2023 NBA MVP Odds: Doncic Preseason Leader Again

Dallas dynamo Luka Doncic is the favorite for NBA MVP again. As we gear up for the preseason, see where the NBA's best sit as sportsbooks price their odds to win Most Valuable Player in 2022-23.

Last Updated: Sep 27, 2022 10:19 AM ET Read Time: 3 min
Kevin Durant NBA MVP odds
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NBA MVP odds are taking center stage for 2022-23, and plenty of the usual suspects are dominating the early action.

With the season just weeks away, many bettors will be looking to sink their teeth into the NBA futures markets, and Dallas Mavericks do-it-all virtuoso Luka Doncic enters as the MVP odds leader for the third consecutive season.

Despite this, Luka is still seeking his first MVP. Can we overtake two-time reigning winner Nikola Jokic and the rest of the contenders? Here are the latest odds for 2023 NBA MVP.

Odds to win 2022-23 NBA MVP award

Player Odds
Luka Doncic +425
Giannis Antetokounmpo +600
Joel Embiid +650
Kevin Durant +800
Nikola Jokic +900
Jayson Tatum +1,200
Stephen Curry +1,200
Ja Morant +1,500
LeBron James +1,800
Devin Booker +3,000
Kawhi Leonard +3,000
Trae Young +3,500
Zion Williamson +3,500
Damian Lillard +4,000
Karl-Anthony Towns +5,000
Jimmy Butler +5,000

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook, September 27, 2022.

Favorites to win the NBA MVP award

Luka Doncic (+425)

The preseason betting favorite each of the past two seasons, Luka Doncic is still in search of what feels like an inevitable MVP award.

Luka started slow in 2021-22, ushering in fairly public concerns about his offseason conditioning. But he responded with an utterly dominant second half, eventually being named to the All-NBA First Team.

Dallas may be capped in the West: The Suns, Warriors, and Grizzlies are going nowhere fast, and the Nuggets and Clippers will be healthier next season, presumably returning to the West's penthouse. 

But Luka alone gives Dallas a high floor, and a full season of his post-January production may be too much for MVP voters to ignore.

Giannis Antetokounmpo (+600)

Giannis Antetokounmpo enters next season's race again among the early favorites, coming off a dominant stretch run to the 2022 regular season. 

A former two-time MVP and finalist again last year, Antetokounmpo is a franchise guy on one of the most entrenched elite teams in the NBA, averaging 29.9/11.6/5.8 last year — ridiculous numbers that now seem commonplace with how regularly he defies superlatives.

Milwaukee weathered multiple injuries in 2021-22 and still battled to 50 wins and the East's No. 3 seed, benchmarks that make Giannis a virtual lock as an MVP candidate.

Joel Embiid (+650)

Joel Embiid enters with yet another strong MVP price, once again the second choice after back-to-back runner-up finishes. 

Embiid was simply clinical last season, posting new career-bests in scoring and assists while also averaging more rebounds than in his 2021 MVP push. 

Even better for Embiid's candidacy are Philly's offseason moves, bolstering its questionable depth with quality veteran signings like P.J. Tucker, De'Anthony Melton, and Montrezl Harrell, now complementing one of the NBA's best cores.

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Kevin Durant (+800)

Now that books know where Kevin Durant is playing next season, it's a bit easier for them to confidently peg him as an MVP candidate for 2023. 

Durant's return to Brooklyn will hopefully pair him with more functional versions of Kyrie Irving and Ben Simmons to slot the Nets among the top teams in the East if all goes according to plan.

KD's still one of the best players alive when healthy, and should lead a more competitive Brooklyn roster than last year's version with Irving banished, Joe Harris injured, and James Harden battling everything from conditioning issues to new foul rules before forcing his own trade out. 

A frigid locker room dynamic is likely to emerge at first, but there's nothing like winning to boost team morale.

Nikola Jokic (+900)

Sitting fifth entering 2022-23 is Nikola Jokic, the two-time reigning MVP who's coming off one of the most impressive statistical campaigns in NBA history, breaking Wilt Chamberlain's 50-year-old record for single-season PER.

Jokic will have Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. back in tow this season, significantly bolstering Denver's top-end talent and ensuring the Nuggets will compete with the best in the West. 

However, only Chamberlain, Larry Bird, and Bill Russell have ever three-peated as MVP, so Jokic completing the feat this year would put him in extremely rare company. 

Understanding NBA MVP odds

Most sportsbooks will display odds in the American format as listed above.  Jokic had all but locked up the award by the end of last season, so his odds were listed with a minus (-) sign ahead of the number. 

  • Nikola Jokic -700

The (-) meant that Jokic was an odds-on favorite, and a bettor needed to wager $700 to win $100. Other contenders in the MVP race had plus (+) odds to win.

  • Joel Embiid +650

Here, a bettor stood to profit $650 for a $100 wager on Embiid if he had won the award. 

If American odds aren't your thing, simply use a tool like our odds converter to switch the odds to decimal or fractional format. Most online sportsbooks also give you the option to change the odds format that you see.

NBA MVP betting trends

Here are some trends you may want to consider before placing a bet on the NBA MVP:

  • Repeat winners are quite common. Jokic's latest win marked the 13th different player to have won the award two (or more) years in a row.
  • The MVP usually comes from an elite team. Since 1985, only four times has the MVP come from a team that didn't finish first or second in its conference.
  • The award is usually given to a player with a few years of service time. A rookie hasn't won MVP since Wes Unseld in 1969 and only four MVPs have been younger than 23 years old.
  • The MVP award has historically been dominated by centers. However, Jokic's victory in 2020-21 ended the drought for centers, which hadn't won the award since Shaquille O'Neal in the 1999-00 season.
  • MVP awards by position:
    • Point guard: 11
    • Shooting guard: 8
    • Small forward: 9
    • Power forward: 10
    • Center: 28

NBA MVP history

A quick look at recent NBA MVPs and the position they played.

Season Player Position Team
2021-22 Nikola Jokic Center Denver Nuggets
2020-21 Nikola Jokic Center Denver Nuggets
2019-20 Giannis Antetokounmpo Power Forward Milwaukee Bucks
2018-19 Giannis Antetokounmpo Power Forward Milwaukee Bucks
2017-18 James Harden Shooting Guard Houston Rockets
2016-17 Russell Westbrook Point Guard Oklahoma City Thunder
2015-16 Stephen Curry Point Guard Golden State Warriors
2014-15 Stephen Curry Point Guard Golden State Warriors
2013-14 Kevin Durant Small Forward Oklahoma City Thunder
2012-13 LeBron James Small Forward Miami Heat
2011-12 LeBron James Small Forward Miami Heat
2010-11 Derrick Rose Point Guard Chicago Bulls
2009-10 LeBron James Small Forward Cleveland Cavaliers
2008-09 LeBron James Small Forward Cleveland Cavaliers
2007-08 Kobe Bryant Shooting Guard Los Angeles Lakers
2006-07 Dirk Nowitzki Power Forward Dallas Mavericks
2005-06 Steve Nash Point Guard Phoenix Suns
2004-05 Steve Nash Point Guard Phoenix Suns
2003-04 Kevin Garnett Power Forward Minnesota Timberwolves
2002-03 Tim Duncan Power Forward San Antonio Spurs
2001-02 Tim Duncan Power Forward San Antonio Spurs
2000-01 Allen Iverson Point Guard Philadelphia 76ers
1999-00 Shaquille O'Neal Center Los Angeles Lakers

NBA MVP odds FAQ

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