Twins vs Blue Jays Picks and Predictions: Toronto Wins Third Straight Series

After getting their win-streak snapped on Friday, the Jays responded by soundly defeating the Twins 12-3 on Saturday. We like them to defeat the Twins again on Sunday as they continue their red-hot play. Read why in our Twins vs. Blue Jays betting picks.

Jun 5, 2022 • 08:48 ET • 4 min read
Bo Bichette Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

After the Twins snapped the Blue Jays' eight-game win streak on Friday, Toronto quickly avenged the loss on Saturday, putting up a 12-spot in a blowout win at the Rogers Centre. 

Jose Berrios struck out a career-high 13 batters and the Blue Jays' bats accumulated 16 hits on the day. Teoscar Hernandez and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. each had three hits in the blowout win, and Bo Bichette and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. both homered as well.

Find out who wins the rubber match on Sunday by reading our MLB picks and predictions for Twins vs. Blue Jays on Sunday, June 5. 

Twins vs Blue Jays odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Blue Jays opened as -192 favorites, with the Twins coming back at +167. The total has been set at 8.0, slightly juiced to the Over at -115. The total has gone Over the listed number in the last two games between the Jays and Twins. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until first pitch and be sure to check out the full MLB odds before placing your bets.

Twins vs Blue Jays predictions

Picks made on 6/04/2022 at 8:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Twins vs Blue Jays game info

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Date: Saturday, June 5, 2022
First pitch: 1:37 p.m. ET
TV: Bally Sports, Sportsnet

Twins vs Blue Jays betting preview

Starting pitchers

Devin Smeltzer (2-0, 1.50 ERA): Smeltzer has been a part of the Twins organization for four seasons as he was traded from the Dodgers as a part of the Brian Dozier deal back in 2018. With early injuries to the Twins' rotation, Smeltzer has had four starts this season, sporting a 1.50 ERA and 0.83 WHIP through 24 innings of work. The southpaw went 6 2-3 strong innings in his last outing against the Tigers, allowing only two earned runs and striking out four. 

Kevin Gausman (5-3, 2.51 ERA): Gausman has been worth the price of admission thus far in his first season with Toronto. The right-hander currently leads the MLB in FIP and WAR and has an ERA+ of 154 through 61 innings of work. The 31-year-old wasn't at his best in his last outing, only going five innings against the White Sox, giving up three runs on six hits. He'll look to rebound on Sunday against an injury-riddled Twins' lineup. 

Weather

Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our MLB weather info.

Key injuries

Twins: Carlos Correa SS (Out), Max Kepler RF (Out), Gio Urshela 3B (Questionable), Kyle Garlick LF (Questionable), Gilberto Celestino LF (Out), Royce Lewis SS (Out). 
Blue Jays: Tim Mayza RP (Out), Nate Pearson RP (Out), Tayler Saucedo RP (Out).
Find our latest MLB injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Blue Jays are 18-8 in their last 26 Sunday games. Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Blue Jays

Twins vs Blue Jays picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Run line analysis

The Twins enter this game with a long list of injuries. Star shortstop Carlos Correa is out with COVID-19, while infielders Gio Urshela, and Royce Lewis, are banged up as well. Outfielder Kyle Garlick, who hit two homers for Minny on Friday, is questionable as well. 

Right-fielder Max Kepler is having a solid season for Minnesota so far, but his vaccination status restricts him from playing in Toronto for the three-game series.

Byron Buxton and Luis Arraez are going to be the main key to success for the Twins' bats with Correa and Kepler out. Arraez is currently fifth in MLB batting average, hitting .342 through 46 games.

Toronto's offense is finally starting to live up to the hype, with six or more runs in six of their last seven games. While Vladimir Guerrero Jr. still doesn't look like his 2021 self when he finished 2nd in AL MVP voting, others have picked up the slack. 

Bo Bichette is hitting over .300 in his last 10 games, and catcher Alejandro Kirk has also been red-hot at the plate lately, helping lengthen out the Jays' batting order by getting on base successfully at least once in his last nine games, with three home runs during that span.

Although Devin Smeltzer has been very reliable thus far for the Twins, he faced the lowly Tigers last time around. The Jays' offense, on the other hand, is a whole different beast right now. 

Considering the Blue Jays didn't use any high-leverage relievers on Friday or Saturday, I am more than comfortable backing Toronto on the run-line here. 

Yimi Garcia has been a quality pickup in the offseason, usually called on in either the 7th or 8th inning. Submarine reliever Adam Cimber has been incredible, boasting an ERA+ of 197 through 22 2-3 innings of work. Both should be available for Sunday if need be. 

Expect Toronto to cash on the run line with Gausman on the mound and Toronto's offense firing on all cylinders. 

Prediction: Blue Jays -1.5 (+110 at bet365)

Over/Under analysis

Although I don't expect the Twins to put many runs on the board in this one, it doesn't bother me to rely on the Jays to do the heavy-lifting offensively. 

Starting pitchers no longer go as deep into games as they used to. Even if Devin Smeltzer puts in a good performance, the Jays will get their fair share of licks against the Twins' bullpen. Like Max Kepler, three relievers are also on the restricted list due to COVID rules in Canada, including closer Emilio Pagan.

In its last six contests, Toronto is 6-0 to the Over. The Jays are also 5-0 when the total is set at 7.0-8.5.

Toronto's offense is been way too lethal to bet against lately. Considering the Over has already easily cashed two times in this series, I'll bet it again. 

Prediction: Over 8.0 (-115 at bet365)

Best bet analysis

Handicapping a player's total bases is always a risk, considering walks don't count. Luckily, free-swinger Bo Bichette is a perfect guy to isolate for this player prop and I love his total of Over 1.5 on Sunday. 

Bichette has hit this prop successfully in eight of his last 10 games. Bichette has never faced Smeltzer before, but the 24-year-old is a career .333 hitter against lefties in 141 career plate appearances.

Bank on the Jays' shortstop to remain locked in and keep his hit streak alive.

Pick: Bo Bichette Over 1.5 total bases (-115 at Caesars)

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