For as many years as we can count, home run races are one of the most exciting parts of the MLB season. In addition to keeping track of MLB MVP odds, Cy Young odds, MLB Rookie of the Year odds, and MLB playoff odds, we're also keeping our eyes on the home run totals board.
What looked to be an exciting home run race to start the season with plenty of capable long-ball hitters has quickly turned into a runaway for a certain Yankees' hitter.
Here are the current betting odds to win the MLB Home Run title in 2022.
Editor's note: As of writing, several sportsbooks have removed home run title odds due to Aaron Judge's increasing lead.
Odds to Win 2022 MLB Home Run Title
|Aaron Judge (Yankees)||-1,400|
|Kyle Schwarber (Phillies)||+1,000|
|Yordan Alvarez (Astros)||+2,000|
|Austin Riley (Braves)||+3,000|
|Pete Alonso (Mets)||+5,000|
|Byron Buxton (Twins)||+8,000|
|Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays)||+10,000|
|Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees)||+12,500|
|Anthony Rizzo (Yankees)||+15,000|
|Mike Trout (Angels)||+15,000|
|Juan Soto (Padres)||+15,000|
|Shohei Ohtani (Angels)||+15,000|
Odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook as of August 8, 2022.
Favorites to win 2022 MLB HR title
Aaron Judge, New York Yankees (-1,400)
What else is there to say at this point? Before the season, Aaron Judge was available at +1,200 to be baseball's home run king in 2022. Whatever injury history that had him pegged as a risk in that department appears like a thing of the past as he's smashed 43 home runs in 105 games after blasting 39 across 148 a year ago.
Judge has been an absolute freak of nature since coming out of the break, and with that payday growing bigger and bigger every day, don't expect him to slow down anytime soon. Basically, only an injury stands in his way as the season starts to wind down.
Kyle Schwarber, Philadelphia Phillies (+1,000)
Kyle Schwarber sits in second place for total home runs with 34. Unfortunately for Schwarber fans, it looks like catching Judge will take nothing short of a miracle at this stage in the game.
Schwarber slugged his way to 12 dingers in June and added 10 more in July. So far, he has just one in July, giving Schwarber 23 since the beginning of June. He's one of only two players in that span to eclipse 20 bombs. The problem for him is Judge is the other with 25.
Before the season, he was listed at +3,000.
Yordan Alvarez, Houston Astros (+2,000)
Yordan Alvarez has been downright fantastic for the Houston Astros this season, leading the ball club with 30 dingers in 93 games. Houston has found itself another monster hitter, but as mentioned above, catching the man in stripes looks like an extremely tall task at this point, even for someone as skilled as Alvarez.
Aaron Judge home run total odds
Judge is crushing homers at such an alarming rate that several sportsbooks said screw this and pulled the odds completely. With that said, FanDuel is currently offering a prop bet on Judge's home run total, with the line sitting at 61.5. If Judge surpasses 60 dingers, he'll be the first player to do so since Barry Bonds cranked the all-time record of 73 — while Sammy Sosa sent 64 out of the park — back in 2001.
|Over 61.5 home runs||+220|
|Under 61.5 home runs||-280|
Odds courtesy of FanDuel as of August 8, 2022.
Understanding MLB HR title betting odds
Betting MLB home run title odds is about as simple as it gets. You are just betting which player will end the regular season with the most home runs in the MLB. HR title betting futures are usually shown in American style odds and usually look like this:
- Aaron Judge +1,500
This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to profit $1,500 if Judge wins the MLB home run title. Now, most of these markets close when the season starts. But some sportsbooks may post updated odds at different points in the season, and if one player has a large lead in home runs you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of their odds:
- Giancarlo Stanton -110
This means that you would need to bet $110 to win $100 on Stanton winning the MLB home run title. If you want to see the odds in a different format check out our odds converter tool.
Where can I bet on MLB HR title odds?
MLB HR title odds are not at every online sportsbook and casino, but many do offer action. Check out the best sportsbooks available where you live and see what MLB odds they have available.
MLB HR Leader FAQ
New York Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge is the betting favorite at -1,400.
Toronto Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Kansas City Royals catcher Salvador Perez each hit 48 home runs to lead the majors in 2021. San Diego Padres shortstop Fernando Tatis Jr. led the NL with 42.
Albert Pujols has hit 679 career home runs, which is most among active players, though he is currently a free agent. Detroit Tigers slugger Miguel Cabrera is closest with 502.
The last player to lead the majors in home runs in back-to-back seasons is Jose Bautista, who hit 54 in 2010 and 43 in 2011 as a member of the Toronto Blue Jays.