The purpose of this thread is to chart my point spread ratings suggested wagers ,and Madden 23 Simulations suggested plays for for week 4 ......Point Spread ratings went 1-1 last week ( now 5-2 YTD) , while the Madden Simulations went 4-2 and are now 13-4 ATS , and 0-3 on TOTALS ..
Please keep in mind these are NOT my intended wagers , my standard wagers went 6-5 last week and are now 19-8 YTD)... These are just 2 examples of prediction methods I like to explore..
BEST of HEALTH, HAPPINESS, BLESSINGS, and LUCK to ALL
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
The purpose of this thread is to chart my point spread ratings suggested wagers ,and Madden 23 Simulations suggested plays for for week 4 ......Point Spread ratings went 1-1 last week ( now 5-2 YTD) , while the Madden Simulations went 4-2 and are now 13-4 ATS , and 0-3 on TOTALS ..
Please keep in mind these are NOT my intended wagers , my standard wagers went 6-5 last week and are now 19-8 YTD)... These are just 2 examples of prediction methods I like to explore..
BEST of HEALTH, HAPPINESS, BLESSINGS, and LUCK to ALL
Point Spread ratings suggested plays are 3.17 + points off of actual line ..
THESE NUMBERS ARE FOR WEEK 4 ONLY , NOT FUTURE OR HYPOTHETICAL MATCHUPS ..
Ratings will change during the week with injury updates ..It's best to check back here throughout the week and 1 hour before kickoff.
BENGALS 94.84 HF +3.01. -4.53
DOLPHINS 93.32
NO suggested point spread ratings wager at BENGALS -3.5
Hats off to the Dolphins bend but don't break defense that was on the field for over 40:40 minutes last week ( 90 plays ) ...On paper Miami should have lost by double digits ( Outgained 495 to 212 in yards) but they did a fantastic job keeping the BILLS off the scoreboard In a classic war of attrition...Almost impossible to know who plays tonight for Miami , players were dropping like flies in the heat last Sunday. This looks like a massive letdown spot vs what should be a desperate Bengals squad at only 1-2....Clearly there was a SB loss hangover ...Burrow's revamped O line better figure out how to block or dude could get decapitated sooner or later....Bengals have injury concerns as well...The point spread Ratings do not suggest a ATS wager and neither do I , or my Degen gut ...I'll be checking out player props after running the Madden Sims ..
( MADDEN SIMULATIONS likely will not happen until after tonight's inactives are announced)
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
Point Spread ratings suggested plays are 3.17 + points off of actual line ..
THESE NUMBERS ARE FOR WEEK 4 ONLY , NOT FUTURE OR HYPOTHETICAL MATCHUPS ..
Ratings will change during the week with injury updates ..It's best to check back here throughout the week and 1 hour before kickoff.
BENGALS 94.84 HF +3.01. -4.53
DOLPHINS 93.32
NO suggested point spread ratings wager at BENGALS -3.5
Hats off to the Dolphins bend but don't break defense that was on the field for over 40:40 minutes last week ( 90 plays ) ...On paper Miami should have lost by double digits ( Outgained 495 to 212 in yards) but they did a fantastic job keeping the BILLS off the scoreboard In a classic war of attrition...Almost impossible to know who plays tonight for Miami , players were dropping like flies in the heat last Sunday. This looks like a massive letdown spot vs what should be a desperate Bengals squad at only 1-2....Clearly there was a SB loss hangover ...Burrow's revamped O line better figure out how to block or dude could get decapitated sooner or later....Bengals have injury concerns as well...The point spread Ratings do not suggest a ATS wager and neither do I , or my Degen gut ...I'll be checking out player props after running the Madden Sims ..
( MADDEN SIMULATIONS likely will not happen until after tonight's inactives are announced)
( Sundays games will be posted Friday-Saturday unless major injuries are game time decisions.)
In order for the SIMS to suggest a wager it must cash in 65% ( 13 of 20 Simulations )
BENGALS. 4. DOLPHINS
DOLPHINS COVERED covered10 of 20 Simulations , and pushed once
The MADDEN SIMS SUGGEST NO WAGER ON THIS GAME !!!
When it comes to player props the only ones that hit are. MIXON OVER 23.5 recieving yards 14 of 20 sims , McPherson Over 1.5 FG 13 of 20 , and Melvin Ingram Over 0.5 sacks 13 of 20 ...Player props don't count in MADDEN 23 simulation record ( only suggested ATS does) , but suggested props did well last week ( I'll have to go back and get the record )
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
( Sundays games will be posted Friday-Saturday unless major injuries are game time decisions.)
In order for the SIMS to suggest a wager it must cash in 65% ( 13 of 20 Simulations )
BENGALS. 4. DOLPHINS
DOLPHINS COVERED covered10 of 20 Simulations , and pushed once
The MADDEN SIMS SUGGEST NO WAGER ON THIS GAME !!!
When it comes to player props the only ones that hit are. MIXON OVER 23.5 recieving yards 14 of 20 sims , McPherson Over 1.5 FG 13 of 20 , and Melvin Ingram Over 0.5 sacks 13 of 20 ...Player props don't count in MADDEN 23 simulation record ( only suggested ATS does) , but suggested props did well last week ( I'll have to go back and get the record )
Standard wager ( 19-8 YTD ) Winnings to date to follow in next post .
MIXON OVER 22.5 RECIEVING YARDS -109
1 UNIT $218/$200
Went over this total in 2 of 3 games so far ...Dolphins should be blitz happy vs the Bungals suspect O line which could lead to a slew of dumpoffs to Mixon ...Tempted to take Over 3.5 catches but he's only gone over once ( 7 in the opener vs the Steelers ) , had exactly 3 catches in the last 2 games .....
This does not count in Madden 23 simulation suggested wagers record ( only suggested ATS plays do )
This counts in my year to date Standard wagers (1+ U)
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
Standard wager ( 19-8 YTD ) Winnings to date to follow in next post .
MIXON OVER 22.5 RECIEVING YARDS -109
1 UNIT $218/$200
Went over this total in 2 of 3 games so far ...Dolphins should be blitz happy vs the Bungals suspect O line which could lead to a slew of dumpoffs to Mixon ...Tempted to take Over 3.5 catches but he's only gone over once ( 7 in the opener vs the Steelers ) , had exactly 3 catches in the last 2 games .....
This does not count in Madden 23 simulation suggested wagers record ( only suggested ATS plays do )
This counts in my year to date Standard wagers (1+ U)
seems like everyone I like to check out and read is on Bengals and the Under. Could it be a covers blood bath?
Could be , I'm rooting for the Bengals with no money on either side..
Not sure if it's accurate or a good representation but my large northeastern book( operates from Ohio to Quebec ) line guy said that almost 60% of the money was on Miami ...
Best of luck this weekend Brother
Sweep your slate...
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
seems like everyone I like to check out and read is on Bengals and the Under. Could it be a covers blood bath?
Could be , I'm rooting for the Bengals with no money on either side..
Not sure if it's accurate or a good representation but my large northeastern book( operates from Ohio to Quebec ) line guy said that almost 60% of the money was on Miami ...
Ratings must be 3.17 points off from oddsmakers current line for a suggested wager ..
VIKINGS 93.09. -3.35
SAINTS. 89.74
No suggested play
Wow Andy Dalton gets another crack as a starting QB ..He might be a big upgrade over a banged up Winston , but I doubt it ...Suprise Suprise Micheal Thomas is out, dude is made of cheap dollar general glass ..Current leans are Vikings over 1.5 FG and OLAVE over recieving yards ...
BILLS XXXXX
RAVENS 94.89. HF +3.08
I'll wait until the inactives to post a point spread rating for the BILLS
BILLS might be getting some good news shortly as Center Mitch hold Master Morse may play , Ryan Bates has cleared concussion protocol , Ed Oliver ? , Jordan Poyer ? Gabe Davis ? ....Rookie starting CB Christian Benford is out after injuring his hand , Signed veteran Xavier Rhodes but he is already injured after he pulled his HAMMY while putting on his socks ...
Bills dominated on the Stat sheet last week but couldn't put up the points ...Sounds like hard rain a day today in B More , with lighter showers tomorrow....My current leans are Knox and Duvernay over recieving yards ...
GIANTS. 89.16. HF +2.77. -3.35
BEARS. 88.58
NO SUGGESTED PLAY ON GIANTS -2.5
I'm passing on betting anything here...Not watching a second of this game on Sunday even thought Barkley is my RB1 fantasy ...Probably will be a painful watch next week on ALL 22 ...
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
Ratings must be 3.17 points off from oddsmakers current line for a suggested wager ..
VIKINGS 93.09. -3.35
SAINTS. 89.74
No suggested play
Wow Andy Dalton gets another crack as a starting QB ..He might be a big upgrade over a banged up Winston , but I doubt it ...Suprise Suprise Micheal Thomas is out, dude is made of cheap dollar general glass ..Current leans are Vikings over 1.5 FG and OLAVE over recieving yards ...
BILLS XXXXX
RAVENS 94.89. HF +3.08
I'll wait until the inactives to post a point spread rating for the BILLS
BILLS might be getting some good news shortly as Center Mitch hold Master Morse may play , Ryan Bates has cleared concussion protocol , Ed Oliver ? , Jordan Poyer ? Gabe Davis ? ....Rookie starting CB Christian Benford is out after injuring his hand , Signed veteran Xavier Rhodes but he is already injured after he pulled his HAMMY while putting on his socks ...
Bills dominated on the Stat sheet last week but couldn't put up the points ...Sounds like hard rain a day today in B More , with lighter showers tomorrow....My current leans are Knox and Duvernay over recieving yards ...
GIANTS. 89.16. HF +2.77. -3.35
BEARS. 88.58
NO SUGGESTED PLAY ON GIANTS -2.5
I'm passing on betting anything here...Not watching a second of this game on Sunday even thought Barkley is my RB1 fantasy ...Probably will be a painful watch next week on ALL 22 ...
bills ravens...cant make my mind up...no running game and allen throwng all over the place...last time i recall baltimor playing a passing attack they got taken for about 40points...im leaning bills but it breaking my heart....
bills ravens...cant make my mind up...no running game and allen throwng all over the place...last time i recall baltimor playing a passing attack they got taken for about 40points...im leaning bills but it breaking my heart....
if its useless why bother clogging the forum up with crap...now there iant no such thing as a useless cnut...but some of your threads but some of your threads belong to one...
if its useless why bother clogging the forum up with crap...now there iant no such thing as a useless cnut...but some of your threads but some of your threads belong to one...
Point Spread ratings suggested plays are 3.17 + points off of actual line ..
Only have time this morning to post the suggested Point Spread ratings plays , not the ones that are a pass .
Point Spread Ratings suggested plays are 5-2 YTD
THESE NUMBERS ARE FOR WEEK 4 ONLY , NOT FUTURE OR HYPOTHETICAL MATCHUPS ..
FALCONS 89.98. HF +2.90. -2.52
BROWNS 90.36
FALCONS + 1 ARE A SUGGESTED PLAY
Not a play I would bet , but the Ratings suggest it....
EAGLES 97.54. HF +3.27. -9.80
JAGUARS. 91.01
EAGLES are a suggested play at -6.5
Jaguars are a very popular pick this week, the ratings and I think this is a brutal spot where they come crashing back to reality ...
LIONS 91.88. HF + 3.20. -7.33
SEAHAWKS. 87.75
LIONS -3.5 is a SUGGESTED PLAY
Public will likely be swayed by injuries to Swift and St. Brown ...The replacemets look fine to me , this appears to be another bad road spot for Pete the Cheat who could be out of job before the end of the season IMO..
PACKERS 93.27. HF +3.09 . -5.07
PATRIOTS. 91.29
RATINGS SUGGEST PATRIOTS +9.5 as a PLAY
Expecting the Patriots to play one of their better games of the season at 1-2 with Hoyer under center ...The cagey Vet might be a solid upgrade over a often predictable Mac Jones ...Packers win by 1-6 points might be worth a few longer shot coins ..
Sunday night and Monday night football ratings released later today ..
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
Point Spread ratings suggested plays are 3.17 + points off of actual line ..
Only have time this morning to post the suggested Point Spread ratings plays , not the ones that are a pass .
Point Spread Ratings suggested plays are 5-2 YTD
THESE NUMBERS ARE FOR WEEK 4 ONLY , NOT FUTURE OR HYPOTHETICAL MATCHUPS ..
FALCONS 89.98. HF +2.90. -2.52
BROWNS 90.36
FALCONS + 1 ARE A SUGGESTED PLAY
Not a play I would bet , but the Ratings suggest it....
EAGLES 97.54. HF +3.27. -9.80
JAGUARS. 91.01
EAGLES are a suggested play at -6.5
Jaguars are a very popular pick this week, the ratings and I think this is a brutal spot where they come crashing back to reality ...
LIONS 91.88. HF + 3.20. -7.33
SEAHAWKS. 87.75
LIONS -3.5 is a SUGGESTED PLAY
Public will likely be swayed by injuries to Swift and St. Brown ...The replacemets look fine to me , this appears to be another bad road spot for Pete the Cheat who could be out of job before the end of the season IMO..
PACKERS 93.27. HF +3.09 . -5.07
PATRIOTS. 91.29
RATINGS SUGGEST PATRIOTS +9.5 as a PLAY
Expecting the Patriots to play one of their better games of the season at 1-2 with Hoyer under center ...The cagey Vet might be a solid upgrade over a often predictable Mac Jones ...Packers win by 1-6 points might be worth a few longer shot coins ..
Sunday night and Monday night football ratings released later today ..
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