The lone team below .500 in the West, the 2-5 Edmonton Elks look to achieve an upset on the road when they clash with their second-place division mate, the 5-1 BC Lions on Saturday night.
Oddsmakers predict a blowout at the hands of the Lions, who opened as 10.5- to 12.5-point favourites at most sportsbooks.
Can the Elks overcome the odds on the road against the league’s second-best team? Find out with our best free Elks vs. Lions picks and predictions for August 6.
Elks vs Lions odds
This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.
The Lions were listed as high as 12.5-point home favorites at BetMGM, but the line moved in favor of the Elks and settled between 10.0 and 11.0 on Friday. The Over/Under opened as low as 46.5 at FanDuel and has increased to 52.0 at Unibet and BetRivers.
Elks vs Lions Week 9 predictions
Predictions made on 8/5/2022 at 5:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
Elks vs Lions game info
• Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC
• Date: Saturday, August 6, 2022
• Kickoff: 10:00 p.m. ET
• TV: TSN
Elks at Lions betting preview
Elks: Tre Ford QB (Questionable), Kai Locksley QB (Questionable), Daniel Ross DL (Questionable), Aaron Grymes DB (Questionable), Gavin Cobb WR (Questionable), Derel Walker WR (Questionable), Charles Nelson WR (Questionable), Tomas Jack-Kurdyla OL (Questionable), Kony Ealy DB (Questionable).
Lions: Bryan Burnham WR (Questionable), Steven Richardson DL (Questionable), David Knevel OL (Questionable), Delvin Breaux DB (Questionable), Woody Baron DL (Questionable), Tyneil Cooper DB (Out), Noah Zerr OL (Questionable).
Find our latest CFL injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Over is 6-0-1 in the Lions’ last seven vs. the West. Find more CFL betting trends for Elks vs. Lions.
Elks vs Lions picks and predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
The Lions own just one loss, to the unbeaten Winnipeg Blue Bombers, and have otherwise dominated their competition with ease.
In Week 1, they clashed with the lowly Elks and handed the visiting team a 59-15 beatdown.
Edmonton has improved over the season, notching a pair of victories over sub-.500 teams in Hamilton and Montreal, but against the West, it’s clearly the bottom of the barrel.
The Elks got trounced 49-6 to Calgary in Week 5 and lost to Winnipeg last Friday, despite racking up 357 yards of offense compared to Winnipeg’s 274.
Penalties and injuries plagued the Elks, who have not won a game on their home turf at Commonwealth Stadium since October 2019.
BC rebounded from its loss to Winnipeg in Week 5 with consecutive wins over Hamilton and Saskatchewan. In Week 8, the Lions ran for 97 yards on the league’s best rushing defense (77.2 yards per game), and Nathan Rourke had a terrific outing, with 336 yards and two touchdowns on 27-of-33 passing.
The Roughriders have one of the worst pass defenses, but Edmonton ranks second in passing yards allowed. The Elks’ glaring weakness is against the ground attack, as they allow a whopping 131.9 rushing yards per contest.
Edmonton also ranks dead last in points surrendered, giving up 34.9 per game. BC, meanwhile, scores 34.7 per night, more than any team in the CFL.
A trip back to BC Place Stadium should be another nightmare for The Herd.
Prediction: Lions -11.0 (-110 at DraftKings)
Opposite the Lions, the Elks put up the fewest points on the board per game (18.7) and have averaged 15 points over five games against the West this season.
In Week 1, they got their only touchdown on a 1-yard run by Kai Locksley in the third quarter. The rest of their points resulted from three field goals.
The Lions rushed for 187 yards on 25 carries, with James Butler and Rourke recording two rushing scores apiece. Rourke also piled on three touchdowns through the air and threw for 282 yards while failing to complete just three of his 29 passes.
If Saturday’s game is anything like the last between these two, the Lions will have no issue reaching the end zone and may just put the total Over 51.5 all by themselves.
Prediction: Over 51.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
If Week 9 is, in fact, a repeat of Week 1, the BC defense will also have its way and prevent Edmonton from doing anything on the ground.
The Elks rank second to last in both rushing and passing yards, and have scored more than 20 points against a team in the West just once this season, when they posted 23 in a Week 3 loss to Calgary.
Their other divisional matchups saw them tally 15 against BC (Week 1), 16 against Saskatchewan (Week 2), six in a road rematch with Calgary (Week 5), and 10 against Winnipeg (Week 8).
With the Lions second only to the Blue Bombers in points allowed per game, the Elks’ chances of surpassing the 20-point mark aren’t good on Saturday.
Pick: Elks team total Under 20.5 (-116 at FanDuel)
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