin's intent on keeping himself in the discussion.
Not only is Mathurin a great athlete with an NBA-ready body, he's shown a great scoring touch around the hoop and a lethal 3-point stroke, with his first impressions as a scorer putting him in some extremely lofty company:
Bennedict Mathurin is only the fifth NBA player since 1980 to score at least 72 points in his first three career games—and the first since 1995:— Zach Kram (@zachkram) October 23, 2022
Mathurin has several avenues to even more minutes and touches should the surprisingly-competitive Pacers choose to bottom out, and in the meantime, he continues to slowly eat into Banchero's lead.
Understanding NBA Rookie of the Year odds
Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. As the 2019-20 season progressed, with Ja Morant having been a huge favorite, his odds had a minus (-) sign ahead of the number:
- Ja Morant -500
This means that a bettor needs to wager $500 to win $100. Other candidates with worse odds would have a plus (+) sign ahead of the number. Early in the season, before any clear favorite is established, betting options will be listed as such:
- Zion Williamson +650
Here, a bettor stands to profit $650 for every $100 wagered.
If American odds aren't your thing, simply use our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.
NBA Rookie of the Year history
|Year||NBA ROY Winner||Pick No.|
NBA Rookie of the Year trends
- The No. 1 pick has only won Rookie of the Year three times in the past 10 years.
- Bigs (PF/C) haven't had much success in ROY recently, with just four wins in the last 20 seasons.
- Only one rookie this century (Malcolm Brogdon, 36th, 2016) was drafted outside of the lottery.
- The Rookie of the Year has been drafted in the Top 5 in 15 of the past 20 seasons.
NBA Rookie of the Year odds FAQ
Toronto's Scottie Barnes won the 2021-22 Rookie of the Year.
The first overall pick has won ROY 21 times since 1953.
Yes, three times in fact. The award was shared by Elton Brand and Steve Francis (2000), Grant Hill and Jason Kidd (1995) and Dave Cowens and Geoff Petrie (1971).