30-16 ATS season-to-date with UNDER in the SF/LA game pending.
The highlighted text is the query language I've used to research on killersports.. One can copy and paste this into the query box in the NFL section to validate the results and to do further research if you wish.
1) Week 5, game five home favorites with exactly one more win than their present opponent...25-35 ATS, 17-29 ATS if our home favorite has more than one win...AGAINST Broncos, (Bucs if they win tonight), Vikings
2) Week 5, game five home favorites with exactly one less win than their present opponent....22-14 ATS.....ON Saints, (Rams if they lose on MNF).
HF and game number = 5 and week = 5 and t:wins - o:wins
3) Here is a VERY interesting stat, keeping in mind that teams committed to the run should do well against the spread (NE, Cleveland), Seattle, Chicago).....teams that outrush attempt their opponent cover a crazy percentage of the time....
as:
a) Home favorites 2252-965 ATS, 70%
b) Home dogs 859-194 ATS, 81.6%
c) Away favorites 1070-428 ATS, 71.4%
d) Away dogs 1718-334 ATS, 83.7%
Those teams that outrush attempt their opponent as underdogs win outright 2/3s of the time and cover the spread by an average of 9 points/game.
AD, AF, HD, HF and rushes>o:rushes
4) Week 5, game number five away dogs off a home loss with a lesser line than the calculated line....29-17 ATS.....Texans, Colts, Steelers
week=5 and game number=5 and p:HL and AD and line