We have the second and final game of this interleague series tonight, with the NL West’s Los Angeles Dodgers hosting the AL Central’s Minnesota Twins.
Rookie Ryan Pepiot will make his fifth major league start for the Dodgers and go against veteran right-hander Sonny Gray of the Twins. Los Angeles won last night’s game 10-3 in yet another dominating victory, an outcome which appears to happen every single night for this group.
Will L.A. take care of business once again, or can Minnesota grab a win as a road underdog? Find out in our free MLB picks and predictions for Twins vs Dodgers on Wednesday, August 10.
Twins vs Dodgers odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Dodgers were unveiled as consensus favorites of -145 on Wednesday morning and have since been bet up to -175. The consensus opening total was unveiled at 9.0 and has stayed at that number.
Twins vs Dodgers predictions
- Prediction: Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
- Prediction: Under 9 (-110)
- Best bet: Pepiot Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-140)
Picks made on 8/10/2022 at 6:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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Twins vs Dodgers game info
• Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
• Date: Wednesday, August 10, 2022
• First pitch: 10:10 p.m. ET
• TV: Bally Sports, SNLA
Twins vs Dodgers betting preview
Sonny Gray (6-3, 3.19 ERA): Taking the mound for Minnesota in this contest is right-hander Sonny Gray. On top of the solid season Gray is having, he has been in particularly great form recently. Over his last three starts, Gray is 2-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. Gray boasts a six-pitch arsenal that keeps hitters on their toes, which has led to his recent success.
Ryan Pepiot (1-0, 2.76 ERA): Rookie right-hander Ryan Pepiot will make his fifth career start in this game. Starting his career on a great note, Pepiot should be able to keep it rolling against Minnesota. A third-round pick from the 2019 Amateur Draft, Pepiot only throws three pitches: a four-seam fastball, changeup, and slider. The four-seamer accounts for over 50% of his pitch selections, which makes sense considering his success with it thus far. Thus far, that pitch boasts a mere .177 xBA and 27.1% whiff rate.
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.
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Betting trend to know
Through the first four starts of his career, Ryan Pepiot has achieved at least five strikeouts three times. Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Dodgers.
Twins vs Dodgers picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Run line analysis
Entering this game in outstanding form, the Dodgers have won 12 of their last 13 games. Of those 12, they covered the run line 11 times.
I expect this trend to continue as right-hander Ryan Pepiot is slated to take the mound for Los Angeles. Pepiot’s confidence should be extremely high in this game due to the strong start to his career. The Dodgers have won in three of his four career starts, covering the run line in two of those contests.
Following Pepiot is one of the best bullpens in baseball. Since July 1, Los Angeles’ relief pitching ranks fifth in the league in ERA, second in WHIP, third in BA, fourth in SLG, and third in wOBA. The Dodgers saved their best bullpen arms with last night’s game well in hand after Julio Urias’ seven strong innings.
Evan Phillips, Craig Kimbrel, and Alex Vesia should all be available for this game. Minnesota has not been in great form recently, losing eight of their last 13 games.
Of those eight losses, five have been by at least two runs, and I expect this trend to continue against a strong Dodgers pitching staff.
Prediction: Dodgers -1.5 (+115 at Caesars)
While the Dodgers pitching staff should shut the Twins down, their lineup may struggle to generate runs against right-hander Sonny Gray.
Through 112 career plate appearances against Minnesota’s right-hander, this current Los Angeles roster possesses a mere .193 xBA, .341 xSLG, and .284 xwOBA. All three of Minnesota’s best bullpen arms (Jorge Lopez, Griffin Jax, and Jhoan Duran) will also be available in this game, as neither of the three pitched in last night’s contest.
There is no denying each lineup's power, which is why we are getting such a high number for the total. However, each starting pitcher has been dominant recently, and both squads have their best bullpen arms available.
Prediction: Under 9 (-110 at FanDuel)
The one play I am most confident in is for the Dodgers’ starter to have yet another good outing. Striking out at least five batters in three of his first four career starts, Pepiot should be able to get Over this total once again.
The back half of Minnesota’s lineup tonight features multiple strikeout-prone hitters. Hitting in spots six through nine, the Twins are going with Nick Gordon, Jake Cave, Tim Beckham, and Gary Sanchez. Those four guys possess strikeout percentages of 24.4%, 17.4%, 35.7%, and 28%.
Once Pepiot gets to that stretch of the batting order, we should see a lot of Ks.
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