With the offseason in full swing, NBA futures are starting to hit the board as sportsbooks serve up offerings for those already looking ahead.
One such market is NBA Rookie of the Year odds, as next season's freshman class hits the hardwood for Summer League.
Let's check out who has the best odds to win NBA Rookie of the Year, and profile the early leaders.
Odds to win NBA Rookie of the Year
|Jabari Smith Jr.||+700|
|E.J. LiddellJeremy Sochan||+5,500|
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook, August 2, 2022.
Favorites to win NBA Rookie of the Year
Paolo Banchero (+330)
The Magic stunned most of the basketball brain trust on Draft night, taking Banchero first overall after weeks of the draft hierarchy seeming like a foregone conclusion.
Banchero can now step in with an NBA-ready body and likely be a capable three-level scorer from Day 1. The Magic badly need an offensive presence, as they ranked a pitiful 29th in O-rating last season and 28th in true shooting percentage, with no player averaging more than Cole Anthony's 16.2 points per game.
Banchero made a pair of appearances for the Magic in the Vegas Summer League, generally impressing right from the jump:
Despite Orlando's crowded frontcourt, Banchero can see minutes in a variety of lineups and clearly wasn't taken with the No. 1 pick to play a secondary role. Count on him being fed touches all season for a team with very few expectations.
Chet Holmgren (+420)
The lanky, do-it-all, could-be unicorn got his wish and landed in OKC, where he'll have all the opportunity in the world to contribute to the NBA's thinnest (pun possibly intended) big man rotation.
And while Summer League is seldom indicative of actual NBA impact, our first glimpses of Chet against NBA(ish)-level competition have been pretty damn good:
Chet Holmgren with one of the most impressive halves in Summer League history. pic.twitter.com/rjfSnWr4KV— Nekias (Nuh-KY-us) Duncan (@NekiasNBA) July 6, 2022
Holmgren can impact games in a number of ways, and will no doubt get the minutes necessary to stuff box scores throughout his rookie campaign. The team success may not come right off the bat, but unlike Evan Mobley and Scottie Barnes last season, none of this year's top contenders should be near the playoff picture.
Keegan Murray (+650)
Jumping ahead of Jaden Ivey and Jabari Smith is none other than the Summer League MVP, Keegan Murray. Many fans shook their heads when they heard the Kings take the Iowa forward fourth overall, but Murray used that noise to propel himself to an amazing run in Vegas.
Understanding NBA Rookie of the Year odds
Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above. As the 2019-20 season progressed, with Ja Morant having been a huge favorite, his odds had a minus (-) sign ahead of the number:
- Ja Morant -500
This means that a bettor needs to wager $500 to win $100. Other candidates with worse odds would have a plus (+) sign ahead of the number. Early in the season, before any clear favorite is established, betting options will be listed as such:
- Zion Williamson +650
Here, a bettor stands to profit $650 for every $100 wagered.
If American odds aren't your thing, simply use our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.
NBA Rookie of the Year history
|Year||NBA ROY Winner||Pick No.|
|1999-00||Elton Brand, Steve Francis||1, 2|
NBA Rookie of the Year odds FAQ
Toronto's Scottie Barnes won the 2021-22 Rookie of the Year.
The first overall pick has won ROY 21 times since 1953.
Yes, three times in fact. The award was shared by Elton Brand and Steve Francis (2000), Grant Hill and Jason Kidd (1995) and Dave Cowens and Geoff Petrie (1971).